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This Might Cause A New Low
There is a high possibility that even a minor recession will lead to a new market low. The market has not yet experienced the second phase of the credit cycle downturn, which could result in a significant drop in the high-beta low-beta ratio (a measure of market risk). This could cause a 60% drop before the market enters a non-recessionary slowdown. In addition, there is still a significant gap in sector and style factor dispersion, indicating that the market is not yet factoring in the possibility of a recession.
Watch more of this short video from Bear Market To Return & Hit New Lows By Year End | Darius Dale.
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There’s no doubt that it's a very challenging time right now for the average investor. Above and beyond the recent economic impacts of COVID, the new era of record low interest rates, runaway US debt and US deficits, and trillions of dollars in monetary and fiscal stimulus stimulus has changed the rules of investing by dangerously distorting the Dow index, the S&P 500, and nearly all other asset prices. Can prices keep rising, or is there a painful reckoning ahead?
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