Attacks of the RF Armed Forces on the energy system of Ukraine - analysis by Rybar

Attacks of the RF Armed Forces on the energy system of Ukraine - analysis by Rybar

"On the morning of October 10, the RF Armed Forces launched massive missile strikes throughout Ukraine. In addition to the headquarters and command posts of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, the Security Service of Ukraine and the National Guard, objects of the energy infrastructure of Ukraine were subjected to systemic strikes.

Neither the nuclear power plant nor the hydroelectric power plant was struck by anyone - and this is not necessary in the current case either. On our map, we have displayed all significant substations and thermal power plants with thermal power plants, as well as high-voltage lines 330kV on the territory of Ukraine. Some of the objects (as well as lines with 750kV substations) are deliberately omitted - otherwise the map would have turned out to be as overloaded as possible. We focused on 330kV - as a result of the blow, they were the first to suffer.

🔻To date, Rybar's team has managed to confirm the following strikes:

▪️Kyiv: Kyiv CHPP-3, Kyiv CHPP-5, Substation 110 Vokzalnaya, Darnytska CHPP — there are massive hits.

But no strikes were recorded at the Brovary SS, Severnaya SS and Kyiv CHPP-6. Either they were not included in the list of objects for fire damage, or the Ukrainian air defense systems partially worked.

▪️Rivne: Substation Rivne 330 kV - a hit on the object caused an overload of 110 kV substations and a power outage in the city.

▪️Khmelnitsky: Substation Khmelnitskaya 330/110 kV - since there is no electricity in the whole city, only the 330 kV substation could be affected, which provoked shutdowns of the Rakovo, Stara, Thermoplast, Ozernaya, Dubovo substations and the Grechany traction substation.

▪️Ternopil: Substation Ternopil 330/110/35 kV - there is no electricity in the whole city, substation 110 kV Zagreblya, Ternopil supporting, Galician, Promyshlennaya, Plotycha, reinforced concrete products are powered from it.

▪️Sumy: Substation 330kV Konotop - the hit caused power outages in the entire region.

▪️Kharkiv: there is no electricity, water, communications in the whole city, the metro has stopped.

This may mean the simultaneous decommissioning of the substation Zalyutino, Kharkovskaya, Losevo, as well as Kharkovskaya CHPP-5, Zmievskaya TPP, Chuguevskaya CHPP-2. But due to the lack of communications in the region, it is not yet possible to confirm the decommissioning of all facilities.

▪️Kryvyi Rih: Kryvyi Rih TPP, one of the largest in Ukraine.

▪️Zhytomyr: Substation Zhytomyr 330/110 kV

▪️Lviv: Lviv CHPP-1

▪️Ivano-Frankivsk: Burshtynska TPP

▪️Vinnytsia: train delays are recorded, which may be evidence of the failure of individual traction substations. But there is no information about this in open sources.

🔻The strikes caused shock among the Ukrainian population. The failure of certain key structures of the Ukrainian energy network caused an overload of the entire energy system of Ukraine: nuclear power plants could not cope with the load.

Those who gave the order for a massive fire defeat should take into account that all the damage inflicted can still be restored. If the purpose of the blow was to cause a short-term shock - well, it worked.

But if the goal is to overload the energy system of Ukraine for prolonged panic among the population, a drop in the morale of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and victory on the battlefield, then such actions must be repeated.

❗️It is necessary to break open switchgear 750kV at nuclear power plants, responding with symmetrical measures - as was the case with the Zaporozhye NPP. Particular attention should be paid to the Khmelnitsky nuclear power plant - there is a direct power line to Poland."