"How Easy Is It To Accurately Predict The Outcome of Future Battles On The Frontlines?"

"How Easy Is It To Accurately Predict The Outcome of Future Battles On The Frontlines?

Since the front line in Kherson municipality has stabilized for the time being, let's summarize my predictions from a week ago.

Here on October 2, (https://t.me/zola_of_renovation/3139) on the whole, all the arrows of a potential AFU offensive, plus or minus, came true: the Khokhry did not advance south of Dudchany, but went to Novaya Kamenka, went south of Arkhangelsk and Mirolyubovka, and took Bolshaya Aleksandrovka and Davydov Brod. Then the front line at this point has been stabilised.

On October 4 (https://t.me/zola_of_renovation/3157) I said that the Khohols could not encircle our troops in the outpost towards Kryvyi Rih and would push them out. Which they did. The Russians did fortify near Novaya Kamianka, a critical point for defense. The second mentioned, Bolshaya Aleksandrovka, we abandoned, as a result of which we lost the line along the Ingul River.

October 3: (https://t.me/zola_of_renovation/3155) "Regarding the fighting at Dudchany - this is our Krivoy Rog area - at the moment the impression is that it is a good and powerful "toadstool jump" performed by the AFU - a quick attack to improve the tactical situation. And indeed we have no operational consequences at the moment, the Khokhols have improved their position and, in theory, will try to move on to the second stage of the plan and achieve an operational victory on the basis of it.

However, the two phases are separated from each other by the operational pause we are currently witnessing.

Bottom line, as I stated initially that a strike on Beryslav at that point was impossible and that the goal for the AFU was different, and that's how it transpired. The enemy has not moved a single metre towards Beryslav since October 3, after occupying the northern part of Dudchan.

Conclusion: Recommend the @zola_of_renovation channel to your friends and acquaintances - at least some of the publications here are reasonable predictions. Also keep a healthy frame of mind and do not panic. Do not underestimate the Russian army - the men at the front are heroes and do not simply surrender after missing a single blow. It's a tough war with its own risks - it's no easy walk for either us or the Khokhol
Glory to the Russian warriors!

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