What China’s Strategic Breakout Means for the U.S.

The Biden administration recently released its Nuclear Posture Review, which sets forth a strategy intended to address the growing nuclear threat from China since the “strategic breakout” of its nuclear forces was revealed to the public in summer 2021. China has surpassed its historic nuclear strategy of minimum deterrence and can now execute any nuclear employment strategy, according to U.S. Strategic Command. Meanwhile, the U.S. nuclear arsenal has not significantly changed and remains designed around the 2010 New START Treaty. Whether this posture is sufficient to deter the growing Chinese nuclear threat while still deterring Russia’s expanding arsenal at the same time is uncertain.

Given the Nuclear Posture Review’s long-awaited release, join us to learn what China’s nuclear expansion means for the U.S. and what options policymakers should consider in response.

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