Media's Polling Coverage Could Cause MAJOR Problems After Election Night

1 year ago
50

The media's current narrative heading into the midterms is the Republicans are going to have a very good night. If that is the broad consensus what happens if the Dems over-perform and win races the media said they would probably lose? When voters have their expectations challenged how will they react?

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You wrote a piece this morning actually that was what I've been sort of saying for a while. And I had just finished having a conversation with Bradley about this. Which is like it is so hard to parse what's happening with these polls. For people like Lay people. I mean but even it just feels like there are so many polls. It is hard to make an assessment of each of these polls. It's also hard to know how well pollsters have captured what's going on because it is such a weird time. Give me your thoughts on it. Well, I agree with you completely. I mean that's when you know you're if you're following this closely as we are and I'm sure a lot of people are. This is a very important election and we're all kind of on pins and needles waiting to see what happens here. The polling is just it you know it's just odd. You know when in my piece I wrote you know if you'd have told me a year ago that the Democrats would be that it would be within the margin of error in the polling Aggregates that perhaps you know that could go either way I would have said you were crazy. Because remember after the 2021 off-year elections the conventional wisdom was that the Republicans were just going to sweep. It was going to be a huge Red Wave, maybe a red tsunami. Maybe unprecedented you know with Biden's poll numbers in the dirt. And you had inflation soaring Sky High and gas prices and all that. And then you had that you know months and months of the Sturman drawing that was going on in the Senate with Joe Manchin and Kirsten Sinema. And it looked like Biden's agenda was dead in the water all of that sort of added up to a CW conventional wisdom that it was done. It was just a done deal and you know you pile on top of that the historical sort of you know mandate that says that the off-year you know the party in the White House always loses seats. And you know it didn't seem unreasonable to me to think that was going to happen. I kind of assumed it and I think most people did. And then obviously the Supreme Court like you know overturned Roe versus Wade. And things seemed over the summer to really be Shifting in the other direction. And where We've Ended up now is this polling within the margin of error.

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