Retail Sales & False Confidence

(11/16/22) [NOTE: This segment recorded before Retail Sales figures for October was reported at +1.3%, vs the anticipated 1.2%% increase] Markets were waiting for October's Retail Sales report, expected to be strongly influenced by data from California, which is a large consumer-state. Cali Gov. Gavin Newsom last month issued more stimulus checks to offset inflation and higher fuel prices. The artificially spurred spending is expected to have spiked sales numbers. Stronger retail sales will likely give the Fed a false confidence that all is well in the economy, and continued rate hikes are okay, which bodes poorly for Wall Street. Increasing layoffs and port closings portend a weakening economy, but that weakness could be masked by stronger sales numbers. Markets have enjoyed a nice rally, but are now beginning to show signs of exhaustion as markets continue to close positive, but with lower highs.

Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO
Produced by Brent Clanton
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