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Cyclical Growth: What's Next? | Alf Peccatiello
The practice of using base case pricing is becoming too widespread, and it is likely incorrect. There will be no repetition of the disastrous consequences for development predicted by the 2022 designation of financial situation. When these short-term cyclical growth pushes continue, it is unlikely that inflation can be brought down in a clean way, and I think the markets are growing too optimistic about this. If we can ride out this round of inflation long enough, we can avert a recession without any trouble.
Watch more of this short, knowledgeable video from S&P To Fall 20%+ Once Markets Stop Deluding Themselves About A 'Soft Landing' | Alf Peccatiello.
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There’s no doubt that it's a very challenging time right now for the average investor. Above and beyond the recent economic impacts of COVID, the new era of record low interest rates, runaway US debt and US deficits, and trillions of dollars in monetary and fiscal stimulus stimulus has changed the rules of investing by dangerously distorting the Dow index, the S&P 500, and nearly all other asset prices. Can prices keep rising, or is there a painful reckoning ahead?
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