California

With his largest vote gain in America from 2016 coming in the Golden State, Donald Trump appears on pace to have the closest finish in California since 2004. Unfortunately, California's main national export, ballot harvesting, plays a key role in putting Biden over 11 million votes in the state and guaranteeing the national popular vote.

After a shocking upset loss of the county for the first time since 1936, the GOP nominee rebounds with an enormous performance that consolidates the GOP moderates and rips away his opponent's working class supporters. Unfortunately, a minimum of 164,000 excess votes in the county subverts a critical victory in must-hold territory.

Donald Trump massively outperforms all expectations, but loses ground in Fightertown as decades of Californian election corruption produces at least 159,000 excess Biden votes.

Donald Trump manages to trend L.A. County 5 points to the right despite a monumental helping of fraudulent votes in favor of Joe Biden, who manages to eclipse 3 million votes for the first time in the history of America's largest county.