Delta Blues? New COVID Variant Threatens To Sicken Financial Markets | Adam Taggart

3 years ago
18

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There’s a swiftly-emerging risk to this year’s economic recovery that financial markets are only just now becoming aware of. That’s why stocks have been so volatile recently.

But they certainly haven’t yet even begun to fully price this risk in.

If they’re forced to do so, boy, that could easily be the trigger for the major market correction many experts claim is overdue.

So what’s this big new risk?

Another wave of hospitalizations caused by the new delta variant of the COVID-19 virus that require a return to business slowdowns or even shutdowns.

Will this fourth strain create a surge that once again overwhelms our hospital beds and medical professionals with too many patients to treat effectively?

That’s the big risk to the medical system, because even if the delta strain turns out not to be as fatal, when the hospital system becomes overwhelmed, people with all other types of serious medical conditions start dying from lack of sufficient care.

If that indeed were to happen, lockdowns, business restriction mandates, supply chain disruptions will return, crushing the budding hopes of a global economy anxious to get back to life as we once enjoyed it. All the tasty GDP growth we’ve enjoyed over the past few quarters would painfully lurch into reverse.

Now, I’m not predicting this WILL happen. But I AM suggesting it’s a non-dismissable risk at this point. And virtually NONE of this risk is currently priced into today’s markets.

Over the past week, we’ve seen the first few headlines and data about the delta strain acceleration in the US. That’s a big reason for the recent cooling off we’ve seen in the days since the major indices hit their latest all-time highs a week ago. It’s the first faint whiff of fear.

This is important to note, because if the risk from delta suddenly starts looking a lot more serious -- it could well be the trigger for a major market correction.

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There’s no doubt that it's a very challenging time right now for the average investor. Above and beyond the recent economic impacts of COVID, the new era of record low interest rates, runaway US debt and US deficits, and trillions of dollars in monetary and fiscal stimulus stimulus has changed the rules of investing by dangerously distorting the Dow index, the S&P 500, and nearly all other asset prices. Can prices keep rising, or is there a painful reckoning ahead?

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