EXCESS DEATHS IN ALL AGE GROUPS

EXCESS DEATHS IN ALL AGE GROUPSShow more

Jan. 10, 2023

Dr. John Campbell

PLANDEMIC - FOLLOW THE MONEY

Key statistics

* In 2022, there were 144,650 deaths that occurred by 30 September and were registered by 30 November, which is 19,986 (16.0%) more than the historical average.

* The age-standardised death rate (SDR) for September 2022 was 43.9 deaths per 100,000 people. September is the first month that the rate for 2022 is below the baseline average (44.8).

* There were 232 deaths due to COVID-19 in October

Data released in January
The Provisional Mortality report in its usual format will not be released in late January. Instead, a short article will be published, including only summary content on:

All-cause mortality:

* Number of deaths occurring by 31 October and registered by 31 December 2022.

* limited breakdown by sex, age groups and state of registration.

COVID-19 mortality:

* Number of deaths from or with COVID-19 registered by 31 December 2022.

* Deaths from or with COVID-19 as a proportion of all deaths registered by 31 December 2022.

This output will not include data downloads or a COVID-19 Mortality article.

The Provisional Mortality report will return to the usual format with the next publication in February 2023.

BASELINE COMPARISONS

Throughout this report, counts of deaths are compared to an average number of deaths for previous years. In this report, data for 2021 is compared to an average number of deaths recorded over the 5 years from 2015-2019 as was the case in previous publications. Data for 2022 is compared to a baseline comprising the years 2017-2019 and 2021. 2020 is not included in the baseline for 2022 data because it included periods where numbers of deaths were significantly lower than expected. Counts of deaths for 2015-2021 are included in the baseline datacubes of the data downloads section of this report.

These average or baseline counts serve as a proxy for the expected number of deaths, so comparisons against baseline counts can provide an indication of whether mortality is higher or lower than expected in a given year. The minimum and maximum counts are also included to provide an indication of the range of previous counts. Minimums and maximums for any given week can be from any of the years included in the baseline.

While this publication can provide an indication of where counts of deaths are above or below expectations, it does not provide official estimates of excess mortality. Using the number of deaths from the previous years as the predictor for the expected number of deaths does not take into account changes in population size and age-structures of that population, as well as expected improvements in mortality rates over time. Age-standardised death rates can be accessed via the data downloads tab in this publication.

COVID-19 MORTALITY

The ABS publishes two regular reports that provide preliminary information on mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic, Provisional Mortality Statistics and COVID-19 Deaths in Australia articles. These reports provide information on different time periods and serve different purposes.

Provisional Mortality Statistics focus on monitoring patterns of mortality (by all-causes and specified leading causes of death) and highlight any changes potentially associated with the COVID-19 pandemic. Data must be sufficiently complete to detect such changes, and as such these reports are only released once the majority of deaths that occurred in a particular period have been registered and reported.

COVID-19 Mortality in Australia articles focus on all COVID-19 deaths registered and reported up until a specified time. These articles include important information about COVID-19 deaths, including demographic details, comorbidities and consequences of the disease. While it is recognised data will be incomplete, it can still indicate emerging trends or changes among these deaths. The most recent article on COVID-19 mortality covering deaths that occurred and were registered up until 30 November 2022 can be accessed through the articles link on this page.

On 16 November an article examining COVID-19 mortality was published. This article included deaths that were registered up until 30 September 2022 and explored how the number and rate of deaths for different population groups varied over the course of the pandemic.

Original: https://youtu.be/B3_bqcvDxvI

https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/health/causes-death/provisional-mortality-statistics/latest-release

https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/deaths/bulletins/deathsregisteredweeklyinenglandandwalesprovisional/latest

https://shorturl.at/jELR1

=

Dr. John Campbell Channel: https://www.youtube.com/c/Campbellteaching