US War on China is a War on the Entire World
- A recent essay published by the US Naval Institute about imposing a "distant blockade" on China to strangle the Chinese economy has severe implications considering the long list of nations counting on the trade with China the US proposes to strangle;
- The “distant blockade” is necessary because of China’s growing military power and its ability to confound US military aggression immediately along its own shores;
- The essay book-ends US policy going as far back as 2006 aimed at cutting China's various economic "lines of communication," including sea routes from the Middle East to China via the Malacca Strait and the South China Sea;
- Far from speculative policy, the US has already reorganized the entire US Marine Corps to wage war against Chinese shipping;
- To prevent global economic catastrophe in the near future, nations must target, expose, and uproot US interference within and along their borders used to set the stage for this proposed “distant blockade;”
References:
Long-Running US Policy to Contain China
The White House (YouTube) - NSC Press Briefing with National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan from Beijing, China (August 29, 2024):
https://www.youtube.com/live/TwDQtR_cmfY?si=78z5kSsPQ7keBDym&t=353
US State Department, Office of the Historian - Courses of Action in Vietnam (November 1965):
https://history.state.gov/historicaldocuments/frus1964-68v03/d189
International Institute for Strategic Studies (via JSTOR) - String of Pearls: Meeting the Challenge of China’s Rising Power Across the Asia Littoral (2006):
https://www.jstor.org/stable/resrep11277
US Naval Institute - Cutting China’s "String of Pearls" (2006):
https://www.usni.org/magazines/proceedings/2006/october/cutting-chinas-string-pearls
NY Times - U.S. STRATEGY PLAN CALLS FOR INSURING NO RIVALS DEVELOP (1992):
https://www.nytimes.com/1992/03/08/world/us-strategy-plan-calls-for-insuring-no-rivals-develop.html
Cutting China’s Economic Lines of Communication
CNN - Chinese workers killed in suicide bomb blast as Pakistan grapples with attacks on Beijing’s interests (March 2024):
https://edition.cnn.com/2024/03/27/asia/chinese-workers-killed-pakistan-attack-dasu-dam-intl-hnk/index.html
The Irrawaddy - PDF Groups Seize Guard Posts for Chinese Pipeline Facilities in Myanmar’s Mandalay Region (August 2024):
https://www.irrawaddy.com/news/war-against-the-junta/pdf-groups-seize-guard-posts-for-chinese-pipeline-facilities-in-myanmars-mandalay-region.html
Example of US Interference in Neighboring Nations to Contain China
Bloomberg - Thailand Needs Hyperloop, Not China-Built High-Speed Rail, Junta Critic Says (October 2018):
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-10-01/junta-critic-says-thailand-needs-hyperloop-not-china-built-rail
Human Rights Foundation - Looking Back at the 2020 OFF (2020):
https://hrf.org/2020-oslo-freedom-forum-september-24-25/
HRF - Annual Report (2023):
https://hrf.org/annual_reports/2023-annual-report/
Exposing Hong Kong - Hong Kong protests: Activists received training from Oslo Freedom Forum (2019):
https://youtu.be/JIjVBUwpri8?si=A7x_FOSXMJB1Om-6
Targeting Chinese Shipping
US Naval Institute - Cutting China’s “String of Pearls” (2006):
https://www.usni.org/magazines/proceedings/2006/october/cutting-chinas-string-pearls
USNI - Prize Law Can Help the United States Win the War of 2026 (September 2024):
https://www.usni.org/magazines/proceedings/2024/september/prize-law-can-help-united-states-win-war-2026
BBC - How US Marines are being reshaped for China threat (February 2023):
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-64294915
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Ukraine's Kursk Operation Crumbles, Crisis on Frontline Grows
Update on the conflict in Ukraine for September 15, 2024…
- Ukraine’s incursion into Kursk has predictably begun to collapse as overextended troops are unable to sustain combat operations against better equipped Russian forces;
- Ukraine’s defensives along the line of contact also continue to collapse;
- Washington continues transitioning toward proxy guerrilla war against Russia as Ukraine and its Western sponsors continue losing in terms of conventional warfare;
References:
Foreign Affairs - Ukraine’s Gamble (September 2, 2024):
https://www.foreignaffairs.com/ukraine/ukraines-gamble
CNN - Outgunned and outnumbered, Ukraine’s military is struggling with low morale and desertion (September 8, 2024):
https://edition.cnn.com/2024/09/08/europe/ukraine-military-morale-desertion-intl-cmd/index.html
Economist - Danger in Donbas as Ukraine’s front line falters (September 8, 2024):
https://www.economist.com/europe/2024/09/08/danger-in-donbas-as-ukraines-front-line-falters
ABC - Russia appears to have launched initial major counterattack against Ukraine in Kursk (September 11, 2024):
https://abcnews.go.com/International/russia-appears-launched-initial-major-counterattack-ukraine-kursk/story?id=113589694
VOA - US reconsidering Ukraine missile restrictions on firing into Russia (September 12, 2024):
https://www.voanews.com/a/us-reconsidering-ukraine-missile-restrictions-on-firing-into-russia-/7781797.html
Business Insider - The plot to topple Putin (September 9, 2024):
https://www.businessinsider.com/inside-plot-russian-exiles-overthrow-vladimir-putin-ukraine-war-2024-9
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As Ukrainian Lines Crumble, Kiev Asks For, "Receives" Non-Existent Missiles
Update on the conflict in Ukraine for September 8, 2024…
- Ukraine’s Commander-in-Chief General Oleksandr Syrskyi admits that Russia outnumbers Ukraine in terms of manpower, arms, and ammunition;
- General Syrskyi also admits that new Ukrainian conscripts are not properly trained, with less than 2 months of training before being sent into combat;
- General Syrskyi claims that his incursion into Kursk, Russia has forced Russia to redeploy forces to Kursk, grinding Russia’s offensive to a halt elsewhere despite all evidence suggesting otherwise including pro-Ukrainian map projects;
- Ukraine complains about a lack of air defenses following increasingly large and effective Russian missile and drone strikes;
- The UK has announced it will supply Ukraine with up to 650 air defense missiles, however these missiles have not been produced yet, with the first batch to reach Ukraine no earlier than the end of the year;
- The UK, under Labour leadership, is continuing its support of Ukraine uninterrupted and is only flagging because the UK’s ability to produce and supply arms and ammunition is limited;
- 650 missiles will likely not last past 2-3 large Russian missile strikes;
For Daily Updates on Ukraine:
The Duran (Telegram): https://t.me/thedurancom + YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@TheDuran/videos
Scott of Kalibrated (Telegram): https://t.me/kalibrated + YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@Kalibratedwithscott/videos
Mark Sleboda (Telegram): https://t.me/TheRealPolitick + Substack: https://marksleboda.substack.com/
References:
CNN - Exclusive: Ukraine army chief reveals the strategy behind Kursk incursion (September 5, 2024):
https://edition.cnn.com/2024/09/05/europe/ukraine-army-chief-kursk-incursion-exclusive-intl/index.html
CNN - Dozens killed in Russian strike on military educational facility in central Ukraine (September 4, 2024):
https://edition.cnn.com/2024/09/03/europe/ukraine-poltava-russia-attack-intl/index.html?iid=cnn_buildContentRecirc_end_recirc
RFE/RL - 'New Energy' Or A Routine Rotation? The Lowdown On Ukraine's Biggest Wartime Government Shake-Up (September 5, 2024):
https://www.rferl.org/a/ukraine-government-shakeup-zelenskiy-cabinet/33108641.html
Air & Space Forces Magazine - Austin Arrives in Germany for Pivotal Ukraine Weapons Aid Meeting (September 5, 2024):
https://www.airandspaceforces.com/austin-germany-pivotal-ukraine-weapons-aid-meeting/
Politico - Meet the new ‘Mr Ukraine’ at the head of Britain’s military (September 6, 2024):
https://www.politico.eu/article/ukraine-britain-military-defense-secretary-john-healey/
UK Gov - UK to provide £162 million package of air defence missiles for Ukraine as Defence Secretary meets international partners (September 6, 2024):
https://www.gov.uk/government/news/uk-to-provide-162-million-package-of-air-defence-missiles-for-ukraine-as-defence-secretary-meets-international-partners
NYT - Russia Pounds Ukraine With ‘One of the Largest Strikes’ of the War (August 26, 2024):
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/26/world/europe/russia-ukraine-missiles-kyiv.html
The Guardian - Zelenskiy claims support waning for strikes against Russian occupiers (September 6, 2024):
https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/sep/06/zelenskiy-calls-on-west-to-allow-missile-strikes-deep-inside-russia
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US Seeks “Super Weapons” to Reign as Sole Superpower
- The US realizes its window of opportunity following the Cold War to assert itself as sole global superpower is closing (if it hasn’t closed already);
- It seeks to find a way to match or exceed the military capabilities and industrial capacity of both Russia and China through “innovation;”
- The US refuses to recognize the fundamental flaws in its own system as well as the premise upon which it seeks primacy in the first place;
- Start-up companies seeking to out-innovate and/or out-produce China propose unrealistic measures that either won’t work or that China is already employing itself on a much larger scale;
References:
Raytheon - Excalibur Projectile:
https://www.rtx.com/raytheon/what-we-do/land/excalibur-projectile
TWZ - New ‘Cheap’ Cruise Missile Concept Flight Tested By Silicon Valley-Backed Start-Up (August 21, 2024):
https://www.twz.com/air/new-cheap-cruise-missile-concept-flight-tested-by-silicon-valley-backed-start-up
Defence Express (Ukraine) - What is the Real Price of russian Missiles: About the Cost of 'Kalibr', Kh-101 and 'Iskander' Missiles (November 2022):
https://en.defence-ua.com/news/what_is_the_real_price_of_russian_missiles_about_the_cost_of_kalibr_kh_101_and_iskander_missiles-4709.html
US White House - US National Security Strategy (2021):
https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/Biden-Harris-Administrations-National-Security-Strategy-10.2022.pdf
NYT - U.S. Strategy Plan Calls for Insuring No Rivals Develop (1992):
https://www.nytimes.com/1992/03/08/world/us-strategy-plan-calls-for-insuring-no-rivals-develop.html
Defense One - The Air Force wants to build lots of bases around the Pacific. But it still needs to determine how to protect them (August 22, 2024):
https://www.defenseone.com/threats/2024/08/air-force-wants-build-lots-bases-around-pacific-it-still-needs-determine-how-protect-them/399014/
Al Jazeera - Saudi Arabia may run out of interceptor missiles in ‘months’ (January 2022):
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/1/9/saudi-arabia-may-run-out-of-interceptor-missiles-in-months-ft
Reuters - Ukraine says Russia has launched over 8,000 missiles, 4,630 drones during war (February 2024):
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/ukraine-says-russia-has-launched-over-8000-missiles-4630-drones-during-war-2024-02-22/
Anduril - Anduril Raises $1.5 Billion to Rebuild the Arsenal of Democracy (August 2024):
https://www.anduril.com/article/anduril-raises-usd1-5-billion-to-rebuild-the-arsenal-of-democracy/
Forbes - The Countries With The Most STEM Graduates [Infographic] (February 2017):
https://www.forbes.com/sites/niallmccarthy/2017/02/02/the-countries-with-the-most-stem-graduates-infographic/
Anduril - Rebuild the Arsenal:
https://www.rebuildthearsenal.com/
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Ukraine Losses First F-16 as the Collapse of its Defenses Accelerates
Update on the conflict in Ukraine for September 1, 2024...
- Western media now admits Ukraine's incursion into Kursk has accelerated the collapse of the actual line of contact as well as compounded existing, critical shortages of manpower, arms, and ammunition;
- Ukraine has lost the first of only 6 F-16 warplanes it received from the West along with one of only 6 Ukrainian pilots trained to operate the aircraft;
- The loss of the F-16 was entirely predictable, it takes years to integrate new warplanes into an armed force, attempting to accelerate the process will lead to loss of aircraft and pilots in addition to all the other dangers they face (Russian air defenses and air-to-air capabilities);
- Calls to loosen restrictions on the use of long-range Western weapons on Russian territory will mean diluting already scarce firepower over a wider area, raising the cost for Russia but accelerating the loss of Ukraine's fighting capacity further;
For Daily Updates on Ukraine:
The Duran (Telegram): https://t.me/thedurancom + YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@TheDuran/videos
Scott of Kalibrated (Telegram): https://t.me/kalibrated + YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@Kalibratedwithscott/videos
Mark Sleboda (Telegram): https://t.me/TheRealPolitick + Substack: https://marksleboda.substack.com/
References:
Washington Post - What Ukraine’s Kursk incursion means for the war with Russia (August 30, 2024):
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/08/30/ukraine-kursk-incursion-russia/
Financial Times - Volodymyr Zelenskyy faces backlash over Russia’s breach of eastern defences (August 30, 2024):
https://www.ft.com/content/e63ce931-d3a1-4b4a-8540-e578d87873e5
WSJ - U.S.-Made F-16 Crashed in Ukraine, Killing Pilot (August 29, 2024):
https://www.wsj.com/world/ukrainian-f-16-is-destroyed-in-crash-4f6d66f6
BBC - Zelensky sacks Ukraine air force chief after F-16 crash (August 31, 2024):
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c1m0jvd4m3zo
AP - EU’s top diplomat ramps up pressure on Ukraine’s backers to permit strikes on targets inside Russia (August 29, 2024):
https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-war-eu-weapons-restrictions-05bb594069ae7f9afdec8910ae65f467
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How is the US Convincing the Philippines to Destroy Itself?
- The US infiltrates a targeted nation’s information space to manipulate a nation’s own population against its best interests;
- The US has convinced the Philippine people that its former colonial master is its “ally,” it largest trade partner (China) is its enemy, and that foregoing economic development to confront China is somehow in its best interests;
- The US does this through large media networks including “fact checking” projects paradoxically reinforcing lies rather than rooting them out;
- A nation’s information space is as important to protect for national security as its physical domains (land borders, shores, and air space);
References:
SCMP - China-Philippines ties on ‘brink of total breakdown’: unpacking the collapse (June 2024):
https://www.scmp.com/week-asia/politics/article/3268506/china-philippines-ties-brink-total-breakdown-unpacking-collapse
Reuters - Pentagon ran secret anti-vax campaign to undermine China during pandemic (June 2024):
https://www.reuters.com/investigates/special-report/usa-covid-propaganda/
US State Department, Office of the Historian - The Philippine-American War, 1899–1902:
https://history.state.gov/milestones/1899-1913/war
US State Department, Office of the Historian - Courses of Action in Vietnam (November 1965):
https://history.state.gov/historicaldocuments/frus1964-68v03/d189
Poynter - Poynter’s Top Funding Sources (June 2023):
https://www.poynter.org/major-funders/#1632843888743-52666069-9ec9
US Embassy (Brazil) - Online Masterclass in Data Journalism: U.S. Embassy Promotes Free Event for Journalism Students (March 2021):
https://br.usembassy.gov/online-masterclass-in-data-journalism-u-s-embassy-promotes-free-event-for-journalism-students/
University of the Philippines - Facts vs Fakes: UP fact-checking initiatives against disinformation (April 2024):
https://up.edu.ph/facts-vs-fakes-up-fact-checking-initiatives-against-disinformation/
PressOne - FACT-CHECK: US not building new military bases in the Philippines (November 2023):
https://pressone.ph/fact-check-us-not-building-new-military-bases-in-the-philippines/
Reuters - Marcos says US access to Philippines bases not meant for 'offensive action' (May 2023):
https://www.reuters.com/world/marcos-says-us-access-philippines-bases-not-meant-offensive-action-2023-05-04/
PressOne - Socmed personality’s pro-China narrative on WPS shared across various pro-China disinformation websites (November 23, 2023):
https://pressone.ph/socmed-personalitys-pro-china-narrative-on-wps-shared-across-various-pro-china-disinformation-websites/#google_vignette
US Congress - H.R.2329 - Countering Chinese Communist Party Malign Influence Act (2021):
https://www.congress.gov/bill/117th-congress/house-bill/2329/text?r=82&s=1
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Kursk: Fighting Russia to the Last Ukrainian...
References:
Politico - As Kyiv makes gains in Kursk, Russia strikes back in Donetsk (August 15, 2024):
https://www.politico.eu/article/ukraine-russia-offensive-prisoners-of-war-invasion-kursk-zelenskyy-putin/
Forbes - Out In The Open And On The Move In Russia’s Kursk Oblast, Ukrainian Forces Are Vulnerable—And Losing Lots Of Armored Vehicles (August 17, 2024):
https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2024/08/17/out-in-the-open-and-on-the-move-in-russias-kursk-oblast-ukrainian-forces-are-vulnerable-and-losing-lots-of-armored-vehicles/
NYT - The Spy War: How the C.I.A. Secretly Helps Ukraine Fight Putin (February 2024):
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/25/world/europe/cia-ukraine-intelligence-russia-war.html
NYT - Facing Russian Advance, a Top Ukrainian General Paints a Bleak Picture (May 2024):
https://www.nytimes.com/article/russia-ukraine-kharkiv.html
Washington Post - Miscalculations, divisions marked offensive planning by U.S., Ukraine (December 2023):
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2023/12/04/ukraine-counteroffensive-us-planning-russia-war/
RAND Corporation - Extending Russia (2019):
https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR3063.html
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Ukraine's Kursk Op Slows as Russian Gains Speed Up
Update on the conflict in Ukraine for August 25, 2024…
- Western media admits Ukraine has dangerously overextended itself through its Kursk incursion;
- Western media claims Russia is unable to use glide bombs in Kursk because of poor “air-control systems,” however, glide bombs are used primarily to break heavy fortifications which the Western media admits Ukraine is not building in Kursk;
- Despite claims that Russia’s response was “disjointed,” Ukraine’s Kursk operation has become a liability, costing it irreversibly lost territory along the actual line of contact;
- The more territory Ukraine attempts to hold in Kursk, the more troops and equipment it must divert from the actual line of contact;
- Western media reports admit that Russian progress in the Donbass has accelerated since the Kursk incursion began;
- Ukraine is not building the type of fortifications required to hold onto Kursk in the long-term with Western officials/analysts admitting that once Russia brings in sufficient reinforcements, uprooting Ukraine is inevitable;
- US military assistance to Ukraine continues to shrink, with the most recent package featuring the same items (without quantities noted) as previous packages, suggesting the US is drawing from its insufficient monthly production;
For Daily Updates on Ukraine:
The Duran (Telegram): https://t.me/thedurancom + YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@TheDuran/videos
Scott of Kalibrated (Telegram): https://t.me/kalibrated + YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@Kalibratedwithscott/videos
Mark Sleboda (Telegram): https://t.me/TheRealPolitick + Substack: https://marksleboda.substack.com/
References:
US Department of Defense - Biden Administration Announces Additional Security Assistance for Ukraine (August 23, 2024):
https://www.defense.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/3883533/biden-administration-announces-additional-security-assistance-for-ukraine/
CNN - Russia’s jamming of US-provided rocket systems complicates Ukraine’s war effort (May 2023):
https://edition.cnn.com/2023/05/05/politics/russia-jamming-himars-rockets-ukraine/index.html
Lockheed Martin - Ramping Up: Lockheed Martin Steadily Increasing Production of High-Demand Systems (February 2024):
https://www.lockheedmartin.com/en-us/news/features/2024/ramping-up--lockheed-martin-steadily-increasing-production-o.html
NYT - As Ukraine Pushes Into Russia, Its Next Steps Are Unclear (August 23, 2024):
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/23/us/politics/ukraine-incursion-russia-buffer-zone.html
Business Insider - Russia is barely using one of its best weapons against Ukrainian forces in Kursk because it's scared to hit itself, war expert says (August 23, 2024):
https://www.businessinsider.com/russia-not-using-glide-bombs-kursk-hit-self-ukraine-expert-2024-8
CNN - Parents hide children from mandatory evacuations as Ukraine says Russia advancing fast on key city (August 23, 2024):
https://edition.cnn.com/2024/08/22/europe/pokrovsk-evacuations-eastern-ukraine-intl/index.html
CNN - Ukraine’s march into Russia exposes Putin’s crisis management problem (August 23, 2024):
https://edition.cnn.com/2024/08/23/world/putin-response-ukraine-kursk-intl/index.html
Where to Find My Work:
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China's Naval Power Surpasses US - US Geopolitical Reach Exceeds its Industrial Grasp
- China's military power, including naval power is meeting and now exceeding that of the US;
- Chinese shipbuilding, both commercial and military, surpasses the US by multiple times;
- Proposals by US arms manufacturers to meet or exceed Chinese industrial production are fantastical, ignoring the many and multiplying advantages China has and the practical inability of the US to "out-innovate" China and other competitors;
- Methods the US seeks to use to "out-innovate" China are methods already extensively employed across Chinese industry;
References:
AP - U.S. Navy shipbuilding is the worst in 25 years, widening the fleet’s gap with China (August 11, 2024):
https://fortune.com/2024/08/11/us-navy-shipbuilding-worst-25-years-warships-fleet-gap-china/
US DoD - DOD Releases National Defense Strategy, Missile Defense, Nuclear Posture Reviews (2022):
https://www.defense.gov/News/News-Stories/Article/Article/3202438/dod-releases-national-defense-strategy-missile-defense-nuclear-posture-reviews/
US DoD - National Defense Industrial Strategy (2023):
https://www.businessdefense.gov/NDIS.html
Forbes - The Countries With the Most STEM Graduates (2017):
https://www.forbes.com/sites/niallmccarthy/2017/02/02/the-countries-with-the-most-stem-graduates-infographic/
Porsche, MHP - The Software Race (2023):
https://www.mhp.com/fileadmin/www.mhp.com/downloads/studien/MHPStudy_The-Software-Race_EN.pdf
Defense Once - China is winning the shipbuilding numbers game—and that’s a problem, INDOPACOM nom says (February 2024):
https://www.defenseone.com/threats/2024/02/china-winning-shipbuilding-numbers-gameand-s-problem-indopacom-nom-says/393904/
Where to Find My Work:
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Ukraine's Kursk "Success" Speeds Defeat + Next US "Wonder Weapon" for Ukraine
Update on the conflict in Ukraine for August 19, 2024…
- As Ukrainian forces continue military operations in Kursk, Russia, the actual line of contact continues to crumble as Russian forces advance;
- Ukrainian progress in Kursk was due to a lack of Russian troops which are now flooding the area to contain and then roll back Ukrainian troops;
- Russian advances along the line of contact consists of overtaking extensive Ukrainian defensive positions;
- The Kursk incursion will raise the cost for Russia, but ultimately will accelerate the collapse of Ukraine’s own fighting capacity;
- US JASSM cruise missiles are being considered for Ukraine, a critical munition required for any future operation against China and a munition that is not produced in quantities equal or larger than even Russian-made cruise missiles;
- JASSMs are air-launched, meaning their use will be restricted by Ukraine’s small number of military aircraft capable of launching them;
For Daily Updates on Ukraine:
The Duran (Telegram): https://t.me/thedurancom + YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@TheDuran/videos
Scott of Kalibrated (Telegram): https://t.me/kalibrated + YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@Kalibratedwithscott/videos
Mark Sleboda (Telegram): https://t.me/TheRealPolitick + Substack: https://marksleboda.substack.com/
References:
Politico - As Kyiv makes gains in Kursk, Russia strikes back in Donetsk (August 15, 2024):
https://www.politico.eu/article/ukraine-russia-offensive-prisoners-of-war-invasion-kursk-zelenskyy-putin/
Washington Post - Miscalculations, divisions marked offensive planning by U.S., Ukraine (December 2023):
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2023/12/04/ukraine-counteroffensive-us-planning-russia-war/
NY Times - The Spy War: How the C.I.A. Secretly Helps Ukraine Fight Putin (February 2024):
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/25/world/europe/cia-ukraine-intelligence-russia-war.html
NYT - A Mysterious Plot Prompts a Rare Call From Russia to the Pentagon (July 26, 2024):
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/26/us/politics/austin-russia-ukraine-defense-plot.html
War Zone - JASSM Stealth Cruise Missiles Now On The Table For Ukraine: Report (August 15, 2024):
https://www.twz.com/air/jassm-stealth-cruise-missiles-now-on-the-table-for-ukraine-report
Politico - Biden ‘open’ to sending long-range cruise missiles to Ukraine (August 15, 2024):
https://www.politico.com/news/2024/08/15/biden-missiles-ukraine-russia-00174147
Air and Space Forces Magazine - Lockheed Martin Looks to Boost LRASM Production as US Rushes to Buy Anti-Ship Weapons (April 2023):
https://www.airandspaceforces.com/lockheed-martin-double-lrasm-production/
Long War Journal - Estimating Russia’s Kh-101 Production Capacity (December 2022):
https://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2022/12/estimating-russias-kh-101-production-capacity.php
Reuters - Ukraine says Russia has launched over 8,000 missiles, 4,630 drones during war (February 2024):
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/ukraine-says-russia-has-launched-over-8000-missiles-4630-drones-during-war-2024-02-22/
Kyiv Post - GUR Reveals Russia's Missile Stockpile and Production Capacity (November 2023):
https://www.kyivpost.com/post/23736
RFE/RL - Satellite Images Suggest Russia Is Ramping Up Production Capacity For Its War Against Ukraine (November 2023):
https://www.rferl.org/a/russia-ramping-up-war-production/32658857.html
CSIS - The First Battle of the Next War: Wargaming a Chinese Invasion of Taiwan (January 2023):
https://csis-website-prod.s3.amazonaws.com/s3fs-public/publication/230109_Cancian_FirstBattle_NextWar.pdf?VersionId=XlDrfCUHet8OZSOYW_9PWx3xtc0ScGHn
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US Regime Change in Bangladesh: The Danger of Ignoring US Interference
References:
Voice of America - Bangladesh Politician Faces Discipline Over Threat Against US Envoy (November 15, 2023):
https://www.voanews.com/a/bangladesh-politician-faces-discipline-over-threat-against-us-envoy/7356551.html
BBC - Bangladesh PM blames political foes for violence (July 23, 2024):
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c72056rg2zpo
VOA (republishing AP) - Bangladesh bans Jamaat-e-Islami party following violent protests that left more than 200 dead ():
https://www.voanews.com/a/bangladesh-bans-jamaat-e-islami-party-following-violent-protests-that-left-more-than-200-dead/7725744.html
US State Department - 2023 Report on International Religious Freedom: Bangladesh:
https://www.state.gov/reports/2023-report-on-international-religious-freedom/bangladesh/
The Guardian - US campaign behind the turmoil in Kiev (November 2004):
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2004/nov/26/ukraine.usa
NYT - U.S. Groups Helped Nurture Arab Uprisings (April 2011):
https://www.nytimes.com/2011/04/15/world/15aid.html
Federal Security Service of the Russian Federation (FSB) - Unified List of Recognized Terrorist Organizations:
http://www.fsb.ru/fsb/npd/terror.htm
Time Magazine - Bangladesh Protesters Pitch Nobel Laureate Muhammad Yunus to Lead Interim Government (August 6, 2024):
https://time.com/7008183/bangladesh-muhammad-yunus-interim-government-leader-protesters/
Fulbright - Muhammad Yunus:
https://www.fulbrightprogram.org/muhammad-yunus/
CMIB - Project Head Team:
https://cmibd.com/Contents/Project%20Head%20Team
Yunus Centre - Professor Yunus among 16 Recipients of Presidential Medal of Freedom (2009):
https://www.muhammadyunus.org/post/417/professor-yunus-among-16-recipients-of-presidential-medal-of-freedom
Yunus Centre - Dr. Muhammad Yunus, first American Muslim recipient of Congressional Gold Medal (2013):
https://www.muhammadyunus.org/post/1104/dr-muhammad-yunus-first-american-muslim-recipient-of-congressional-gold-medal
Wikileaks - NOBEL PRIZE WINNER DR. MUHAMMAD YUNUS CONSIDERS ENTERING BANGLADESH POLITICS (2007):
https://wikileaks.org/plusd/cables/07KOLKATA50_a.html
Wikileaks - NOBEL LAUREATE REQUESTS USG HELP ON GRAMEEN BANK RULES (2009):
https://wikileaks.org/plusd/cables/09DHAKA469_a.html
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Ukraine's Kursk Offensive Accelerating Ukraine's Collapse
Update on the conflict in Ukraine for August 11, 2024…
- Ukraine’s “offensive” into Kursk, Russia was another example of Kiev’s costly public relations campaigns, this time designed to prove Ukraine can “bring the war to Russian soil;”
- In reality, Ukraine expended manpower and equipment it does not have to spare, as well as stretching its already struggling logistical network;
- Additional attempts by Ukraine to appear strong as its strategically collapses include alleged special military operations in Africa aimed at undermining Russian security cooperation in the region;
- Ukraine’s suggested involvement in military operations in Mali resulting in the death of government troops has resulted in the severing of relations between Mali and Niger with Ukraine;
- “Ukrainian” operations worldwide provide cover for what are likely Western activities conducted by proxy against Russia just as it does against Chinese interests around the globe and is doing in Ukraine against Russia, which itself is a proxy war;
For Daily Updates on Ukraine:
The Duran (Telegram): https://t.me/thedurancom + YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@TheDuran/videos
Scott of Kalibrated (Telegram): https://t.me/kalibrated + YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@Kalibratedwithscott/videos
Mark Sleboda (Telegram): https://t.me/TheRealPolitick + Substack: https://marksleboda.substack.com/
References:
US Department of Defense - Biden Administration Announces Additional Security Assistance for Ukraine (August 9, 2024):
https://www.defense.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/3868082/biden-administration-announces-additional-security-assistance-for-ukraine/
CNN - Russia says Ukrainian troops crossed into its territory and launched ‘massive attack’ (August 7, 2024):
https://edition.cnn.com/2024/08/07/europe/russia-ukrainian-troops-cross-border-intl/index.html
Kyiv Indepdent - Ukraine's unprecedented attack on Kursk Oblast brings war back to Russian soil (August 8, 2024):
https://kyivindependent.com/ukraine-brings-war-back-to-russian-soil-with-unprecedented-attack-on-kursk-oblast/
Foreign Affairs - Can Ukraine Get Back on the Offensive? (August 8, 2024):
https://www.foreignaffairs.com/ukraine/can-ukraine-get-back-offensive
BBC - Niger's junta cuts diplomatic ties with Ukraine (August 8, 2024):
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cdd7493309eo
The Economist - Russia’s bloody summer offensive is hurting Ukraine (August 6, 2024):
https://www.economist.com/europe/2024/08/06/russias-bloody-summer-offensive-is-hurting-ukraine
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Who Really Controls US Foreign Policy?
- US foreign and domestic policy is developed with think tanks funded by the most powerful corporate-financier interests across the West;
- Policy papers published by these think tanks are turned into bills by lawyers, brought to Washington by lobbyists, and signed off by Congress and the White House regardless of political affiliation or supposed political agenda;
- Multipolarism has challenged US political, military, and economic power by creating alternatives to the corporate-financier monopolies in the West driving US policies at home and abroad;
- Americans can create a better balance of power by redirecting their monthly income, time, energy, and attention away from these corporate-financier interest and toward local and foreign alternatives;
References:
Voice of America - What's Behind the 'Think Tanks' That Influence US Policy? (April 2018):
https://www.voanews.com/a/think-tanks-us-policy/4338913.html
CBS News - Who Actually Writes The Bills In Congress? (December 2017):
https://www.cbsnews.com/minnesota/news/good-question-bill-congress/
USA Today - You elected them to write new laws. They’re letting corporations do it instead (2019):
https://www.usatoday.com/in-depth/news/investigations/2019/04/03/abortion-gun-laws-stand-your-ground-model-bills-conservatives-liberal-corporate-influence-lobbyists/3162173002/
US News - Not So Dirty Little Secret, There are better criticisms to lay against GOPers who voted for Trumpcare than 'you didn't read it.' (May 2017):
https://www.usnews.com/opinion/thomas-jefferson-street/articles/2017-05-05/trumpcares-not-unusual-members-of-congress-often-dont-read-bills
The White House - The Legislative Branch:
https://www.whitehouse.gov/about-the-white-house/our-government/the-legislative-branch/
AEI - Board of Trustees:
https://www.aei.org/about/board-of-trustees/
RAND Corporation - How We Are Funded:
https://www.rand.org/about/how-we-are-funded.html
RAND Corporation - Extending Russia (2019):
https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR3063.html
Brookings Institution - Contributors List (2020):
https://www.brookings.edu/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/The-Brookings-Institutions-Contributors-List-Fiscal-Year-2020.pdf
Brookings Institution - Which Path to Persia? (2009):
https://www.brookings.edu/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/06_iran_strategy.pdf
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West Admits to Continued Russian Gains + Kiev's Detachment from Geopolitical Reality
Update on the conflict in Ukraine for August 4, 2024…
- Western media admits to continued Russian advances along the line of contact together with growing arms, ammunition, and manpower shortages among Ukrainian forces;
- Western military assistance is now being drawn from monthly production which has failed to be sufficiently expanded and is incapable of meeting Ukraine's requirements on the battlefield;
- The reality of Ukraine's impending defeat has prompting increasingly desperate attempts to pressure nations like China into forcing Russia's capitulation despite Russia's successes on the battlefield;
- The US proxy war in Ukraine is just one of several conflicts the US is perpetuating in an attempt to reestablish primacy over the globe and prevent the rise of multipolarism;
References:
SITREP
CNN - Russia creeps toward key eastern Ukrainian supply city (July 30, 2024):
https://edition.cnn.com/2024/07/30/europe/russia-advance-pokrovsk-ukraine-intl/index.html
Guardian - Ukraine war briefing: Waves of Russian bombings and infantry assaults drive major gains in east (August 3, 2024):
https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/aug/03/ukraine-war-briefing-waves-of-russian-bombings-and-infantry-assaults-drive-major-gains-in-east
Guardian - Ukraine war briefing: Kyiv’s forces strike Russian military airfield in Crimea (July 27, 2024):
https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/jul/27/ukraine-war-briefing-kyivs-forces-strike-russian-military-airfield-in-crimea
ARMS AND AMMUNITION
Guardian - Ukraine war briefing: First F-16 fighter jets arrive – officials (August 1, 2024):
https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/aug/01/ukraine-war-briefing-first-f-16-fighter-jets-arrive-officials
WSJ - U.S. to Arm Ukraine’s F-16 Jets With Advanced Weapons (July 30, 2024):
https://www.wsj.com/world/u-s-to-arm-ukraines-f-16-jets-with-advanced-weapons-71d81e20
US Department of Defense - Biden Administration Announces Additional Security Assistance for Ukraine (July 29, 2024):
https://www.defense.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/3852671/biden-administration-announces-additional-security-assistance-for-ukraine/
Washington Post - U.S. will boost Ukraine’s air defense by pausing exports to allies (June 20, 2024):
https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2024/06/20/ukraine-patriot-air-defense/
Jane’s - Stinger missile production to rise 50% by 2025, US Army says (January 2023):
https://www.janes.com/osint-insights/defence-news/industry/stinger-missile-production-to-rise-50-by-2025-us-army-says
The War Zone - Ukraine’s FrankenSAM That Uses RIM-7 Sea Sparrow Missiles Breaks Cover (MAY 28, 2024):
https://www.twz.com/sea/ukraines-frankensam-that-used-rim-7-sea-sparrow-missiles-breaks-cover
Washington Post - Basic training in Ukraine is barely covering the basics, commanders say (June 2, 2024):
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/06/02/ukraine-training-soldiers-mobilization-war/
GEOPOLITICS
Reuters - Ukraine's Zelenskiy wants China to put more pressure on Russia (August 1, 2024):
https://www.reuters.com/world/zelenskiy-says-ukraine-does-not-want-china-mediator-2024-07-31/
VOA - Ukraine invites Chinese foreign minister to visit (July 30, 2024):
https://www.voanews.com/a/russia-puts-out-oil-depot-fire-sparked-by-ukrainian-drone-/7718281.html
Washington Post - Ukraine watches warily as prisoner swap proves Moscow and West can negotiate (August 2, 2024):
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/08/02/ukraine-russia-prisoner-swap-war/
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Washington's Next Step in the Use & Abuse of the Philippines
- The US had previously possessed the Philippines as a colony from 1898-1945 including brutally suppressing a war of independence killing over 200k Filipinos, including the use concentration camps and torture;
- Since gaining its independence from the US, Washington has used the Philippines as part of a long-standing policy of containing China along the "Southeast Asia front;"
- The US has maintained the presence of its military forces in the Philippines for decades, breifly facing expulsion under the adminstration of President Rodrigo Duterte, then expanding it recently with the election of President Ferdinand Marcos Jr.;
- The US has previously and deliberately lied to the Philippine public about fabricated threats Chinese healthcare products posed during the recent healthcare crisis;
- The US is now militarizing the Philippines through a $500 million military assistance package, using ordinary maritime disputes in the South China Sea as a pretext to stir up conflict between the Philippines and its largest trade partner, China;
- Philippine subordination to the US has caused the nation to fall behind the rest of Southeast Asia, having the 2nd largest population but 6th largest GDP;
- Like Ukraine, the Philippines stands to lose much more if the political capture, use, and abuse of the nation continues by Washington;
References:
US State Department, Office of the Historian - The Philippine-American War, 1899–1902:
https://history.state.gov/milestones/1899-1913/war
US State Department, Office of the Historian - Courses of Action in Vietnam (1965):
https://history.state.gov/historicaldocuments/frus1964-68v03/d189
Reuters - Pentagon ran secret anti-vax campaign to undermine China during pandemic (June 14, 2024):
https://www.reuters.com/investigates/special-report/usa-covid-propaganda/
Reuters - U.S. told Philippines it made ‘missteps’ in secret anti-vax propaganda effort (July 26, 2024):
https://www.reuters.com/world/us-told-philippines-it-made-missteps-secret-anti-vax-propaganda-effort-2024-07-26/
Harvard University’s Atlas of Economic Complexity - Philippines Exports by Partner (2021):
https://atlas.cid.harvard.edu/explore?country=174&queryLevel=location&product=undefined&year=2021&productClass=HS&target=Partner&partner=undefined&startYear=undefined
Statista - Leading trading partners for imports to the Philippines in 2023, by FOB value (2023):
https://www.statista.com/statistics/1140217/philippines-import-value-major-trade-partners-by-country-or-region/#:~:text=China%20was%20the%20leading%20import,U.S.%20dollars%20worth%20of%20imports.
CSIS, China Power - How Much Trade Transits the South China Sea?:
https://chinapower.csis.org/much-trade-transits-south-china-sea/
SCMP - China-Philippines ties on ‘brink of total breakdown’: unpacking the collapse (June 2024):
https://www.scmp.com/week-asia/politics/article/3268506/china-philippines-ties-brink-total-breakdown-unpacking-collapse
US Department of Defense - Secretary of Defense Lloyd J. Austin III and Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff General Charles "CQ" Brown Jr Hold a Press Conference (July 25, 2024):
https://www.defense.gov/News/Transcripts/Transcript/Article/3850467/secretary-of-defense-lloyd-j-austin-iii-and-chairman-of-the-joint-chiefs-of-sta/
Defense One - Austin heads to Asia with $500M for the Philippines (July 26, 2024):
https://www.defenseone.com/policy/2024/07/austin-heads-asia-500-mil-philippines/398358/
CSIS - The First Battle of the Next War: Wargaming a Chinese Invasion of Taiwan (January 2023):
https://www.csis.org/analysis/first-battle-next-war-wargaming-chinese-invasion-taiwan
Where to Find My Work:
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Top Ukrainian Commander Admits Defeat is Near & Why Nothing Will Change After US Elections
- Ukraine’s Commander in Chief General Syrsky is admitting that Ukraine is outgunned, outnumbered, and being outfought;
- In a recent interview General Syrsky admitted Ukraine itself is having trouble mobilizing badly needed manpower;
- In the same interview General Syrsky failed to articulate a coherent strategy to avoid what is essentially irreversible and inevitable defeat;
- The US proxy war against Russia in Ukraine was always designed to draw Russia into a costly fight in the hopes of overextending Russia but at the cost of Ukraine;
- US policy is dominated by corporate-financier interests whom Washington serve, the only way to change US policy is to divert public money, time, attention, and energy away from these interests by paying into alternatives to them just as multipolarism is creating alternatives undermining long-standing Western monopolies;
For Daily Updates on Ukraine:
The Duran (Telegram): https://t.me/thedurancom + YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@TheDuran/videos
Scott of Kalibrated (Telegram): https://t.me/kalibrated + YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@Kalibratedwithscott/videos
Mark Sleboda (Telegram): https://t.me/TheRealPolitick + Substack: https://marksleboda.substack.com/
References:
SITREP
NYT - Facing Russian Advance, a Top Ukrainian General Paints a Bleak Picture (May 14, 2024):
https://www.nytimes.com/article/russia-ukraine-kharkiv.html
The Guardian - ‘I know we will win – and how’: Ukraine’s top general on turning the tables against Russia (July 24, 2024):
https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/jul/24/i-know-we-will-win-and-how-ukraines-top-general-on-turning-the-tables-against-russia
Foreign Affairs - Beyond Ukraine’s Offensive (May 10, 2023):
https://www.foreignaffairs.com/ukraine/russia-war-beyond-ukraines-offensive
GEOPOLITICS
Geopolitical Economy Report - Donald Trump is NOT a 'threat to the deep state'. Here is his warmongering record (July 16, 2024):
https://youtu.be/5wwm4OiYY5M?si=W-ltsCy0HurU8VSa
ABC News - Trump admin approves new sale of anti-tank weapons to Ukraine (October 2019):
https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/trump-admin-approves-sale-anti-tank-weapons-ukraine/story?id=65989898
RAND Corporation - Extending Russia, Competing from Advantageous Ground (2019):
https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR3063.html
Campaign for RAND - Supporters:
https://campaign.rand.org/our-supporters/
RAND Corporation - Board of Trustees:
https://www.rand.org/about/organization/randtrustees.html
Guardian - US campaign behind the turmoil in Kiev (2004):
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2004/nov/26/ukraine.usa
Foreign Policy - Trump’s VP Pick Goes America First on Foreign Policy (July 18, 2024):
https://foreignpolicy.com/2024/07/18/j-d-vance-trump-foreign-policy-china-ukraine-vice-president-pick/
Where to Find My Work:
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The West is Learning the Wrong Lessons about Airpower in Ukraine
- Western experts continuously make inappropriate comparisons between Russia’s air campaign in Ukraine to the US air campaign in Iraq in the 1990s and against in 2003;
- Such experts ignore the primary difference where Iraq lacked modern integrated air defenses while Ukraine began in 2022 with significant defenses;
- These same experts ignore the significant losses US military aviation suffered in contested airspace such as over Vietnam where the US lost over 10,000 aircraft or the necessity of US military aviation to use stand-off strikes in Syria because of the presence of modern air defense capabilities;
- While Western experts laud the performance of the US-made Patriot missile system, the fact that interceptors cannot be made in large enough quantities detracts from its overall efficacy;
- Russia’s use of military aviation in Ukraine reflects the realities both on and above the battlefield, realities that would effect Western air forces were they in Russia’s place;
References
NEO - The West is Learning the Wrong Lessons about Airpower in Ukraine (July 23, 2024):
https://journal-neo.su/2024/07/23/the-west-is-learning-the-wrong-lessons-about-airpower-in-ukraine/
Business Insider - Russia's showing NATO its hand in the air war over Ukraine (July 13, 2024):
https://www.businessinsider.com/ukraine-war-teaching-nato-air-forces-lessons-fighting-russia-2024-7
The Mitchell Institute - US Fixed Wing Aircraft Losses of the Vietnam War 1962-1973 (June 2018):
https://mitchellaerospacepower.org/us-fixed-wing-aircraft-losses-of-the-vietnam-war-1962-1973/
CNN - ‘Their tactics have changed’: Russia’s bid to blow apart Ukraine’s power grid (April 2024):
https://edition.cnn.com/2024/04/14/europe/russia-tactics-ukraine-energy-power-strikes-intl/index.html
Al Jazeera - Saudi Arabia may run out of interceptor missiles in ‘months’ (January 2022):
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/1/9/saudi-arabia-may-run-out-of-interceptor-missiles-in-months-ft
CNN - Exclusive: Russia producing three times more artillery shells than US and Europe for Ukraine (March 2024):
https://edition.cnn.com/2024/03/10/politics/russia-artillery-shell-production-us-europe-ukraine/index.html
Where to Find My Work:
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West Admits Ukraine is Losing, Encourages Ukrainians to Fight on Anyway
- Western media admits Ukraine is losing ground and suffering from growing manpower, arms, and ammunition shortages;
- After US-European pledges to increase artillery shell production, both have fallen far short of their targets and will be producing less ammunition in 2026 than Russia is producing now;
- Western policymakers promoting claims that robots, automation, and simplifying manufacturing can allow the West to match Russian and Chinese production are unrealistic;
References:
SITREP
BBC - Europe must brace for decade of Ukraine war - Nato chief (July 19, 2024):
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c03l9eky1p9o
Politico - Top NATO general praises Ukraine’s ‘great’ war strategy (July 19, 2024):
https://www.politico.eu/article/ukraine-has-great-war-strategy-but-needs-to-be-able-to-prosecute-it-top-nato-general-says/
CNN - The West finally allowed Ukraine to strike back at Russia — and it seems to be working (July 15, 2024):
https://edition.cnn.com/2024/07/14/europe/western-weapons-ukraine-russia-intl-cmd/index.html
Artillery Shells
RFE/RL - EU Shell-Production Capacity, Supplies To Ukraine Fall Far Short Of Promises (July 8, 2024):
https://www.rferl.org/a/ukraine-weapons-shells-european-union-eu-war-russia-investigation/33025300.html
Reuters - Years of miscalculations by U.S., NATO led to dire shell shortage in Ukraine (July 19, 2024):
https://www.reuters.com/investigates/special-report/ukraine-crisis-artillery/
Drone Warfare
Forbes - Supply Chain Drones: Novelty Or News? (June 20, 2024):
https://www.forbes.com/sites/kevinomarah/2024/06/20/supply-chain-drones-novelty-or-news/
Phys dot Org - AI-enhanced model predicts wheat health across diverse soils using drone data (December 2023):
https://phys.org/news/2023-12-ai-enhanced-wheat-health-diverse-soils.html#google_vignette
Business Insider - Ex-Google CEO Eric Schmidt quietly created a company called White Stork, which plans to build AI-powered attack drones, report says (January 2024):
https://www.businessinsider.com/google-eric-schmidt-ai-attack-drones-white-stork-2024-1
Business Insider - Eric Schmidt is poaching from Apple, SpaceX, and Google for his secretive AI military drone project (June 2024):
https://www.businessinsider.com/eric-schmidt-poaches-apple-spacex-google-ai-drones-report-2024-6
Politico - ‘Our Oppenheimer moment’ — In Ukraine, the robot wars have already begun (May 2024):
https://www.politico.eu/article/robots-coming-ukraine-testing-ground-ai-artificial-intelligence-powered-combat-war-russia/
Guardian - AI’s ‘Oppenheimer moment’: autonomous weapons enter the battlefield (July 14, 2024):
https://www.theguardian.com/technology/article/2024/jul/14/ais-oppenheimer-moment-autonomous-weapons-enter-the-battlefield
Robots and Skilled Labor
Statista - China Leads Growth of Global Industrial Robot Stock (November 2023):
https://www.statista.com/chart/31337/new-installations-of-industrial-robots-by-country/
European Commission - World Robotics Report 2020 by International Federation of Robots (January 2021):
https://ec.europa.eu/newsroom/rtd/items/700621/en
Where to Find My Work:
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Space-Based Warfare: America’s Dominance Challenged
- Space-based military capabilities allow for precision-guided weapons, navigation, and communication on the battlefield below;
- Russia has developed significant countermeasures for many of the space-based military capabilities the US has used to dominate the planet militarily for much of the 20th century;
- China is closing the gap in terms of space-based capabilities, matching the US in some areas, exceeding it in others;
- The US maintains advantages solely because of SpaceX and its pursuit of reusable launch systems;
- China is already testing prototypes for its own reusable launch systems;
References:
Forbes - Russia’s Losing In Long-Predicted Space War 1 To The West (June 26, 2024):
https://www.forbes.com/sites/kevinholdenplatt/2024/06/26/so-far-russia-is-losing-the-long-predicted-space-war-against-the-west/
Military Satellites
Business Insider - China is providing satellite intelligence for military purposes to Russia, US warns, says report (April 7, 2024):
https://sg.news.yahoo.com/china-providing-satellite-intelligence-military-135205726.html?guccounter=1
Newsweek - China's Military Satellites Are Watching America's Every Move (May 8, 2024):
https://www.newsweek.com/china-military-satellites-space-tracking-conflict-1898177
Economist - China’s satellites are improving rapidly. The PLA will benefit (March 7, 2024):
https://www.economist.com/china/2024/03/07/chinas-satellites-are-improving-rapidly-the-pla-will-benefit
Defense One - Chinese satellites are breaking the US 'monopoly' on long-range targeting (May 2024):
https://www.defenseone.com/threats/2024/05/new-chinese-satellites-ending-us-monopoly-ability-track-and-hit-long-distance-targets/396272/
Space-Based Weapons
CNN - US assesses Russia likely launched a counter space weapon last week (May 21, 2024):
https://edition.cnn.com/2024/05/21/politics/us-assesses-russia-launched-counter-space-weapon/index.html
Economist - A Russian anti-satellite missile test puts the ISS in peril (November 2021):
https://www.economist.com/science-and-technology/2021/11/18/a-russian-anti-satellite-missile-test-puts-the-iss-in-peril
BBC - X-37B: Secrets of the US military spaceplane (November 2014):
https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20121123-secrets-of-us-military-spaceplane
Jamming Space-Based Capabilities
Washington Post - Russian jamming leaves some high-tech U.S. weapons ineffective in Ukraine (May 24, 2024):
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/05/24/russia-jamming-us-weapons-ukraine/
New York Times - Russia, in New Push, Increasingly Disrupts Ukraine’s Starlink Service (May 24, 2024):
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/05/24/technology/ukraine-russia-starlink.html
CNN - Russia’s jamming of US-provided rocket systems complicates Ukraine’s war effort (May 2023):
https://edition.cnn.com/2023/05/05/politics/russia-jamming-himars-rockets-ukraine/index.html
China’s Reusable Rockets
Video From Space - Blastoff! Chinese reusable rocket soars 7 miles high and lands in test (June 24, 2024):
https://youtu.be/nTcUaZ9bLD4?si=ffWQBpTF8X4uE4pf
Space News - China to debut large reusable rockets in 2025 and 2026 (March 2024):
https://spacenews.com/china-to-debut-large-reusable-rockets-in-2025-and-2026/
SAST - China Successfully Completes Its First 10 km-level Vertical Takeoff and Landing Flight Test of Reusable Launch Vehicle (June 26, 2024):
https://www.sast.net/news/247.html
Where to Find My Work:
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Trump Assassination Attempt: Security Lapses, Manipulating Public Perception
- Major security lapses raise questions regarding the nature of the assassination attempt on former US President Donald Trump now 2024 US presidential candidate;
- Whether successful or not, the violence was meant to divert public attention away from on going foreign and domestic crises and deepen public attention in animosity among themselves and in what is an inconsequential election;
- The true nature of US security and law enforcement agencies necessitates serious suspicions regarding the official narrative of events;
References:
X post:
https://x.com/BrianJBerletic/status/1812372868971560960
FBI - Oregon Resident Arrested in Plot to Bomb Christmas Tree Lighting Ceremony in Portland (November 2010):
https://archive.ph/p3tG
NYT - Bomb Informer's Tapes Give Rare Glimpse of F.B.I. Dealings (1993):
https://archive.ph/Pjqyr#selection-421.0-442.0
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NATO's 2024 Summit Fails to Deliver as Russia Continues Grinding Ukraine Down
- The Western media is now admitting to a wide variety of metrics indicating Ukraine's spiral downward amid the ongoing conflict with Russia;
- Reports indicate not only manpower shortages but a problem with properly training conscripts for combat;
- Ukraine continues to suffer from a wide variety of arms and ammunition shortages, with the West now finally admitting Western military industrial production has categorically failed to meet the demands of the conflict in Ukraine;
- NATO's summit in Washington DC pledged to expand Western military industrial production but failed to lay out any of the key steps required to do so beyond political posturing;
For daily updates on the conflict in Ukraine:
The Duran (Telegram): https://t.me/thedurancom
Scott of Kalibrated (Telegram): https://t.me/kalibrated
Mark Sleboda (Telegram): https://t.me/TheRealPolitick
References:
DoD - Biden Administration Announces Additional Security Assistance for Ukraine (July 11, 2024):
https://www.defense.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/3835746/biden-administration-announces-additional-security-assistance-for-ukraine/
Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty - EU Shell-Production Capacity, Supplies To Ukraine Fall Far Short Of Promises (July 8, 2024):
https://www.rferl.org/a/ukraine-weapons-shells-european-union-eu-war-russia-investigation/33025300.html
Wall Street Journal - NATO Allies Confront ‘Serious Gap’ in Arms Production to Counter Russia (July 9, 2024):
https://www.wsj.com/world/nato-allies-confront-serious-gap-in-arms-production-to-counter-russia-3b5b75f9
CSIS - The State of Russia's Defense Industry After Two Years of War and Sanctions (June 25, 2024):
https://www.youtube.com/live/00tPLu0g_es?si=g_g_3_SmcIZ_29Wq
WSJ - High-Tech American Weapons Work Against Russia—Until They Don’t (July 10, 2024
https://www.wsj.com/world/us-weapons-russia-ukraine-0eed240c
Bloomberg - Ukraine’s F-16 Ambitions Snarled by Language Barrier, Runways and Parts (July 12, 2024):
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-07-12/ukraine-s-f-16-ambitions-snarled-by-language-barrier-runways-and-parts
Washington Post - Basic training in Ukraine is barely covering the basics, commanders say (June 2, 2024):
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/06/02/ukraine-training-soldiers-mobilization-war/
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The Philippines: Why it is Choosing US Destruction Over Chinese Construction
- The US has dominated the foreign and domestic policy of the Southeast Asian country of the Philippines for decades, having formally ruled the nation as a colony from 1898-1946;
- The Philippines has been used for US military basing throughout the Cold War and is now enlarging its military footprint on the Philippines under the government of President Ferdinand Marcos Jr.;
- It was under President Rodrigo Duterte that the US was being pressured to leave the nation while also expanding closer ties with China who was and still is the Philippines’ largest trade partner;
- Today, infrastructure projects underway during President Duterte’s administration have been literally torn down, instead military bases are being built to point missiles at the Philippines’ largest trade partner, China;
- The US through the National Endowment for Democracy (NED) has created large numbers of media platforms, political organizations, and education programs meant to convince the Philippine people that serving US foreign policy objectives is in their own best interests;
- The ultimate irony is that these US efforts have convinced Filipinos that fighting China is necessary to protect their sovereignty, when in fact US influence over Philippine foreign policy already constitutes the usurpation of Philippine sovereignty;
- Ukraine provides an example of where this process of the US using the Philippines as a proxy against China ultimately leads if the Philippine people are unable to recognize their current government is serving US interests at the expense of their own interests;
References:
SCMP - China-Philippines ties on ‘brink of total breakdown’: unpacking the collapse (June 29, 2024):
https://www.scmp.com/week-asia/politics/article/3268506/china-philippines-ties-brink-total-breakdown-unpacking-collapse
AP - China publicizes for the first time what it claims is a 2016 agreement with Philippines (May 3, 2024):
https://apnews.com/article/china-south-china-sea-philippines-alleged-agreement-0006abb98502727972872bcecfd49a51
SCMP - South China Sea: Philippine admiral at centre of ‘new deal’ saga breaks silence on alleged pact with Beijing (May 2024):
https://www.scmp.com/week-asia/politics/article/3263692/south-china-sea-philippine-admiral-centre-new-deal-saga-breaks-silence-alleged-pact-beijing
US State Department, Office of the Historian - The Philippine-American War, 1899–1902:
https://history.state.gov/milestones/1899-1913/war
Rappler - Duterte falsely claims CIA funds Rappler (October 2017):
https://www.rappler.com/philippines/185098-duterte-false-claim-cia-funds-rappler-american-ownership/
National Endowment for Democracy (NED) - Nobel Peace Prize Winner Maria Ressa Joins World Movement for Democracy at NED as Chairperson (October 2022):
https://www.ned.org/nobel-peace-prize-winner-maria-ressa-joins-world-movement-for-democracy-at-ned-as-chairperson/
WDM - Maria Ressa – Chair:
https://www.movedemocracy.org/person/maria-ressa-chair
NYT - Political Meddling by Outsiders: Not New for U.S. (1997):
https://www.nytimes.com/1997/03/31/us/political-meddling-by-outsiders-not-new-for-us.html
NYT - MISSIONARIES FOR DEMOCRACY: U.S. AID FOR GLOBAL PLURALISM (1986):
https://www.nytimes.com/1986/06/01/world/missionaries-for-democracy-us-aid-for-global-pluralism.html
The Guardian - US campaign behind the turmoil in Kiev (November 2004):
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2004/nov/26/ukraine.usa
NYT - U.S. Groups Helped Nurture Arab Uprisings (April 2011):
https://www.nytimes.com/2011/04/15/world/15aid.html
Reuters - Pentagon ran secret anti-vax campaign to undermine China during pandemic (June 14, 2024):
https://www.reuters.com/investigates/special-report/usa-covid-propaganda/
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West Admits Ukraine is Out of Air Defenses and Losing Ground, With No Way to Reverse it
Update on the conflict in Ukraine for July 7, 2024…
- Ukraine has suffered serious losses regarding what is left of the military aviation in a series of missile strikes on Ukrainian air bases;
- Ukrainian air defenses are severely depleted, preventing Ukraine from intercepting missiles, drones, and Russian military aviation both deep behind the line of contact and along it;
- The US and its allies are admittedly out of Patriot missiles and systems to send Ukraine, forcing the collective West to resort to increasingly desperate measures to replace damaged or destroyed air defense systems;
- A recent arms transfer to Ukraine includes antiquated “HAWK” air defense systems which the US has not used for decades, along with the allocation of money to buy additional Patriot and NASAMS interceptors when they are finally manufactured;
- In addition to a worsening missile and drone war, Ukraine is also losing territory along the line of contact, with the Western media clearly laying out Russia’s strategy of attrition, placing pressure long the LOC forcing Ukraine to shift scarce reserves from one area to another, allowing Russian forces to make gains where Ukrainian lines are weakest;
- Articles spanning from the beginning of Russia’s opening of the Kharkov front to Russian gains in Chasov Yar illustrate exactly how this strategy is working for Russian forces;
- Ukraine has been officially barred from joining NATO at the moment, citing rampant corruption. An example of such corruption is the “people’s satellite” story which the Western media itself eagerly promoted, where money was raised to access civilian satellite networks supposedly to acquire target information for long-range weapons. Unfortunately, the Western media already explained in depth how these long-range strikes are done using US-NATO intel acquired from much more accurate military satellites, begging the question of what the money was really spent on;
References:
The Telegraph - Ukraine’s new F-16 fighter jets will be destroyed as soon as they arrive (July 4, 2024):
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/07/04/ukraine-f16-fighter-jets-airbases-missile-drone-attacks/
UK Government - UK condemns Russia’s bombardment of Ukrainian cities and energy infrastructure: UK statement to the OSCE (April 2024):
https://www.gov.uk/government/speeches/uk-condemns-russias-bombardment-of-ukrainian-cities-and-energy-infrastructure-uk-statement-to-the-osce
NYT - Europe Seeks to Solve the ‘Patriot Puzzle’ in Ukraine (July 4, 2024):
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/04/us/politics/ukraine-nato-patriot-air-defense.html
DoD - Biden Administration Announces Additional Security Assistance for Ukraine (July 3, 2024):
https://www.defense.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/3827072/biden-administration-announces-additional-security-assistance-for-ukraine/
DoD - Biden Administration Announces Additional Security Assistance for Ukraine (June 7, 2024):
https://www.defense.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/3799832/biden-administration-announces-additional-security-assistance-for-ukraine/
Voice of America - US sending Ukraine badly needed air defense missiles (July 3, 2024):
https://www.voanews.com/a/us-sending-ukraine-badly-needed-air-defense-missiles/7684294.html
Army Recognition - Germany delivers third Patriot air defense system to Ukraine amid rising Russian missile attacks (July 5, 2024):
https://armyrecognition.com/focus-analysis-conflicts/army/conflicts-in-the-world/russia-ukraine-war-2022/germany-delivers-third-patriot-air-defense-system-to-ukraine-amid-rising-russian-missile-attacks
Reuters - Zelenskiy: Ukraine wants to double air defence capabilities through the summer (July 6, 2024):
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/ukraine-receives-third-patriot-air-defence-system-germany-envoy-says-2024-07-05/
The Guardian - Ukraine war briefing: Ukrainian army confirms retreat from part of key town of Chasiv Yar (July 5, 2024):
https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/jul/05/ukraine-war-briefing-ukrainian-army-confirms-retreat-from-part-of-key-town-of-chasiv-yar
NYT - Facing Russian Advance, a Top Ukrainian General Paints a Bleak Picture (May 14, 2024):
https://www.nytimes.com/article/russia-ukraine-kharkiv.html
Telegraph - Ukraine to be told it is too corrupt to join Nato (July 2, 2024):
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2024/07/02/ukraine-to-be-told-it-is-too-corrupt-to-join-nato/
New Voice of Ukraine - Anti-corruption group reveals fake companies in Kharkiv fortification contracts (May 2024):
https://english.nv.ua/nation/anti-corruption-activist-exposes-suspicious-wood-supply-contracts-for-fortifications-in-kharkiv-obla-50418691.html
Washington Post - Ukraine says defense officials stole $40 million meant for ammunition (January 2024):
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/01/28/ukraine-defense-corruption-artillery-shells/
Politico - Ukraine’s ‘people’s satellite’ wreaks havoc on Russian targets (July 1, 2024):
https://www.politico.eu/article/ukraine-satellite-russian-targets-crowdfunded-intelligence-hur/
Washington Post - Ukraine’s rocket campaign reliant on U.S. precision targeting, officials say (February 2023):
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2023/02/09/ukraine-himars-rocket-artillery-russia/
NYT - Ukraine Asks U.S. to Provide More Intelligence on Targets in Russia (May 17, 2024):
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/05/17/us/politics/ukraine-intelligence-russia-targets.html
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Washington's "Hellscape" Drone War vs China + its 1000 Drone Arms Deal with Taiwan Admin
FAIR USE NOTICE: This video may contain copyrighted material. Such material is made available for educational purposes only. This constitutes a 'fair use' of any such copyrighted material as provided for in Title 17 U.S.C. section 106A-117 of the US Copyright Law.
- US plans to create a drone "hellscape" off China's coasts ignore China's ability to create more drones, faster, and with greater capabilities than the US;
- A recent US arms deal made with the administration of the Chinese island province of Taiwan includes negligible numbers of over-priced drones proven ineffective on modern battlefields;
- Russian industry is producing more drones of greater capabilities than those sold to Taiwan per month (and in some cases, per day) and at vastly cheaper costs;
References:
Washington Post - The U.S. military plans a ‘Hellscape’ to deter China from attacking Taiwan (June 10, 2024):
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2024/06/10/taiwan-china-hellscape-military-plan/
US State Department - US Relations with Taiwan:
https://www.state.gov/u-s-relations-with-taiwan/
Wilson Center - Joint Communiqué of the United States of America and the People's Republic of China (Shanghai Communiqué) (1972):
https://digitalarchive.wilsoncenter.org/document/joint-communique-between-united-states-and-china
United Nations - UN Charter (full text):
https://www.un.org/en/about-us/un-charter/full-text
Global Times - If there is a war of drone, the US military would definitely lose (June 12, 2024):
https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202406/1314004.shtml
Harvard University’s Atlas of Economic Complexity - Taiwan, Exports by Partner (2021):
https://atlas.cid.harvard.edu/explore?country=249&queryLevel=location&product=undefined&year=2021&productClass=HS&target=Partner&partner=undefined&startYear=undefined
Harvard University’s Atlas of Economic Complexity - Taiwan, Imports by Partner (2021):
https://atlas.cid.harvard.edu/explore?country=249&queryLevel=location&product=undefined&year=2021&tradeDirection=import&productClass=HS&target=Partner&partner=undefined&startYear=undefined
CSIS - The First Battle of the Next War: Wargaming a Chinese Invasion of Taiwan (January 2023):
https://www.csis.org/analysis/first-battle-next-war-wargaming-chinese-invasion-taiwan
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US Role in Deadly ATACMS Strike on Crimean Beach & Why Ukraine Calls Crimeans "Civilian Occupiers"
- A deadly ATACMS strike on a Crimean beach left several civilians dead including children, followed by Moscow blaming Washington for the attack;
- Senior Ukrainian presidential advisor Mykhailo Podolyak refused to apologize for the attack, instead insisting civilians are considered “occupiers” and that signs of peaceful life on the peninsula cannot be allowed;
- The US provides Ukraine with all targeting data for HIMARS/M270 strikes for both shorter range guided rockets and longer range ATACMS;
- Leaked audio between senior German military officers reveal that all NATO long-range weapons require NATO mission planning and targeting data transferred to Ukrainians, with the addition of US and British personnel on the ground helping prepare weapons for strikes;
References:
NEO - US-Ukrainian ATACMS Strikes on Crimea Vindicate Moscow (June 28, 2024):
https://journal-neo.su/2024/06/28/us-ukrainian-atacms-strikes-on-crimea-vindicate-moscow/
Ukrinform - There cannot be any "beaches," "tourist zones" and other fictitious signs of "peaceful life" in Crimea, temporarily occupied by the Russians (June 25, 2024):
https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/3878303-podolyak-on-explosions-in-crimea-there-cannot-be-any-beaches-and-tourist-zones-on-peninsula.html
The Telegraph - Ukraine suspected of ATACMS strike on Russian space control centre in Crimea, Ukraine: The Latest (June 25, 2024):
https://youtu.be/e_MvjQ7Ip_8?si=kvRg2vznukWbuc_F
The Telegraph - Crimean sunbathers struck by deadly shrapnel shower from Ukrainian missile (June 23, 2024):
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2024/06/23/shrapnel-from-missile-fired-by-ukraine-hits-tourists-crimea/
The Guardian - US campaign behind the turmoil in Kiev (November 2014):
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2004/nov/26/ukraine.usa
USAID, IRI - Public Opinion Survey Residents of the Autonomous Republic of Crimea May 16 – 30, 2013:
https://pdf.usaid.gov/pdf_docs/pnaec705.pdf
BBC - Russian parliament approves troop deployment in Ukraine (March 2014):
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-26400035
Washington Post - Ukraine’s rocket campaign reliant on U.S. precision targeting, officials say (February 2023):
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2023/02/09/ukraine-himars-rocket-artillery-russia/
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