August Was Hotter Than Expected

(9/13/22) The CPI print for August came in at 8.3%, hotter than anticipated. The big question now is whether we've seen the peak of inflation? With markets now solely-dependent upon what the Fed does, rather than on fundamentals, a 75-basis point hike later this month is pretty much a lock. In fact, expectations are for the Fed to go up to 4 to 4.5% on the Fed funds rate. Slower economic growth, slower earnings growth, and higher unemployment are the triggers that will cause the Fed to pause, if not begin to reverse rates. There is a disconnect between markets and what's happening in the economy. Only when the economy worsens will the Fed resort to measures opposite its current stance.
[NOTE: This report was recorded prior to today's CPI release.]
Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO
Produced by Brent Clanton
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