Will China's Housing Bubble Burst in 2022? #59

2 years ago
2

I present my view on the Chinese housing market in 2022. Many aspects of this discussion can be applied to other bubbly real estate markets, which can now be found just about everywhere.

I first point to 9 factors that influence housing prices: 3 market factors that push prices down + 3 non-market factors that wish prices to rise + 3 market factors that are neutral.

I then present 3 risks in sustaining the bubble.

Finally, I argue that the most likely outcome is price control and prolonged depression in the housing market.

My telegram channel: https://t.me/realdrjlt

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