Premium Only Content

PE43: How likely is Balaji's Bitcoin bet, really?
Check out show sponsor Coinkite: https://coinkite.com/
Donations to Porkopolis Economics via BTCPay appreciated: https://donations.porkopolis.io/
This is the forty-third video installment from Porkopolis Economics, covering macro and money, from the creator of the Crypto Voices podcast.
Contents
00:00 Intro
00:43 Log scale
02:20 Bitcoin all-time power regression (95% R-squared)
05:57 1-sigma percentile moves
06:30 2-sigma percentile moves
08:30 3-sigma percentile moves
10:36 3-sigma+ percentile to get to Balaji's bet by mid-June
15:20 Likelihood of price moving above Balaji's trendline
18:55 Year end 2011 power trendline comparison (85% R-squared)
22:04 How rare is a 3-4 sigma move in price?
Here we look at Balaji Srinivasan's $1 million price per bitcoin bet within 90 days, made last week. How extraordinary is such a price target?
All-time trend coefficients:
y = a * x ^ b
y = y-intercept * x ^ slope
y = 6.90E-18 * x ^ 588%
Year end 2011 trend coefficients:
y = a * x ^ b
y = y-intercept * x ^ slope
y = 2.52E-28 * x ^ 950%
https://porkopolis.io
https://twitter.com/crypto_voices
Show content is not investment or financial advice in any way.
-
3:08
Porkopolis Economics
5 months ago $0.01 earnedBitcoin to $600K? Projecting the Future Market Cap
703 -
21:23
DeVory Darkins
1 day ago $8.02 earnedTrump makes STUNNING Admission regarding Epstein and WSJ settlement
20.3K99 -
8:14
MattMorseTV
16 hours ago $6.36 earnedTrump just DROPPED the HAMMER.
31.9K35 -
2:47:03
Patriot Underground
19 hours agoTruthStream RT w/ Joe & Scott (7.30.25 @ 5PM EST)
42.7K25 -
42:04
World2Briggs
16 hours ago $1.71 earnedRanking All 50 States By Natural Beauty Will Shock You!
10.4K1 -
42:46
The Kevin Trudeau Show Limitless
22 hours agoManifest Anything: The Secret Teachings of Kevin Trudeau
6.63K3 -
LIVE
Culture Crack
2 hours ago🔴 FINISHING Games | Metal Gear Rising, Prototype 2, Callisto Protocol + Online Safety Act Discussion
40 watching -
5:18:09
saiyagamertv
6 hours agoIm ready to RUMBLE lets WIN!!
3.27K -
13:05
IsaacButterfield
1 day ago $1.11 earnedPedro Pascal Needs To Stop
9.51K5 -
11:25
Nikko Ortiz
16 hours agoMost Painful Fails
30.1K23