Analysis of India’s Population Boom
On weekday mornings, people from the nearby villages pile into trains to Delhi, a ride that can sometimes take an hour. Many of these commuters come from Uttar Pradesh which is southeast of Delhi. For many people, this is the only way to feed their families and educate their children. There is no industry in many villages that surround Delhi. 4 million people work in the informal sector of India.
If you combine the populations of Uttar Pradesh and Bihar, that is a fourth of the population of India and most of the population growth. 40% of India is less than 25 years old.
There is a shortage of labor in most of the world. This is something India could take advantage of.
President Modi is trying to boost the industrial sector in India. He has been pushing to get gas stoves into rural homes to replace dirty cooking fuels. He has made it easier for citizens to get bank accounts. You will see the image of President Modi throughout the country. The media has largely become allied to Modi. There is a national pride in India that is soothing if you are out of a job, partially instilled by Modi.
India has had solid economic growth, but job growth is lacking compared to the growth of the population. India’s economic growth is highly uneven. There is arguably poor governance in the northern states where the BJP is in power. It may not be a stretch to say that India is underperforming compared to its potential. However, I disagree with the argument by the BJP’s opposition that the country is regressing. The Indian states in the south have focused on development, public health, and education. They are seeing declining population and high economic growth, especially in sectors like TV and cell smart manufacturing. Millions of northern workers are migrating south. Some feel alienated and have complaints. Many want to return home to the north but there are not as many jobs. India needs to replicate the success of southern states in the north. It is crucial that the Indian population is well educated and healthy.
The BJP is predicted to win the next set of elections. The northern states remain strongly supportive of Mr. Modi and the BJP.
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