Putin’s Failure: Russia Has Lost 200 Aircraft Over Ukraine

Putin’s Failure: Russia Has Lost 200 Aircraft Over Ukraine

Despite having a significantly larger air force than Ukraine (15 times larger by some accounts), the Russian military has failed to gain air superiority, and arguably maintains aerial parity. At best Russia has achieved local air superiority in the Donbas region.

Gaining control of the skies has been seen as a crucial part of military doctrine since the Second World War, and it is something the United States and its allies had accomplished in the 1991 and 2003 invasions of Iraq. In fact, the Iraqi Air Force suffered almost complete obliteration in the opening stages of the Persian Gulf War in 1991 and as a result, the United States achieved air supremacy. It accomplished the same control of the skies in 2003.

By contrast, Russia has never come close to defeating the Ukrainians Air Force.

One factor has likely been that the Kremlin launched its attack in late February, which is far from an ideal time for air sorties from Russia – even for so-called “all-weather” aircraft. Another reason cited by Harry Boneham, aerospace analyst at international analytics firm GlobalData, is that Russian pilots lack the flight hours to engage in complex combat missions. Routine patrols and intercepts in peacetime are one thing, but actual combat sorties require far more training than Russian pilots likely received.
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