Is The Bet MGM First Basket/Goal Scorer/TD Scorer Promotion Beatable?

Ignore the part where I said Hart and Clarkson are teammates. Also, even more than 22 people can score in soccer since a sub could be 1st. Still the same EV concepts apply.

Get Your Stake Back If Your Bet Misses
Get Half Your Stake Back If Your Bet Misses

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