PE11: Exponential trend percentiles on gold price

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This is the eleventh video installment from Porkopolis Economics, covering macro and money, from the creator of the Crypto Voices podcast.

Contents
00:00 Intro
01:30 Gold fits exponential trendline (75% R-squared)
02:20 'Brown's Bottom'
04:15 Exponential regression trendline
05:30 Standard deviation basics
06:34 Exponential regression trendline
07:50 One sigma around trendline (66th percentile)
13:10 Two sigma around trendline (95th percentile)
15:30 Log scale
24:41 Gold price suppression?
26:31 Compound annual growth rate of gold price (7.7%)

Here we run and explain an exponential trendline over the last 50+ years of gold price data, and run percentile bands (standard deviations) around the regression.

Coefficients:
y = a * EXP (b * x)
y = y-intercept * EXP (slope * x)
y = 133 * EXP (0.41% * x)

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Show content is not investment or financial advice in any way.