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Climate Science 5 - The IPCC's Forcing Estimates are Wrong Too
This the fifth in my Climate Science series debunking the existence of a so-called 'greenhouse effect'.
I demonstrate that the IPCC's relative forcing estimates for greenhouse gases and for natural forcings are incorrect.
Climate Science 5 - The IPCCs Forcing Estimates are Wrong Too.
(Apology - mistake at 11:05 it was Mt Tambora not Krakatoa which exploded in 1815.)
REFERENCES;
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CMIP5 Models uses 73 and 42 models. Comparison with HadCRUT4 courtesy Ed Hawkins, 2013.
Carbon-14 from the US Geological Survey, last 1,000 years.
HadCRUT3 data; http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/tem...
Scafetta, N. (2010). Empirical evidence for a celestial origin of the climate oscillations and its implications. Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, 72(13), 951-970.
Foukal, P., at al (2006). Variations in solar luminosity and their effect on the Earth's climate. Nature, 443(7108), 161-166.
Svensmark, H. (2007b). Cosmoclimatology: a new theory emerges. Astronomy & Geophysics, 48(1), 1.18-11.24.
Aizen, E. M., et al (2016). Abrupt and moderate climate changes in the mid-latitudes of Asia during the Holocene. Journal of glaciology, 62(233), 411-439.
Rosenthal, Y., Linsley, B. K., & Oppo, D. W. (2013). Pacific ocean heat content during the past 10,000 years. Science, 342(6158), 617-621.
Lüdecke, H.-J. (2011). Long-term instrumental and reconstructed temperature records contradict anthropogenic global warming. Energy & Environment, 22(6), 723-745.
Rydval, M., et al. (2017). Reconstructing 800 years of summer temperatures in Scotland from tree rings. Climate Dynamics, 1-24.
Zhang, H., at al (2015). Late Holocene climate change and anthropogenic activities in north Xinjiang: Evidence from a peatland archive, the Caotanhu wetland. The Holocene, 25(2), 323-332.
Yan, H., et al. (2014). Higher sea surface temperature in the northern South China Sea during the natural warm periods of late Holocene than recent decades. Chinese science bulletin, 59(31), 4115-4122.
Orth, R., et al (2016). Did European temperatures in 1540 exceed present-day records? Environmental Research Letters, 11(11), 114021.
Kaniewski, D.et al (2011). The medieval climate anomaly and the Little Ice Age in coastal Syria inferred from pollen-derived palaeoclimatic patterns. Global and Planetary Change, 78(3), 178-187.
Ladurie, E. L. R., Delibrias, G., & Ladurie, M. L. R. (1975). La forêt de Grindelwald: nouvelles datations. Paper presented at the Annales. Économies, Sociétés, Civilisations.
Lamb, H. H. (2013). Climate: Present, Past and Future (Routledge Revivals): Volume 1: Fundamentals and Climate Now (Vol. 1): Routledge.
Tozer, C. R., Vance, T. R., Roberts, J. L., Kiem, A. S., Curran, M. A., & Moy, A. D. (2016). An ice core derived 1013-year catchment-scale annual rainfall reconstruction in subtropical eastern Australia. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 20(5), 1703.
He, Y., Liu, W., Zhao, C., Wang, Z., Wang, H., Liu, Y., . . . Liu, Z. (2013). Solar influenced late Holocene temperature changes
Usoskin, I. G., Solanki, S., & Kovaltsov, G. (2007). Grand minima and maxima of solar activity: new observational constraints.
Solanki, S. K., Usoskin, I. G., Kromer, B., Schüssler, M., & Beer, J. (2004). Unusual activity of the Sun during recent decades compared to the previous 11,000 years. Nature, 431(7012), 1084-1087.
Scafetta, N., & Willson, R. C. (2014). ACRIM total solar irradiance satellite composite validation versus TSI proxy models.
Shapiro, A., Schmutz, W., Rozanov, E., Schoell, M., Haberreiter, M., Shapiro, A., & Nyeki, S. (2011). A new approach to the long-term reconstruction of the solar irradiance leads to large historical solar forcing. Astronomy & Astrophysics, 529, A67.
Herrera, V. V., Mendoza, B., & Herrera, G. V. (2015). Reconstruction and prediction of the total solar irradiance:
Svensmark, H. (2007b). Cosmoclimatology: a new theory emerges. Astronomy & Geophysics, 48(1), 1.18-11.24.
Shaviv, N. J. (2008). Using the oceans as a calorimeter to quantify the solar radiative forcing. Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, 113(A11).
Neff, U., Burns, S., Mangini, A., Mudelsee, M., Fleitmann, D., & Matter, A. (2001). Strong coherence between solar variability and the monsoon in Oman between 9 and 6 ky ago. Nature, 411(6835), 290-293.
Gouretski, V., Kennedy, J., Boyer, T., & Köhl, A. (2012). Consistent near‐surface ocean warming since 1900 in two largely independent observing networks.
Lansner, F., & Pedersen, J. O. P. (2018). Temperature trends with reduced impact of ocean air temperature, Energy & Environment
Ljungqvist, F. C. (2010). A new reconstruction of temperature variability in the extra-tropical Northern Hemisphere during the last two millennia.
My Latest Paper;
https://www.researchgate.net/publicat...
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