Why did the Kerch Strait (Crimea Bridge) collapse?

1 year ago
6

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The Kerch Straight Bridge or Crimea Bridge connects Russia with Russian occupied Crimea.

The bridge was the subject of an attack on October 8th, 2022. We're not sure who conducted the attack or why, but we can rule out some theories of the method of delivery:

#1. I think we can discount an autonomous vehicle. There are too many Russian naval patrols in the area.
#2. I don't think it was a missile. The only missile that could penetrate that far into Crimea from Ukraine would be an MGM-140 ATACMS and there is no evidence that missile has been sold to Ukraine. And any missile trying to strike that deep into Crimea would encounter substantial surface-to-air missile fire. Also note that the railway is more important than the road. Any attack would have struck the railway before the road.
#3. This leaves us with a truck-bomb or a vehicle delivered weapon.

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