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How Ukraine Will Breach Russian Trenches in their Counterattack
My article on this subject can be found here:
https://ryanmcbeth.substack.com/p/how-ukraine-will-breach-russian-lines
It is likely that any Ukrainian attack will work in 6 Phases:
Phase 1: ISR - Weak points are identified by drone.
Phase 2: Preparation - Front line trenches will get serviced with mortars and artillery. Fallback trenches, reserves and headquarters elements will likely get hit with long range artillery. Rear line supply and combat service support will likely get hit with precision artillery.
Phase 3: Breaching - An engineering vehicle will likely fire a MICLIC or Mine Clearing Line Charge over top of the Russian protective defensive minefield. It is also likely that RAAM artillery delivered anti-armor mines will be dropped on the flanks of the breach to disrupt or delay counterattack.
Phase 4: Assault - Infantry and engineers will advance into the breach with drones as ISR support. It is likely that units engaged in the breach may suffer up to 50% casualties.
Phase 5: Consolidate and Reorganize - Breaching forces are likely "red" or "below 50%" on personnel, ammunition and water. Casualties are collected and prisoners of war are searched.
Phase 6: The engineering vehicle is likely to bulldoze the trench in, creating a bridge for follow-on forces to continue the attack. The wounded and prisoners are evacuated.
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