Stock Market Crash, or High Oil Prices?

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In this video, I discuss the possibility that the Fed is blindly targeting structural energy inflation using the blunt tools of monetary policy.

The Fed cannot print more crude oil or natural gas, but it can certainly curtail energy demand by forcing the US economy into recession.

Persistent high energy prices may be the result of a failed decade of energy policy and under-investment in the space.

Higher interest rates will also make it more difficult and expensive to finance future energy projects, thus ironically increasing oil prices down the road.

Not investment advice! Consult a financial advisor.

Political pressures on the Fed:
https://www.politico.com/news/2022/05/13/rising-gasoline-prices-biden-natural-gas-00031424
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2022/apr/17/inflation-democrats-midterms-prices-biden

Energy producers unwilling or unable to increase production:
https://oilprice.com/Energy/Crude-Oil/OPEC-Misses-Production-Target-By-Whopping-27-Million-Bpd.html
https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/exclusive-us-asked-brazils-petrobras-if-it-could-raise-oil-output-it-said-no-2022-05-10/
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-05-10/saudi-oil-chief-says-all-energy-sectors-running-out-of-capacity?sref=6QIJIlKP
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-05-25/world-s-oil-growth-engine-is-about-to-slow-despite-100-crude?sref=6QIJIlKP

Our elites are not very elite:
https://apnews.com/article/inflation-health-coronavirus-pandemic-business-6e7c813472a3eb706e0cdafe305c1477
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-fed-yellen/feds-yellen-expects-no-new-financial-crisis-in-our-lifetimes-idUSKBN19I2I5

Fed may keep hiking until they break everything:
https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/2022/05/17/jerome-powell-speech-rate-hikes/9813978002/

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#stockmarketcrash
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