Divorcee Sam Seder Debunked on "Republican Voter Suppression"

A talking point that is oft-repeated by mentally ill divorcees like Sam Seder #samseder #majorityreport gets debunked

Show more

Republican Voter Suppression?

Iowa

https://www.ncsl.org/research/elections-and-campaigns/voter-id.aspx

https://www.ncsl.org/research/elections-and-campaigns/voter-id-chronology.aspx

https://ballotpedia.org/Voter_ID_in_Iowa

https://apnews.com/article/f0591c6afacb4fb1b83e9bdae79740de

https://www.radioiowa.com/2019/10/01/judge-upholds-id-requirement-for-election-day-voting-in-iowa/

https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/

See the notes on some of these states as some Photo ID Voter laws were rolled out in phases and/or challenged in court by Democrats who want people willy-nilly voting sans any identification.

I have provided some links to articles about these Voter ID/Photo ID Voting laws & it’s the same song from the Regressive Communists no matter what – voters are being suppressed & it is poor minorities who vote Democrat.

They do not want people removed from voter rolls if they fail to vote in 3 Federal Elections, they do not want people giving any sort of identification (although a lot of states allow for numerous types of ID), they do not want ID’s presented, they do not want people disqualified from voting in the wrong precinct, they do not like it when there are not dropboxes everywhere for folks to dump dozens votes in at 3AM & if you don’t have a million early voting days & months & months of voting prior to Election Day they have a hissy fit.

They do NOT want people being identified at the polls or anywhere else for that matter, period. Just autistically-repeating, “drop boxes increase turnout, therefore good unga bunga” is nonsense. I’m sure if the government dropped PSAs every hour on the hour to get free training for a firearm & purchase one, we would have a lot more folks buying guns, but doing X just to do X is nonsense.

I will be focusing on POTUS elections years & also midterm elections. If the state I am examining does NOT have a gubernatorial race in a midterm, I will use the years (most Gubernatorial races are either at the midterm or a POTUS election) that they do have a Gubernatorial contest & compare those increases/decreases in turnout w/ national results.

I am purposely going back to at least 1992 for POTUS elections (unless their voter id law does not go back very far) as the # of raw votes decreased in the next POTUS election cycle, we’ll compare that to increases/decreases in those states that are “engaging in Republican voter suppression.”

Let us begin!

Iowa

2000 IA POTUS election, total votes cast = 1,315,563

2004 IA POTUS election, total votes cast = 1,506,908 [+14.55%]

2008 IA POTUS election, total votes cast = 1,537,123 [+2.01%]

2012 IA POTUS election, total votes cast = 1,582,180 [+2.93%] *Iowa bucked the 2012 trend of less raw votes, but in 1996 about 120,000 less votes were cast, relative to 1992 (that was a national trend). Iowa also bucked the national trend in 2016, as less votes were cast, relative to 2012*

2016 IA POTUS election, total votes cast = 1,566,031 [-1.02%]

2002 IA Gubernatorial election, total votes cast = 1,025,802

2006 IA Gubernatorial election, total votes cast = 1,053,255 [+2.67%]

2010 IA Gubernatorial election, total votes cast = 1,122,013 [6.53% increase in total votes cast]

2014 IA Gubernatorial election, total votes cast = 1,131,258 [+0.825%]

2018 IA Gubernatorial election, total votes cast = 1,327,638 [+17.35%]

***Voter ID law fully implemented in 2019***

2022 IA Gubernatorial election, total votes cast = 1,221,864 [-7.97%]

2020 IA POTUS election, total votes cast = 1,690,871 [+7.97%]

Average increase/decrease in IA POTUS elections 2000-2020 = +5.288%. That is lower than the 2020 increase, sorry there is not more data to peruse, it is what it is.

Average increase/decrease in IA Gubernatorial elections, 2002-2022 = +3.881%.

That is much higher than the one gubernatorial election after the Photo ID law. Now, the bi-polar divorcee Sam Seder might say, “Aha, voter suppression.”

Or it could be that the fat lady that Iowa Democrats nominated (because nobody apparently wanted this task) was a horrible speaker & a race trader that even her party could not get excited about.

She had no political experience (not that it is necessarily bad) & it showed, a lot. Fred Hubbell at least was a successful businessman; he got a lot more votes than Deidre DeJear & the only folks who pulled the lever for her were already lifetime inmates in Crazy Town.

It may not be voter suppression, but lack of excitement about a flawed candidate who had a deck full of race cards.

***

Indiana

1992 IN Gubernatorial election, total votes cast = 2,229,116

1996 IN Gubernatorial election, total votes cast = 2,110,047 [-5.34%]

2000 IN Gubernatorial election, total votes cast = 2,179,268 [+3.28%] *2000 turnout LOWER than 1992 turnout*

2004 IN Gubernatorial election, total votes cast = 2,448,498 [+12.35%]

1992 IN POTUS election, total votes cast = 2,305,871

1996 IN POTUS election, total votes cast = 2,135,842 [-7.373%]

2000 IN POTUS election, total votes cast = 2,199,302 [+2.97%] *2000 turnout LOWER than 1992 turnout*

2004 IN POTUS election, total votes cast = 2,468,002 [+12.22%]

Photo ID law christened by the SCOTUS, despite the grinding of yellow Democrat teeth

2008 IN Gubernatorial election, total votes cast = 2,703,752 [+10.42%]

2012 IN Gubernatorial election, total votes cast = 2,581,053 [-4.54%]

2016 IN Gubernatorial election, total votes cast = 2,719,968 [+5.38%]

2020 IN Gubernatorial election, total votes cast = 3,020,388 [+11.045%]

2008 IN POTUS election, total votes cast = 2,756,658 [+11.7%]

2012 IN POTUS election, total votes cast = 2,633,143 [-4.48%]

2016 IN POTUS election, total votes cast = 2,760,375 [+4.83%]

2020 IN POTUS election, total votes cast = 3,039,781 [+10.12%]

Average decrease/increase in raw votes, IN Gubernatorial elections 1992-2020 = +4.656% [National average = +7.352%]

Average decrease/increase in raw votes, IN Gubernatorial elections, AFTER VOTER ID, 2008-2020 = +5.576% [National Avg. = +7.829%]

Average decrease/increase in raw votes, IN Gubernatorial elections PRIOR TO VOTER ID, 1992-2004 = +3.43% [National Average = +6.713%]

Average decrease/increase in raw votes, IN POTUS elections 1992-2020 = +4.283% [National average = +6.465%]

Average decrease/increase in raw votes, IN POTUS elections after VOTER ID LAW, 2008-2020 = +5.542% [National avg. = +6.888%]

Average decrease/increase in raw votes, IN POTUS elections PRIOR TO VOTER ID LAW, 1992-2004 = +2.605% [National Average = +5.902%]

It would be hard for bi-polaroids like the divorcee Sam Seder to argue that Photo ID requirements in Indiana are disenfranchising voters as their raw vote increases were much larger after they strengthened voting requirements.

Notice how IN’s increases (relative to the baselines I established) were always lower than the national increases, they always lagged behind sans Voter ID or with it ensconced.

***

Wisconsin

2000 WI POTUS election, total votes cast = 2,598,607

2004 WI POTUS election, total votes cast = 2,997,007 [+15.34%]

2008 WI POTUS election, total votes cast = 2,983,417 [-0.454%]

2012 WI POTUS election, total votes cast = 3,068,434 [+2.85%] *notice how their turnout increases/decreases in the 2008, 2012 & 2016 POTUS elections were contrary to the national trend*

1998 WI Gubernatorial election, total votes cast = 1,756,014

2002 WI Gubernatorial election, total votes cast = 1,775,349 [+1.1%]

2006 WI Gubernatorial election, total votes cast = 2,161,700 [+21.76%]

2010 WI Gubernatorial election, total votes cast = 2,160,832 [-0.04%]

2014 WI Gubernatorial election, total votes cast = 2,410,314 [+11.55%]

Evil Photo ID law rolled out in WI

2016 WI POTUS election, total votes cast = 2,976,150 [-3.007%]

2020 WI POTUS election, total votes cast = 3,298,041 [+10.815%]

2018 WI Gubernatorial election, total votes cast = 2,673,308 [+10.907%]

2022 WI Gubernatorial election, total votes cast = 2,656,490 [-0.63%]

Average increase/decrease in raw votes, WI Gubernatorial elections 1998-2022 = +7.411% [National Avg. = +8.320%]

Average increase/decrease in raw votes, WI Gubernatorial elections, PRIOR TO PHOTO ID Law, 1998-2014 = +8.592% [National average = +2.851%]

NOTE: I used 1998 as my baseline, so averaged the 2002, 2006, 2010 & 2014 election years, remember that!

Average increase/decrease in raw votes, WI Gubernatorial elections, AFTER PHOTO ID Law, 2018 & 2022 = +5.138% [National average = +19.258%]

Average increase/decrease in raw votes, WI POTUS elections 2000-2020 = +5.108% [National avg. = 8.844%]

Average increase/decrease in raw votes, WI POTUS elections 2016 & 2020, AFTER PHOTO ID LAW = +3.904% [National avg. = 10.877%]

Average increase/decrease in raw votes, WI POTUS elections, PRIOR TO PHOTO ID LAW, 2000-2012 = +5.912% [National average = +7.827%]

I wish I had one more election cycle after Photo ID, I think it would be more informative & I tried to balance this out (equal number of cycles before & after) when I averaged it.

A Democrat will definitely try to argue that WI’s voter ID laws are stifling turnout. A Republican could say, “You won WI in 2020 & won the Gubernatorial races in the last 2 cycles, what’s the problem?”

There could still be voter suppression even if the party that is declaring it wins, just as voter fraud could still be a problem, even if Republicans do well.

WI bucked national trends in 2008, 2021 & 2016 as noted above & two cycles were prior to Photo ID.

~13,500 less votes were cast in 2008 than in 2004 in Badgerville. Was that voter suppression or more likely the fact that Republican voters were NOT excited about John McCain as he received 215,000 less votes than George W. Bush 4 years prior? Combine that with turnout for Obama was much better than it was for the French-looking candidate, John Francois Kerry.

***

Tennessee

1994 TN Gubernatorial election, total votes cast = 1,487,130

1998 TN Gubernatorial election, total votes cast = 976,236 [-34.354%]

2002 TN Gubernatorial election, total votes cast = 1,653,167 [+69.34%]

2006 TN Gubernatorial election, total votes cast = 1,818,549 [+10%]

2010 TN Gubernatorial election, total votes cast = 1,601,549 [-11.93%]

1992 TN POTUS election, total votes cast = 1,982,638

1996 TN POTUS election, total votes cast = 1,894,105 [-4.465%]

2000 TN POTUS election, total votes cast = 2,076,181 [+9.61%]

2004 TN POTUS election, total votes cast = 2,434,949 [+17.28%]

2008 TN POTUS election, total votes cast = 2,601,982 [+6.86%]

***2012 Photo ID law rolled out***

2014 TN Gubernatorial election, total votes cast = 1,353,728 [-15.47%]

2018 TN Gubernatorial election, total votes cast = 2,243,294 [+65.71%]

2022 TN Gubernatorial election, total votes cast = 1,737,454 [-22.55%]

2012 TN POTUS election, total votes cast = 2,460,904 [-5.42%]

2016 TN POTUS election, total votes cast = 2,508,027 [+1.92%]

2020 TN POTUS election, total votes cast = 3,053,851 [+21.752%]

Average increase/decrease in raw votes, TN Gubernatorial elections 1994-2022 = +8.678% [National avg. = +6.617%]

Average increase/decrease in raw votes, TN Gubernatorial elections after evil Photo ID law rolled out, 2014-2022 = +9.23% [National Average = +10.010%]

Average increase/decrease in raw votes, TN Gubernatorial elections PRIOR TO Photo ID law, 1994-2010 = 8.264% [National avg. = +4.075%]

Average increase/decrease in raw votes, TN POTUS elections 1992-2020 = +6.791% [National avg. = +6.465%]

Average increase/decrease in raw votes, TN POTUS elections AFTER VOTER ID, 2012-2020 = +6.084% [National avg. = +6.684%]

Average increase/decrease in raw votes, TN POTUS elections PRIOR TO VOTER ID, 1992-2008 = +7.321% [National average = +6.301%]

***

Mississippi

1999 MS Gubernatorial, total votes cast = 763,937

2003 MS Gubernatorial, total votes cast = 894,487 [+17.08%]

2007 MS Gubernatorial, total votes cast = 744,039 [-16.82%]

2011 MS Gubernatorial, total votes cast = 891,952 [+19.88%]

2000 MS POTUS election, total votes cast = 994,926

2004 MS POTUS election, total votes cast = 1,152,365 [+15.82%]

2008 MS POTUS election, total votes cast = 1,289,939 [+11.94%]

2012 MS POTUS election, total votes cast = 1,285,584 [-0.34%]

***2014 Voter ID law takes effect***

2015 MS Gubernatorial, total votes cast = 718,185 [-19.48%]

2019 MS Gubernatorial, total votes cast = 884,911 [+23.21%]

2016 MS POTUS election, total votes cast = 1,211,088 [-5.79%]

2020 MS POTUS election, total votes cast = 1,314,475 [+8.54%]

Average increase/decrease in raw votes, MS Gubernatorial contests 1999-2019 = +4.774% [National average = +4.262%]

Average increase/decrease in raw votes, MS Gubernatorial contests PRIOR TO VOTER ID, 1999-2011 = +6.713% [National average = +2.831%] NOTE: Remember, on the national level I am also using 1999 as my baseline, so it’s the average increases in the 2003, 2007 & 2011 contests.

Average increase/decrease in raw votes, MS Gubernatorial contests after Voter ID law 2015 & 2019 = +1.865% [National average = +19.191%]

Average increase/decrease in raw votes, MS POTUS contests 2000-2020 = +6.034% [National avg. = 8.844%]

Average increase/decrease in raw votes, MS POTUS PRIOR TO Voter ID, 2000-2012 = +9.14% [National avg. = +7.827%]

Average increase/decrease in raw votes, MS POTUS after Voter ID 2016 & 2020 = +1.375% [National average = +10.877%]

As is the case w/ TN, MS elections have seen wild fluctuations in raw vote totals sans or with a Voter ID Law. MS is an anomaly, while their 2012 turnout was lower, fitting w/ the national trend, their 2016 turnout plummeted in a state that has been leaning Republican (prior to 2010, the Democrats had a stranglehold on the State Legislature) for several years.

Donald Trump received about 10,000 fewer votes than Romney yet won the state +17.5 & Romney won MS +11.5. This indicates both sides were not excited about their candidate, especially MS Democrats who flocked to vote for Barack Obama twice & abandoned elderly, wrinkled white trash Hillary Clinton in 2016.

I wish I had one more post-Voter ID election to hash out as that would give us a better idea. For what it’s worth, their 1995 Gubernatorial tilt had a lot more votes cast than 4 years later.

***

Kansas

1998 KS Gubernatorial, total votes cast = 742,665

2002 KS Gubernatorial, total votes cast = 835,690 [+12.52%]

2006 KS Gubernatorial, total votes cast = 849,700 [+1.689%]

2010 KS Gubernatorial, total votes cast = 838,790 [-1.286%]

1992 KS POTUS election, total votes cast = 1,157,236

1996 KS POTUS election, total votes cast = 1,074,300 [-7.167%]

2000 KS POTUS election, total votes cast = 1,072,216 [-0.195%]

2004 KS POTUS election, total votes cast = 1,187,756 [+10.78%]

2008 KS POTUS election, total votes cast = 1,238,873 [+4.3%]

***2012 Voter ID law enforced****

2014 KS Gubernatorial, total votes cast = 869,502 [+3.66%]

2018 KS Gubernatorial, total votes cast = 1,054,622 [+21.299%]

2022 KS Gubernatorial, total votes cast = 994,477 [-5.705%]

2012 KS POTUS election, total votes cast = 1,157,532 [-6.57%]

2016 KS POTUS election, total votes cast = 1,197,570 [+3.46%]

2020 KS POTUS election, total votes cast = 1,377,484 [+15.02%]

Average increase/decrease in raw votes KS Gubernatorial elections 1998-2022 = +5.362% [National average during those years = +8.320%]

NOTE: I am using 1998 as my baseline, therefore I’m averaging the increases in raw totals for the 2002-2022 elections, REMEMBER THAT! I had to redo some totals because I made that mistake myself!

Average increase/decrease in raw votes KS Gubernatorial elections PRIOR TO VOTER ID law, 1998-2010 = +4.307% [National average = +6.63%]

Average increase/decrease in raw votes KS Gubernatorial elections after Voter ID law, 2014-2022 = +6.418% [National avg. = +10.010%]

I did not include this, but the 1994 KS Governor’s race had a lot more votes cast then the 1998 edition. That would have skewed it more in my favor. Voter suppression or lack of interest in the candidates and/or the entire political process?

Increases in raw votes for Gubernatorial contests increased substantially overall after Voter ID laws, making it hard for the Dummycrats to argue “voter suppression.” Yet, they are still making that argument in Kansas.

Average increase/decrease in raw votes KS POTUS elections 1992-2020 = +2.84% [National avg. = +6.465%]

Average increase/decrease in raw votes KS POTUS elections after evil Voter ID law, 2012-2020 = +3.97% [National avg. = +6.684%]

Average increase/decrease in raw votes KS POTUS elections PRIOR TO evil Voter ID law, 1992-2008 = +1.929% [National average = +6.301%]

The increases were higher after Voter ID, making it much more difficult to argue for “voter suppression.” KS’ increases prior to Voter ID in POTUS elections was lagging well behind national trends, so this is not news after Voter ID.

***
North Dakota

2004 ND Gubernatorial, total votes cast = 309,873

2008 ND Gubernatorial, total votes cast = 315,692 [+1.88%]

2012 ND Gubernatorial, total votes cast = 317,812 [+0.675%]

2016 ND Gubernatorial, total votes cast = 339,601 [+6.857%]

2004 ND POTUS contest, total votes cast = 312,833

2008 ND POTUS contest, total votes cast = 317,738 [+1.57%]

2012 ND POTUS contest, total votes cast = 322,627 [+1.54%]

2016 ND POTUS contest, total votes cast = 344,360 [+6.735%]

***Voter ID law in 2018***

2020 ND Gubernatorial, total votes cast = 357,659 [+5.319%]

2020 ND POTUS contest, total votes cast = 361,819 [+5.07%]

Not a large swath of post-Voter ID info to cover, but for what it is worth.

Average increase/decrease in raw votes, ND Gubernatorial Elections 2004-2020 = +3.682%. The 2020 increase was higher.

Average increase/decrease in raw votes, ND POTUS Elections 2004-2020 = +3.728%. The 2020 increase was higher. I guess the voter suppression in ND will happen during Sam Seder’s next failed marriage.

***
Georgia

1994 GA Gubernatorial, total votes cast = 1,545,297

1998 GA Gubernatorial, total votes cast = 1,792,882 [+16.02%]

2002 GA Gubernatorial, total votes cast = 2,028,251 [+13.13%]

2006 GA Gubernatorial, total votes cast = 2,124,598 [+4.75%]

1992 GA POTUS election, votes cast = 2,321,133

1996 GA POTUS election, votes cast = 2,299,071 [-0.95%]

2000 GA POTUS election, votes cast = 2,596,804 [+12.95%]

2004 GA POTUS election, votes cast = 3,304,481 [+27.25%]

***2008 Georgia Voter ID Law*** https://www.heritage.org/election-integrity/commentary/georgias-voter-id-lawsuit-seven-years-later-disenfranchised-or-still https://law.georgia.gov/press-releases/2011-03-08/georgia-supreme-court-declares-voter-id-law-constitutional

2010 GA Gubernatorial, total votes cast = 2,576,161 [+21.255%]

2014 GA Gubernatorial, total votes cast = 2,550,648 [-0.9904%]

2018 GA Gubernatorial, total votes cast = 3,939,409 [+54.996%]

2022 GA Gubernatorial, total votes cast = 3,953,408 [+0.3553%]

2008 GA POTUS election, votes cast = 3,932,158 [+18.995%]

2012 GA POTUS election, votes cast = 3,908,369 [-0.6049%]

2016 GA POTUS election, votes cast = 4,146,825 [+6.103%]

2020 GA POTUS election, votes cast = 4,999,960 [+20.573%]

Average increase/decrease in raw votes, GA Gubernatorial contests prior to Voter ID law, 1994-2006 = +11.3% [National average = +3.599%]

Average increase/decrease in raw votes, GA Gubernatorial contests 1994-2022 = +15.645% [National avg. = +6.617%]

Average increase/decrease in raw votes, GA Gubernatorial contests after Voter ID law, 2010-2022 = +18.903% [National average = +8.911%]

Average increase/decrease in raw votes, GA POTUS contests 1992-2020 = +12.045% [National avg. for 1992-2020 was +6.465%]

Average increase/decrease in raw votes, GA POTUS contests after Voter ID law, 2008-2020 = +11.266% [National avg. during those same years = +6.888%]

Average increase/decrease in raw votes, GA POTUS contests PRIOR TO Voter ID law 1992-2004 = +13.083% [National Average = +5.902%]

Even after Voter ID/Photo ID laws, Georgia increases continued to outstrip national averages & in Governor’s clashes, it got even better.

In POTUS races, their turnout increases weren’t as high after Voter ID, but still much better than the national average, so much for the voter suppression narrative in GA.

***

Ohio

1994 OH Gubernatorial, total votes = 3,346,238

1998 OH Gubernatorial, total votes = 3,354,213 [+0.2388%]

2002 OH Gubernatorial, total votes = 3,228,992 [-3.733%]

1992 OH POTUS election, total votes = 4,939,964

1996 OH POTUS election, total votes = 4,534,434 [-8.209%]

2000 OH POTUS election, total votes = 4,705,457 [+3.772%]

2004 OH POTUS election, total votes = 5,627,908 [+19.603%]

***Voter ID law implemented in 2006*** https://www.nytimes.com/2006/11/01/us/politics/appeals-court-backs-ohio-on-voter-id.html https://publicintegrity.org/politics/elections/us-polling-places/ohio-voters-list-purges-strict-id-law-suppress-turnout/

2006 OH Gubernatorial, total votes = 4,022,754 [+24.583%]

2010 OH Gubernatorial, total votes = 3,852,469 [-4.233%]

2014 OH Gubernatorial, total votes = 3,055,913 [-20.676%]

2018 OH Gubernatorial, total votes = 4,435,820 [+45.155%]

2022 OH Gubernatorial, total votes = 4,134,877 [-6.7842%]

2008 OH POTUS election, total votes = 5,721,831 [+1.67%]

2012 OH POTUS election, total votes = 5,590,934 [-2.287%]

2016 OH POTUS election, total votes = 5,536,547 [-0.973%]

2020 OH POTUS election, total votes = 5,932,446 [+7.15%]

Average raw votes cast decrease/increase on OH Gubernatorial Elections 1994-2022 = +4.935% [National avg. = +6.617%]

Average raw votes cast decrease/increase on OH Gubernatorial Elections after Voter ID legislation 2006-2022= +7.608% [National avg. = +8.424%]

Average raw votes cast decrease/increase on OH Gubernatorial Elections PRIOR TO VOTER ID 1994-2002 = -1.747% [National avg. = +2.103%]

I will again mention that Donald Trump being POTUS or being on the ballot caused a massive surge in turnout.

Average raw votes cast decrease/increase on OH POTUS Elections 1992-2020 = +2.960% [National avg. for 1992-2020 was +6.465%]

Average raw votes cast decrease/increase on OH POTUS Elections after Voter ID legislation 2008-2020 = +1.39% [National avg. during that time frame = +6.888%]

Average increase/decrease in raw votes, POTUS elections for 1992-2004 = +5.902%. Ohio POTUS elections during that time frame = +5.055%

Ohio has suffered (unless you are worried about overpopulation) from anemic population growth over the past couple decades, this could be the explanation as to why their vote increases are not on par w/ national trends, not voter suppression.

Ohio average increases *always* lagged behind national trends as well, prior to or after Voter ID. I did not include this, but the 1990 OH Gubernatorial had a higher raw vote total than the 1994 Gubernatorial election & the national trend was the other way.

To conclude that OH’s flagging number of voters going to the polls is because of “vote suppression” is the area of mentally ill conspiracy theorists like Sam Seder who want everyone to vote sans ID.

***
National Data

First, the midterm traditional Gubernatorial contests. Most Governors’ races are contested in these years

1994 Gubernatorial elections, total votes cast [36 contests] = 60,108,805

1998 Gubernatorial elections, total votes cast = 57,945,780 [-3.599% decrease in votes from prior election cycle]

2002 Gubernatorial elections, total votes cast = 62,469,272 [+7.806%]

2006 Gubernatorial elections, total votes cast = 66,511,382 [+6.471%]

2010 Gubernatorial elections, total votes cast [I omitted the votes in UT from the grand total as that was a special election] = 70,244,753 [+5.613%]

2014 Gubernatorial elections, total votes cast = 64,284,317 [-8.485%]

2018 Gubernatorial elections, total votes cast = 91,918,835 [+42.988%]

2022 Gubernatorial elections, total votes cast = 87,809,411 [-4.471%]

Average raw votes cast decrease/increase, Midterm Gubernatorial elections 1994-2022 = +6.617%

You can see how Donald Trump being POTUS or being on the ballot caused turnout to surge.

Now for the Gubernatorial elections that take place in concert w/ POTUS contests

1992 Gubernatorial elections, total votes cast [11 contests, omitting RI due to their switch to 4-year terms after 1992, instead of 2-year terms] = 12,650,441

1996 Gubernatorial elections, total votes cast = 12,048,067 [-4.76%]

2000 Gubernatorial elections, total votes cast = 13,228,851 [+9.8%]

2004 Gubernatorial elections, total votes cast = 15,226,325 [+15.1%]

2008 Gubernatorial elections, total votes cast = 16,706,361 [+9.72%]

2012 Gubernatorial elections, total votes cast = 16,707,808 [+0.009%]

2016 Gubernatorial elections, total votes cast = 19,579,201 [+17.187%]

2020 Gubernatorial elections, total votes cast = 20,442,969 [+4.411%]

Average raw votes cast decrease/increase, POTUS-Year Gubernatorial elections 1992-2020 = +7.352%

Now for “off-year” Gubernatorial elections [KY, MS & LA have Gubernatorial contests in these years – I will omit any state (such as WV) that had “special elections” in these years]

1995 Gubernatorial elections, total votes cast = 3,353,628

1999 Gubernatorial elections, total votes cast (3 contests, KY, MS, LA) = 2,639,216 [-21.303%]

2003 Gubernatorial elections, total votes cast = 3,385,772 [+28.285%]

2007 Gubernatorial elections, total votes cast = 3,097,204 [-8.523%]

2011 Gubernatorial elections, total votes cast = 2,748,254 [-11.267%]

2015 Gubernatorial elections, total votes cast = 2,844,741 [+3.51%]

2019 Gubernatorial elections, total votes cast = 3,836,818 [+34.873%]

Average raw votes cast decrease/increase, off-year Gubernatorial elections 1995-2019 = +4.2625%

Now for POTUS elections

1992 POTUS election, total votes cast = 104,426,611

1996 POTUS, total votes cast = 96,275,640 [-7.805% decrease in votes relative to previous election cycle]

2000 POTUS, total votes cast = 105,425,985 [+9.504%]

2004 POTUS, total votes cast = 122,303,590 [+16.009%]

2008 POTUS, total votes cast = 131,473,705 [+7.498%]

2012 POTUS, total votes cast = 129,237,642 [-1.7008%]

2016 POTUS, total votes cast = 137,143,218 [+6.117%]

2020 POTUS, total votes cast = 158,590,894 [+15.6385%]

Average raw votes cast decrease/increase, POTUS elections 1992-2020 = +6.465%

You might ask, “Why are you not focusing on turnout averages?” There are a lot of states (Judicial Watch has exposed this more than a handful of times) that are lax at voter roll maintenance, failing to remove people who have moved, people who are dead, people who have not voted in a decade & they should not be on the voter rolls.

If a Voter ID law is passed by State X, mentally-ill folks like Sam Seder, the drug-addled hippie w/ no teeth (Old Fart Rants) & the people they copy talking points from will say, “That be goin’ to suppress der vote.”

When turnout spikes in the next few election cycles, they’ll still claim it, even when they have no proof.

Not everyone who is not locked up in prison or an insane asylum should vote, period. There are a lot of low-information (unfortunately, I know some people who are successful, but refuse to vote because they’re lazy, disinterested, don’t want to do the necessary work to become informed (and some of them know this) or just do not care/do not think they will make a difference) idiots out there (we saw this in the Obama years as turnout waned in 2012 because many of his supporters realized that his ascendence to the White House did not result in their lives suddenly becoming better) who rarely vote or never vote.

The Democrats do everything they can (even voting for them) to get them to the polls, everything but inform them on the issues. They give them some boilerplate talking points, some soft bigotry of low expectations – without government they cannot succeed.

Imagine if they did the same amount of work Thomas Sowell did to make his decisions on whom to vote for or if they did the same amount of work my friend James Patrick Holding https://www.tektonics.org/lp/nowayjose.php did to conclude that Jesus Christ was The Word in the Flesh, born of a virgin & resurrected for his sins?

They would be informed & likely would not be Democrats. But most people (even a lot of good people) do not want to do the necessary work – they’re lazy.

Ergo, just focusing on turnout is a non-starter. Groomer Democrats are *consistently* whining about suppression, even if turnout spikes beyond levels seen prior to numerous states instituting some form of Voter ID Law.

There are plenty of election deniers in the Dumocrat Party pushing the Big Lie, the lie of voter suppression, “not all the votes were counted” etc. https://rumble.com/v1ou9vw-kari-lake-decimates-the-democrat-media-on-the-big-lie.html

They’ve been parroting The Big Lie about allegedly stolen elections for decades, now they’re accusing others of what they habitually do & screeching like banshees about voter suppression is par-for-the-course.

***
Now for the grand finale, in states where I have enough, balanced data let us calculate them altogether (GA, IN, OH, KS & TN) versus national data.

For all elections in those entities *after* a Voter ID/Photo ID law was ensconced in Gubernatorial & POTUS elections the avg. increase in raw votes was (this is 37 data points kids) +8.562%. The Population Standard Deviation was +17.779%.

The NATIONAL average for POTUS elections (using 1992 as my baseline) & Gubernatorial elections (also using 1992 as my baseline or 1994 for midterms) for POTUS years & midterms (this is 21 data points) = +6.811%. The Population Standard Deviation was +11.164%.

Raw voter turnout increased in the states that engaged in “voter suppression, although the swings (large decrease, followed by mammoth increase) were wilder than national data en masse.

I could go further (If State A has raw vote increases that were below national averages prior to Voter ID & after Voter ID, that does not mean Voter ID is suppressing turnout), but I think this demonstrates that the states that cranked down (and where I had 3 elections prior to & after Voter ID) on potential voter fraud had raw vote increases larger than the national data en masse.

This data is NOT perfect, but it is a good chink in the armor of bi-polaroids like the divorcee Sam Seder & his underemployed autistics who screech “voter suppression” whenever a Democrat loses an election.

POTUS, Gubernatorial elections POTUS years & Midterm Gubernatorial elections

-7.805
9.504
16.009
7.498
-1.7008
6.117
15.6385
-4.76
9.8
15.1
9.72
0.009
17.187
4.411
-3.599
7.806
6.471
5.613
-8.485
42.988
-4.471

Data for GA, IN, OH, KS & TN

21.255
-0.9904
54.996
0.3553
18.995
-0.6049
6.103
20.573
10.42
-4.54
5.38
11.045
11.7
-4.48
4.83
10.12
24.583
-4.233
-20.676
45.155
-6.7842
1.67
-2.287
-0.973
7.15
3.66
21.299
-5.705
-6.57
3.46
15.02
15.47
65.71
-22.55
-5.42
1.92
21.752

Let us add a few Democrat-leaning states for the bi-polaroid Sam Seder who has an affinity for Roman Polanski & see how they fared in vote increase/decreases.

California

CA 1994 Gubernatorial election, total raw votes = 8,665,375

CA 1998 Gubernatorial election, total raw votes = 8,381,871 [-3.2717%]

CA 2002 Gubernatorial election, total raw votes = 7,474,030 [-10.831%] *Massive Declines in votes for 2 straight election cycles, Sam Seder’s bi-polar rage will be percolating over that “voter suppression” in the Golden State*

CA 2006 Gubernatorial election, total raw votes = 8,679,416 [+16.1275%]

CA 2010 Gubernatorial election, total raw votes = 10,095,485 [+16.315%]

CA 2014 Gubernatorial election, total raw votes = 7,317,581 [-27.516%]

CA 2018 Gubernatorial election, total raw votes = 12,464,235 [+70.333%]

CA 2022 Gubernatorial election, total raw votes = 10,933,009 [-12.2848%]

CA 1992 POTUS election, total raw votes = 11,131,721

CA 1996 POTUS election, total raw votes = 10,019,484 [-9.992%]

CA 2000 POTUS election, total raw votes = 10,965,856 [+9.445%]

CA 2004 POTUS election, total raw votes = 12,421,859 [+13.277%]

CA 2008 POTUS election, total raw votes = 13,583,083 [+9.349%]

CA 2012 POTUS election, total raw votes = 13,055,815 [-3.882%]

CA 2016 POTUS election, total raw votes = 14,243,449 [+9.097%]

CA 2020 POTUS election, total raw votes = 17,512,265 [+22.95%]

CA average increase/decrease in raw votes POTUS election cycles = +7.177%

CA average increase/decrease in raw votes Gubernatorial election cycles = +6.981%

***
Illinois

1994 IL Gubernatorial election, total raw votes = 3,106,566

1998 Gubernatorial election, total raw votes = 3,358,657 [+8.115%]

2002 Gubernatorial election, total raw votes = 3,538,891 [+5.361%]

2006 Gubernatorial election, total raw votes = 3,487,989 [-1.44%]

2010 Gubernatorial election, total raw votes = 3,729,987 [+6.934%]

2014 Gubernatorial election, total raw votes = 3,627,690 [-2.741%]

2018 Gubernatorial election, total raw votes = 4,559,563 [+25.69%]

2022 Gubernatorial election, total raw votes = 4,107,075 [-9.924%]

1992 IL POTUS election, total raw votes = 5,050,157

1996 POTUS election, total raw votes = 4,311,391 [-14.628%]

2000 POTUS election, total raw votes = 4,742,123 [+9.99%]

2004 POTUS election, total raw votes = 5,274,322 [+11.224%]

2008 POTUS election, total raw votes = 5,530,179 [+4.85%]

2012 POTUS election, total raw votes = 5,251,432 [-5.04%]

2016 POTUS election, total raw votes = 5,595,279 [+6.548%]

2020 POTUS election, total raw votes = 6,049,500 [+8.119%]

Illinois average increase/decrease in raw votes POTUS election cycles = +3.009%

Illinois average increase/decrease in raw votes Gubernatorial election cycles = +4.570%

***
New York

1994 NY Gubernatorial, total votes cast = 5,203,764

1998 Gubernatorial, total votes cast = 4,735,236 [-9.004%]

2002 Gubernatorial, total votes cast = 4,579,078 [-3.298%]

2006 Gubernatorial, total votes cast = 4,437,220 [-3.097%]

2010 Gubernatorial, total votes cast = 4,657,955 [+4.975%]

2014 Gubernatorial, total votes cast = 3,819,086 [-18.01%] *lower voter participation in 2014 than in 1998 or 1994! Must be voter suppression in the Empire State*

2018 Gubernatorial, total votes cast = 6,104,477 [+59.84%]

2022 Gubernatorial, total votes cast = 5,912,286 [-3.1482%]

1992 NY POTUS election, total votes cast = 6,926,925

1996 POTUS election, total votes cast = 6,316,129 [-8.818%]

2000 POTUS election, total votes cast = 6,831,178 [+8.155%]

2004 POTUS election, total votes cast = 7,391,954 [+8.21%]

2008 POTUS election, total votes cast = 7,640,948 [+3.369%]

2012 POTUS election, total votes cast = 7,081,536 [-7.321%]

2016 POTUS election, total votes cast = 7,721,795 [+9.04%]

2020 POTUS election, total votes cast = 8,632,255 [+11.791%]

NY average increase/decrease in raw votes POTUS election cycles = +3.489%

New York average increase/decrease in raw votes Gubernatorial election cycles = +4.036%

***
If I now average out ALL the data from CA, NY & IL we have the following average decrease/increase in all POTUS & Gubernatorial (no special elections were allowed) elections = +4.877% & The Population Standard Deviation = +17.343%

-9.992
9.445
13.277
9.349
-3.882
9.097
22.95
-3.2717
-10.831
16.1275
16.315
-27.516
70.333
-12.2848
-14.628
9.99
11.224
4.85
-5.04
6.548
8.119
8.115
5.361
-1.44
6.934
-2.741
25.69
-9.924
-8.818
8.155
8.21
3.369
-7.321
9.04
11.791
-9.004
-3.298
-3.097
4.975
-18.01
59.84
-3.1482

The Standard Deviation was close to the election average in the states that engaged in Voter ID/Photo ID/voter suppression, but their average/increase in raw votes was much lower than the national average & was lower than the states w/ tighter Voter ID laws – was that VOTER SUPPRESSION?

In states that either do next-to-nothing to stop voter fraud (CA, NY, IL) or the states that cranked down on it (GA, IN, OH, KS & TN), their increases/decreases in raw votes swung wildly both ways, much more than the national average en masse.

In conclusion, if you see a mentally ill, divorced, functionally retarded mouth breather screeching about “voter suppression” the data above indicates that is not true.

I could give them all the raw data points & not tell them which batch was which (Voter ID states vs. CA, NY, or IL vs. national data) & they would not have a clue, or they would probably guess wrong.

It reminds me of Tom Woods’ COVID-19 chart challenge https://www.covidchartsquiz.com/ where he shows graphs of states that had mask mandates & lockdowns vs. states that did not & he asks you to guess which ones are which & often the states w/ lower case rates per 100,000 did not have lockdowns.

They can’t do it, they have to Monday Morning Quarterback it, they’re a “teach the test” person who can autistically-repeat talking points but once you get them off that they’re like a blind man in a dark room, flailing away like a madman.

There is no truth to this “voter suppression” talking point (aside from creating a narrative) that divorced losers like Sam Seder repeat constantly because they don’t spend any time w/ their now ex-wife & kids, but they do spend a lot of time on social media.

Mr. Chairman, I Yield Back!

***

The mentally ill divorcee Sam Seder has already conceded to me -- he concurs that the most violent counties in America have lots of black on black homicide & they overwhelmingly vote Democrat. http://freewebs.com/professor_enigma/covid-increase-homicides

Sam Seder is afraid to debate my friend James Patrick Holding on The Impossible Faith. https://tektonics.org/lp/nowayjose.php Methinks Stan Seder has no confidence in that religion degree from a diploma mill #samsederwontdebateJPH

Show less