Will the Second-Half of 2022 Be Better than the First?

(6/30/22) Markets have chalked up the worst first-half of the year on record; history shows that stocks tend to do better in the second-half of the year...outside of a recession. Much of the recent economic data does not bode well for the economy heading into July, with the risk of recession increasing by the Fed's rate hikes and balance sheet reduction. Historically, if a recession hits, markets dip lower. And even though markets are down this year, so far, there is still more downside possible. There is also a strong possibility of a recession in earnings. It all boils down to earnings, valuations, and adjustments--and earnings have not been revised down enough to compensate for the risk of an economic recession. Our advice: Trade carefully, and use rallies to reduce portfolio risk.
Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO
Produced by Brent Clanton
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