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Divorcee Sam Seder won't conduct this analysis of Missouri, Arkansas elections
Sam Seder, Brian Tyler Cohen et al continue to repeat "Red States have higher homicide rates than Blue States" -- they're guilty by omission & the devil is in the details
The only link you'll need http://freewebs.com/professor_enigma/covid-increase-homicides The U.S. crime wave is a Democrat Crime Wave
Here are the counties in Missouri that voted 60% or more for the homely-looking Trudy Busch Valentine: St. Louis City, St. Louis County & Jackson County.
Those counties had a cumulative population of 4,030,266 (2020-21) of & had 1,038 homicides in 2020-21. That is a homicide rate of 25.755 per 100,000. The entire state of MO had 1,351 cases of murder/non-negligent manslaughter (2020-2021) & that’s a homicide rate of 10.963 per 100,000 for that time frame. YIKES!
Here are the counties in MO that vote 60% or more for Eric Schmitt: Adair, Andrew, Atchison, Audrain, Barry, Barton, Bates, Benton, Bollinger, Buchanan, Butler, Caldwell, Callaway, Camden, Cape Girardeau, Carroll, Carter, Cass, Cedar, Chariton, Christian, Clark, Clinton, Cole, Cooper, Crawford, Dade, Dallas, Daviess, DeKalb, Dent, Douglas, Dunklin, Franklin, Gasconade, Gentry, Grundy, Harrison, Henry, Hickory, Holt, Howard, Howell, Iron, Jasper, Jefferson, Johnson, Knox, Laclede, Lafayette, Lawrence, Lewis, Lincoln, Linn, Livingston, McDonald, Macon, Madison, Maries, Marion, Mercer, Miller, Mississippi, Moniteau, Monroe, Montgomery, Morgan, New Madrid, Newton, Nodaway, Oregon, Osage, Ozark, Pemiscot, Perry, Pettis, Phelps, Pike, Polk, Pulaski, Putnam, Ralls, Randolph, Ray, Reynolds, Ripley, St. Clair, Ste. Genevieve, St. Francois, Saline, Schuyler, Scotland, Scott, Shannon, Shelby, Stoddard, Stone, Sullivan, Taney, Texas, Vernon, Warren, Washington, Wayne, Webster, Worth & Wright.
Those counties had a cumulative population 2020-21 of 5,784,221 & had 213 (102 in 2020 & 111 in 2021) homicides in 2020-21. That is a homicide rate of 3.682 per 100,000. By far, the most violent counties in MO vote overwhelmingly for Dumocrats & they alone are the reason the homicide rate there is so high.
The full monty & supplemental info can be found here http://freewebs.com/professor_enigma/covid-increase-homicides
I used https://showmecrime.mo.gov/public/Browse/browsetables.aspx then click on “SRS Crime Rates by County”, then select “Summery Data” (2021 & 2021) & lastly “Summary Offense” (Murder & nonnegligent manslaughter).
Some more data I’ve elucidated for you prior: In Missouri, 51.3% (59 of 115) of its counties had ZERO homicides (2016). An additional 25 counties had one homicide.
13.04% (15 of 115) of MO counties had zero homicides in 2021. 19.13% (only 22 of 115) of MO counties had zero homicides in 2020. They were 8.78% (540,736) of the state population. It was a rough 2 years in the Show Me State.
Let us look at Arkansas. https://www.dps.arkansas.gov/crime-info-support/arkansas-crime-information-center/crime-statistics/ I am going to break my 60% rule a bit on this one as the Democrat nominees for Senate & Governor in AR got smoked.
Here are the 3 counties that were the most lean-Democrat in those recent elections in Razorback land: Phillips, Jefferson & Pulaski. The Dem nominee won 60% of the votes or more only in Pulaski & only in the Gubernatorial race, but considering the Democrats got beat by more than 27% they were definitely outliers.
Those counties had a population of 962,541 (2020-21) & 252 homicides, which equals a homicide rate of 26.180 per 100,000. YIKES!
The GOP received 60% or more in those elections & I usually up the percentage to 66%, so I can focus on outliers. I am going to now tally counties where the GOP received 60% or more of the vote in those races.
Those counties are: Arkansas, Ashley, Baxter, Benton, Boone, Bradley, Calhoun, Clay, Cleburne, Cleveland, Columbia, Conway, Craighead, Crawford, Drew, Faulkner, Franklin, Fulton, Garland, Grant, Greene, Hempstead, Hot Spring, Howard, Independence, Izard, Jackson, Johnson, Lafayette, Lawrence, Lincoln, Little River, Logan, Lonoke, Madison, Marion, Miller, Mississippi, Montgomery, Nevada, Newton, Perry, Pike, Poinsett, Polk, Pope, Prairie, Scott, Searcy, Sebastian, Sevier, Sharp, Stone, Union, Van Buren, White, Woodruff & Yell.
Those counties had a collective population (2020-21) of 4,044,863 & had 277 homicides. That’s a homicide rate of 6.848 per 100,000.
As they say on TV, “That’s not all folks.” As is the case for Missouri, Arkansas’ homicide demographics skew towards one group a lot.
For 2020-21 of the 379 arrestees for Murder/Nonnegligent Manslaughter where the race of the arrestee is known, 66.49% (252) of those arrested were Black. According to the 2020 Census, AR was 15.7% Black. That is what I call disproportionate.
Of AR’s 75 counties, (28) 37.33% had no homicides in 2021. Those counties were 18.97% (574,294) of the state population.
Donald Trump won 26 of those 28 (92.85%) counties in the 2020 election w/ ≥60% of the vote.
Of AR’s 75 counties (24) 32% had zero homicides in 2020.
#samseder #majorityreport The divorcee Stan Seder is still afraid to debate my friend James Patrick Holding on The Impossible Faith https://tektonics.org/lp/nowayjose.php Methinks Stan has no confidence in that religion degree he received from a diploma mill
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