Why did "Wagner" go to Moscow? We analyze all the versions (SUBS)

English summary of: Зачем «Вагнер» пошел на Москву? Разбираем все версии | Заговор против Путина и проверка Шойгу
The video transcript summarizes a masterclass on how to deal with conspiracies, which includes events that occurred on February 24, 2022, around Moscow. Chaos and collapse ensued, and there were predicted consequences for the Ministry of Defense and FSB. Putin's image was compared to a comic character, and there were unclear explanations for the recent events. Putin's speech criticized the organizers of the rebellion and confirmed that Wagner's PMC would no longer exist in Russia. Reports of comfortable camps being built in Belarus for Wagner mercenaries were denied by Russian TV. Prigozhin's recruitment centers reportedly continue to operate, and questions remain about the situation. Putin threatened severe punishment for the fighters, but later offered them a choice of going home, serving in the military, or going to Belarus. The situation will become clearer in the next few weeks, and there will be investigations and searches.

Key Points
(00:00:02) - Masterclass on how to deal with conspiracies
(00:00:04) - Description of events on February 24, 2022
(00:00:10) - Chaos and collapse around Moscow
(00:00:18) - Predicted consequences for the Ministry of Defense and FSB
(00:00:21) - Putin's image compared to a comic character
(00:01:19) - Unclear consequences and explanations for the recent events
(00:01:27) - Putin's speech on consolidation and criticism of the organizers of the rebellion
(00:01:44) - Confirmation that Wagner's PMC will no longer exist in Russia
(00:02:35) - Lack of evidence for the movement of Wagner's columns towards Moscow
(00:03:57) - Panic caused by the movement of the columns and the government's attempts to stop them
(00:04:58) - Lukashenko's unexpected intervention and resolution of the situation
(00:05:19) - Reports of comfortable camps being built in Belarus for Wagner mercenaries
(00:05:28) - Russian TV denies the reports
(00:05:31) - Propagandists celebrate the unity of the people around the president
(00:06:00) - Prigozhin releases a video claiming he was always with the president and never against Putin
(00:06:25) - Reports of Wagner merchandise being sold on the market
(00:06:32) - Prigozhin's recruitment centers reportedly continue to operate
(00:07:23) - Questions remain about the situation, including the nature of the terrorists and the offer of a trip to Belarus
(00:08:00) - Putin threatens severe punishment for the fighters, but later offers them a choice of going home, serving in the military, or going to Belarus
(00:09:30) - Varlamov reminds viewers of the importance of supporting his work and offers links to his paid Telegram channel and Patreon
(00:10:31) - The mercenaries only traveled 200 kilometers in a day towards Moscow.
(00:10:51) - Peaceful citizens in Rostov were happy to see them and they showed a master class on how February 24, 2022, should have looked.
(00:11:11) - Conflict between Priogzhin and the Ministry of Defense escalated to the point where only one could remain.
(00:11:27) - Priogzhin went against the president's order and refused to sign a contract with Shoigu's department.
(00:12:05) - Priogzhin realized that he was losing control over Wagner and decided to take a decisive step.
(00:12:38) - Putin relied on Wagner to do the work that all other members of the military could not do together.
(00:13:00) - Priogzhin's army could not enter the Ministry of Defense, and he had no choice but to leave.
(00:13:28) - Priogzhin is a criminal under Russian law and could have been arrested quietly.
(00:14:18) - Priogzhin did not plan to take Moscow and did not have the strength to do so.
(00:15:03) - Priogzhin started to panic and realized that his days were numbered.
(00:15:16) - Priogzhin received negotiations and a dignified exit from Russia, preserving his assets and fighters.
(00:15:54) - Priogzhin played two seemingly contradictory roles: he was both the last hope of the regime and a revolutionary stormtrooper.
(00:16:08) - Priogzhin's decisions were not well thought out and led to the current conflict.
(00:16:22) - The purpose of the existence of the July 23rd movement was to prevent destruction and hold accountable those who made mistakes during their actions.
(00:16:46) - There is a possibility that Priogzhin went to Moscow not only for disputes with the Ministry of Defense but also for financial reasons.
(00:17:20) - Priogzhin will likely create a project to finance Belarus and Putin will support it.
(00:18:31) - The rebellion of Priogzhin was prepared by high-ranking officials in Moscow.
(00:19:01) - The rebellion was orchestrated by Putin's close friend, Yuri Kovalchuk, who wanted to control the Ministry of Defense.
(00:20:30) - Patrushev, who was responsible for coordinating the actions of the security forces, was one of the main losers in this situation.
(00:22:29) - There is a possibility that the conspiracy was not against Shoigu, but against Putin himself.
(00:22:38) - Priogzhin's comments on the war in Ukraine and his support for mobilization
(00:23:22) - Priogzhin's accusation that Shoigu is intentionally killing Russian soldiers based on their ethnicity
(00:24:10) - Priogzhin's potential leadership role and support from Kovalchuk brothers and Kirienko
(00:25:54) - Lack of support for Priogzhin from Putin and his inner circle
(00:26:27) - Putin's loss of independence or authority due to Priogzhin's actions
(00:27:38) - Dysfunction in the power structure, particularly in the military, intelligence, and law enforcement agencies
(00:28:02) - Putin's lack of direct involvement in the conflict with Priogzhin
(00:28:17) - Putin called Priogzhin to defend the country
(00:28:25) - Priogzhin showed the instability of the Russian state
(00:28:29) - Russia is like an African state where any military leader can become president
(00:29:10) - Priogzhin's actions show that the state is weak
(00:29:35) - There is no one willing to stop Priogzhin's campaign
(00:29:43) - The administration may have prepared the rebellion to test the loyalty of the elites
(00:30:10) - Priogzhin leads the march to the Kremlin
(00:30:19) - Wagner's mercenaries dissolve in the fields
(00:30:25) - Putin wants to get rid of ineffective officials like Gerasimov
(00:30:44) - Putin cannot fire Gerasimov because he is not in his inner circle
(00:31:00) - Putin may have political ambitions after his resignation
(00:31:08) - Shoygu may take over the Kremlin if he decides to rebel
(00:31:22) - Priogzhin is de facto the owner of the country
(00:32:17) - The Russian Ministry of Defense failed the test of defense capability
(00:32:46) - Heads will roll in the Ministry of Defense and FSB
(00:33:10) - The Russian state is weak and unable to take Kiev in three days
(00:33:24) - Putin scares the West by showing what could happen if Ukraine is defeated and Russia destabilizes.
(00:33:48) - Putin backs away from the situation and lets the West figure out how to end the war without harming the Putin regime.
(00:34:18) - The West has always been afraid of Russia's nuclear arsenal falling into the wrong hands.
(00:35:06) - Lukashenko may have agreed to take in Wagner and give them legal status in Belarus.
(00:36:01) - Wagner's move to Belarus could be a strategic maneuver to open a second front and threaten Ukraine.
(00:37:01) - Lukashenko could pretend to be unaware of Wagner's presence in Belarus to avoid any blame or repercussions.
(00:38:19) - Lukashenko's world now includes nuclear weapons, with the first nuclear warheads delivered to Belarus.
(00:38:31) - The Polish army is also present and has combat experience, including participation in the Afghan war.
(00:38:54) - It is unlikely that Belarus will attack NATO.
(00:39:29) - The incident was planned by the Kremlin.
(00:39:40) - The propaganda was not able to support a well-planned scheme.
(00:40:22) - The most important point is the losses of the Russian Aerospace Forces.
(00:41:46) - The incident was caused by Priogzhin's panic and not a well-planned scheme.
(00:42:00) - The Ministry of Defense lost the remaining respect, and Putin lost the illusion of total control.
(00:42:54) - The situation will become clearer in the next few weeks, and there will be investigations and searches.