davidjayjackson

In February 1954 school children began getting the Polio Vaccine developed by Dr. Jonas Salk. None the less it still took to 1979 before US was "officially" Polio free.

Washington Uni IHME(Oct. 14, 2020 model) says 389,087 COVID-19 deaths by Feb. 1, 2021. The problems (as the two plot show) is in order to reach that number, we have to average 1,579 (green line) death per day between Oct. 17,2020 and Feb. 1, 2020. Currently the US is averaging only 942 (red line) deaths per day.Which works out to 320,360 US Covid19 deaths by Feb. 1, 2021.

Daily COVID-19 Report for Spain for Aug. 19, 2020. Report includes COVID-19 Reports by daily, weekly and monthly for both COVID19 Cases and COVID19 Deaths. Website: http://uscovid19.org/ R Code: https://github.com/davidjayjackson/COVID-19-uscovid19.org.git SQLite data: https://github.com/davidjayjackson/COVIDDB.git

US Covid19 Deaths have decreased by 80.8% - 86% since peaking on Apr. 16, 2020 at 4928.

Daily COVID-19 Report for USA for Sept 13, 2020. Report includes COVID-19 Reports by daily, weekly and monthly for both #COVID19 Cases and #COVID19 Deaths. Report was created using R programming language, Rstudio, Rmarkdown and SQLite data.base

Massachusetts COVID19 Analysis for Oct. 12, 2020

Good News, US COVID19 Death continue to decline. US is currently averaging 950 COVID19 death per day. US is currently averaging 29182 COVID19 cases per day.

Washington University IHME team predict 394,693 by Feb. 1, 2021 (Updated Oct. 10, 2021). MY "Guesstimate" put it closer to 322514. by Feb. 1, 2020.

Title pretty much says it all......US Covid19 Deaths Decline.

The Washington Post headline for Oct 8, 2020 reads," Pence and Harris clash under the shadow of a surging pandemic" The question is simple does the COVID19 data support there claim that the COVID19 is "Surging"? This video will prove that in actual fact COVID19 Cases and Deaths declining. Here is the link to the Washington Post story: https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/pence-harris-vp-debate/2020/10/08/96efe1da-08b3-11eb-859b-f9c27abe638d_story.html And my R Code: https://github.com/davidjayjackson/BASE-R-Random-States

I had to revise my model for US Covid19 Deaths after seeing the "official" Covid19 model of 363,269 (by Jan. 1, 2021) from Washington University IHME. (link below). I base my model on confirmed/reported US Covid19 deaths, and average US daily Covid19 deaths my deaths by Jan. 1, 2021 come at a good bit lower.... Washington University IHME: http://www.healthdata.org/covid

Daily COVID-19 Report for the USA Sept. 29 2020. Report includes Plot/graphs for #COVID19 Cases and Deaths by day, week and month. Report was created using R programming language, Rstudio, Rmarkdown and SQLite data.base ----------------------------------------------- Website: http://uscovid19.org/ R Code: https://github.com/davidjayjackson/COVID-19-uscovid19.org.git SQLite data: https://github.com/davidjayjackson/COVIDDB.git

NPR/Washington Uni 300,000 by Dec. 1, 2020 USA Today/Washington Uni 410,000 by Jan 1-31, 2021. (1) US is currently averaging 961 Covid19 deaths per day. (New York Times data). (2) In order to reach 300,000 by Dec. 1, 2020 we need to average 1,549 Covid19 deaths per day. (3) In order to reach 410,000 Covid19 death by Jan. 1, 2020 have to average 2,238 per day. (4) In order to reach 410,000 by Jan. 31, 2020 we need to average 1678 death per day...

US #COVID19 #Mortality Rate by State for Sept.30, 2020 sorted by state. The booby prize goes to Connecticut with a #Mortality Rate of 7,5% and Alaska with a #Mortality Rate of 1/2%.

In this case the K.I.S.S. model means using the average numbers of #Covid19Deaths per day to "guesstimate" the Total number of #Covid19Deaths between now and Dec. 1, 2020 or now and Jan. 1-31, 2020. #NPR.com , 300,000 #Covid19 deaths by Dec. 1, 2020: https://www.npr.org/sections/health-s... #USAToday, 410,000 #covid19deaths by Jan. 2021: https://news.yahoo.com/coronavirus-li...

I brief summary of Covid-19 Data for Sept. 24, 2020. Report includes countries (and Ohio): USA, Spain, Israel and Pakistan..

NPR, Aug. 6, 2020 : 300,000 Covid-19 Deaths by Dec. 1, 2020. USA, Sept 4, 2020, 410,00 Covid-19 Deaths by Jan. 2021 Both articles site, The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation at the University of Washington's School of Medicine .

My Weekly Model update for Sept. 1, 2020. COVID-19 Cases showed the first weekly increase in 8 weeks, and US Covid-19 Deaths had first increase in 6 weeks.. This "model" was prompt by the two articles listed below: NPR.com https://www.npr.org/sections/health-shots/2020/08/06/900000671/300-000-deaths-by-december-9-takeaways-of-the-newest-covid-19-projections Yahoo News: https://news.yahoo.com/coronavirus-live-updates-model-predicts-114850152.html

In this brief 6 minute video, I will use (basic) plots to illustrate the difference between the two (2) ways COVID-19 is being tracked: (a) Daily, (b) Cumulative.