Top 8 Preparation Investments in Nuclear War
Russia has just invaded Ukraine and things could escalate quickly. Investing and general planning strategies for WW3, and how markets reacted in past wars.
As far as stocks, in World War II, the Korean War, Vietnam and the first Gulf War, we saw large and small cap stocks actually perform well and the markets actually saw less volatility during these times. Bonds however, were not a great choice, as war is typically inflationary.
There are multiple ways this can play out, ranging from a regional short term conflict, to full blown WW3. But even a minor escalation will likely serve to disrupt already strained supply chains, and increase the price of gas, furthering inflation. So the first top investment, and this is not prepper talk,
#1 Have extra supplies and food on hand if supply chains are further disrupted. A huge bag of rice will keep for years, dried beans and legumes the same, vitamin C tablets, and canned goods are cheap and readily available. Even if nothing happens you have likely saved money as prices are going to rise anyway, and if food chains are impacted you'll have it. The more you can store the better, most people only keep a few days of food in their home. Better safe than sorry. Other essentials like toilet paper, prescription refills, and liquor, all good ideas.
#2 Gold or silver. Gold has shot up almost $100 over the past few days, some predict it will break $2000 shortly and some suggest $7,000 gold is a possibility given the current inflationary trend. I know a lot of people like silver, as do I, but in the event you have to relocate quickly, its easier to travel with gold than silver. If you don't want to hold physical gold you can explore mining companies or gold ETF's. A one kilogram bar is currently at $64,000 and easier to store, but in the event you need to barter or bribe your way across the border a huge bar wont do much good.
#3 Bitcoin. Bitcoin has actually gone down since the Ukraine situation sitting at a low just over $35k right now. It will be interesting to see how it reacts as this is new territory for crypto. But why might Bitcoin actually be a good investment? As we have seen, the safety of banks has come into question recently with the USA seizing billions from Afghanistan and reallocating it to third parties, Billions in Russian funds, even people not directly associated with the Russian govt have had billions frozen by the US govt, and recently here in Canada the government seized the bank accounts of protesters. You may be on the side the government likes today but what about in the future. Bitcoin, even just a small amount, could provide the labiality in the future for you to buy things if you are frozen out of the economy, or if there is a run on banks. Its also easier to carry a zip drive than wads of cash or metals.
#4 Russian stocks. If you are of the opinion that things will de-escalate quickly, there are bargains to be had in the Russian markets. The Russian stock market tanked since the Ukraine situation and the MOEX exchange has actually suspended trading. ETF's like the VanEck Russian fund have taken a nosedive which may signal bargains to be had. That said, if things escalate, these are likely to drop even further. VanEck holds mining and oil and gas companies, we all know where the price of oil and gas are going.
#5 Defense Stocks. Obviously if war escalates on the global stage with US involvement defense stocks will be a strong play. General Dynamics or Northrup Grumman are just a couple of players in the space and you can also find a number of Aerospace & Defense ETF's.
#6 if you think thigs are really going to get bad, an underground bunker could be a good investment. Atlas Bunkers are the best known in the space. Prices have been fluctuating wildly due to cost of steel and inflation, but entry level kits will run about $50k plus installation.
#7, And finally while not an investment, holding cash on hand is always smart if war escalates. Most people are used to just swiping a card to buy things, if banking is disrupted you may be in a cash only situation. In the event of a nuclear EMP, and some suggest a single detonation would shut down most of the electrical grid in the USA. Peter Pry an EMP expert suggests 90% of the US population would eventually be wiped out in an EMP situation. Others disagree with this claim saying it is mostly overstated, but either way, holding some cash on hand is never a bad idea, and very handy for your gangster posts on insta.
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