Democrats Losses In New York Highlight MAJOR Problem
The media hailed the Democrats' performance in the 2022 midterm elections as a great accomplishment. But the fact remains that they lost seats in the House they should've won, particularly in New York. The Democratic Party must do a better job of turning out its base.
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But so a narrative has been said by the media that the midterms were a resounding success for the Democrats and they held the Senate and they thwarted election deniers' victory in swing state gubernatorial and Secretary of State races. Well, I agree that the Senate is more important than winning the house because the appointment of Judges' human control of the house is also extremely important. The facts are that the Democrats just needed to flip five seats to keep control of the house. There were seven seats that the Republicans won by less than one point. and while three of those top four races were in districts where Trump won. The other three seats were in the two largest Democratic strongholds in California and New York. Another issue not talked about enough is the disappointing turnout in house races. In 2018 the turnout was 50 percent of all eligible voters which is the highest turnout since 1914 in the midterm election. in 2020 the turnout was 66 percent which is the highest turnout percentage in the presidential year since 1900. Many election experts expected this year's total to be higher than 2018 to open. Fortunately, this year's numbers were down compared to recent years. University of Florida Poli SCI Professor Michael McDonald projected a total of 112 million votes on November 23rd. but the current total is only 170 107.3 million. with most of the vote count already in so his projection of a 46.8 percent turnout could be wrong. I think it's actually closer to 44.8. so Sam do you have an opinion on the five unexpected house losses in New York? or do you have any other questions or comments? I I think a big part of it was what Dave Weigel had told us going into that election. which was there did not seem to be the same amount of urgency to vote in blue States because there wasn't as much concern about the abortion ruling. I think that wasn't you know there was just no there wasn't the same level of urgency to come out and vote in midterm elections. and I think to a certain extent Democrats still have this sort of ongoing problem that they have always had, that their turnout during midterm elections is bad. or or is not commensurate with the moment, right? I mean it certainly is up from where it's been but it's not meeting the level of urgency that it should. and I think Democrats need to figure out a way in which to generate that like because I don't know it could be I don't know if it's if the answer is more negative partisanship you know motivations or if there needs to be a sort of more sort of like unified nationalized message that is you know answering material needs it's hard to say I it really is hard to say I don't know but my sense is that the bump that Democrats got from abortion in purple or red States just didn't happen in New York.
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