Schaftlein Report | Election Preview

1 year ago
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Schaftlein Report | Election Preview

1) 40M Early Votes - Enthusiasm gap tightens as many races too close to call.

1A) say the county is going in the wrong direction and 77% want significant changes.

1B) RCP predicts GOP picks up 3 senate seats and 31 House seats.

1C) Fox News projects 49-47 Senate with 4 undecided and 23 House seat pick up.

1D) Cook Political Report projects 18 House seats and 538 says 15 seats

2) Biden Approval at 40%. Washington Post creates Bottomless Pinocchio's for Biden's endless lies on Social security, Inflation and gas prices.

2A) The Generic Ballot edge average goes to Republicans by 2 points.

2B) How will Black, Latino and Suburban voters go. Will the shift be as large as predicted?

3) Legendary coach Vince Dooley endorsed Herschel Walker prior to his passing last week. Walker surging but can he get 50%.
Trafaler has him +2

4) Arizona and Pennsylvania races are tied in polling. Will GOP lead in Nevada hold? New Hampshire is so close.

4A) Vance up big in Ohio by 8-10

5) NY Governor race Lee Zeldon surges. Can he win?

6) Biden says he will close down coal mines.Senator Manchin is furious and calls him out. White House walks back the comment.

7) Biden has not yet call Netanyahu to congratulate him on Israeli win.

8) Crime report - 9 shot and wounded outside Philadelphia bar.

9) Major changes coming to border if GOP takes both chambers. Voters are furious.

From Keystone, Afghanistan, Inflation, gas prices, economy, education, crime and border, Americans are fed up.

10) Tom Cotton passes on 2024 run.

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