Raw Data: Research Like a Genius
Learn how to set apart facts from fiction by using RAW DATA. This vital skill is taught by Just Facts Academy, a game-changing initiative that teaches you how to research like a genius.
There is a dangerous hole in the U.S. education system: students are learning what to think instead of how to think. Be part of the solution by taking this free course at Just Facts Academy and sharing it with others: https://www.justfactsacademy.org/
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A script with rigorous documentation of every fact in this video is available at https://www.justfactsacademy.org/ rawdata
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The Gold Standard for Measuring the Effectiveness of Covid-19 Vaccines
Today’s broadcast addresses a common mistake made by everyone from Anthony Fauci to anti-vaxxers about the efficacy of Covid-19 vaccines.
Sources:
Fauci’s 2/17/21 comments about vaccines in Israel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fXEfROd-R2A
Current Covid-19 cases in Israel: https://outbreak.info/epidemiology?location=ISR&log=false&variable=confirmed_rolling&xVariable=date&fixedY=false&percapita=false
“The root of most instances of statistical malpractice is the … introduction of causal assumptions into analysis without justifying them on scientific grounds”: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5401528/pdf/jrcollphyslond90376-0016.pdf
The fact that “association does not prove causation” is taught in high school math: http://www.corestandards.org/wp-content/uploads/Math_Standards.pdf#page=81
“In clinical research, randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are the best way to study the safety and efficacy of new treatments”: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3196997/
Randomized controlled trials are “the gold standard for effectiveness research”: https://obgyn.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/1471-0528.15199
The latest randomized controlled trial of Pfizer’s Covid-19 vaccine: https://www.fda.gov/media/151733/download
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Full Context of Trump’s Remarks About Hillary Clinton’s Emails & Russia
Democrats often claim that Trump colluded with Russia because he publicly called for Russia to hack Hillary Clinton’s emails during a July 27, 2016 press conference. In fact, Trump did nothing of the sort, as evidenced by the full context of his remarks.
Instead, Trump repeatedly stated that China, Russia, or an independent hacker has probably ALREADY hacked Clinton’s email server, and if they did, they should release the 33,000 emails that Clinton destroyed after she received a subpoena for them.
The media then took a sarcastic quip out of context to make it seem like Trump asked Russia to hack Clinton’s emails.
Here’s the complete transcript of Trump’s remarks about this matter.
OFF-MIC QUESTION
TRUMP: … The e-mail situation—I call it the double e-mail situation, both very serious. What was said in the last ones to the DNC was horrible, absolutely horrible. If I would have used language like they used about religion, about race, about everything else that they discuss in those emails, I would have had to run and hide and probably drop out of the race. With her, everything’s just fine. So, just ask yourself, why she doesn’t have news conferences.
…
OFF-MIC QUESTION
TRUMP: It’s just a total deflection, this whole thing with Russia. In fact, I saw her campaign manager—I don’t know his title, Mook. I saw him on television, and they asked him about Russia and the hacking. By the way, if they hacked, they probably have her 33,000 e-mails. I hope they do. They probably have her 33,000 e-mails that she lost and deleted because you’d see some beauties there. So let’s see.
But I watched this guy Mook, and he talked about “We think it was Russia that hacked.” Now, first of all, it what was said on those that’s so bad, but he said, I watched it, I think he was live. He said, “We think it was Russia that hacked.” And then he said—and this is in-person sitting watching television as I’ve been doing—and then he said, “Ahh, could be Trump, yeah, yeah. Trump, Trump, oh yeah, Trump.” He reminded me of Jon Lovitz—for Saturday Night Live in “The Liar”—where he’d go, “Yeah, yeah, I went to Harvard, Harvard, yeah, yeah.” This is the guy, you have to see it, “Yeah, could be Trump, yeah, yeah.”
So, it is so far-fetched, it’s so ridiculous. Honestly, I wish I had that power, I’d love to have that power, but Russia has no respect for our country, and that’s why—if it is Russia, nobody even knows—it’s probably China, or it could be somebody sitting in his bed—but it shows how weak we are. It shows how disrespected we are. Total aside, assuming it’s Russia or China or one of the major countries and competitors, it’s a total sign of disrespect for our country. Putin and the leaders throughout the world have no respect for our country anymore, and they certainly have no respect for our leader. So, I know nothing about it, it’s one of the most farfetched I’ve ever heard.
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OFF-MIC QUESTION
TRUMP: I never met Putin, I don’t know who Putin is. He said one nice thing about me. He said I’m a genius. I said thank you very much to the newspaper, and that was the end of it. I never met Putin.
OFF-MIC QUESTION
TRUMP: None.
OFF-MIC QUESTION
Because it’s under audit. I’ll release them when the audit is completed. Nobody would release when it’s under audit. I’ve had audits for 15 or 16 years. Every year, I have a routine audit. I’m under audit, when the audit is complete I’ll release them. But zero, I mean I will tell you right now, zero, I have nothing to do with Russia.
OFF-MIC QUESTION
TRUMP: I’m not going to tell Putin what to do. Why should I tell Putin what to do? He already did something today where he said don’t blame them essentially for your incompetence. Let me tell you, it’s not even about Russia or China or whoever is it is that is doing the hacking.
It was about the things that were said in those emails. They were terrible things. Talking about Jewish, talking about race, talking about atheist, trying to pin labels on people. What was said was a disgrace, and it was Debby Wasserman Shultz. And believe me, as sure as you’re sitting there, Hillary Clinton knew about it. She knew everything. Debbie Wasserman Schultz could not breathe without speaking and getting approval from Hillary Clinton—couldn’t breathe. And you saw that.
It also showed that it was a fixed race, but I’d been saying that long before I saw the emails. It was a rigged race. It was totally rigged, and Debbie Wasserman Schultz rigged it for Hillary Clinton.
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OFF-MIC QUESTION
TRUMP: What do I have to get involved with Putin for? I have nothing to do with Putin. I’ve never spoken to him. I don’t know anything about him other than he will respect me. He doesn’t respect our President. And if it is Russia—which it’s probably not, nobody knows who it is—but if it is Russia, it’s really bad for a different reason, because it shows how little respect they have for our country, when they would hack into a major party and get everything.
But it would be interesting to see—I will tell you this—Russia, if you’re listening, I hope you’re able to find the 30,000 emails that are missing. I think you will probably be rewarded mightily by our press. Let’s see if that happens.
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OFF-MIC QUESTION
TRUMP: No, I had nothing to do with Russia. John, John, how many times do I have to say it, are you a smart man? I have nothing to do with Russia. I have nothing to do with Russia, and even for anything. What do I have to do with Russia? You know the closest I came to Russia, I bought a house a number of years ago in Palm Beach Florida. Palm Beach is a very expensive place—it was man who went bankrupt—and I bought the house for 40 million dollars, and I sold it to a Russian for 100 million dollars, including brokerage commissions. So I sold it, so I bought it for 40, I sold it for 100 to a Russian. That was a number of years ago. I guess probably I sell condos to Russians, okay?
OFF-MIC QUESTION
TRUMP: Of course I can! I told you. Other than normal stuff, I buy a house if I sell it to a Russian. I have nothing to do with Russia. I said that Putin has much better leadership qualities than Obama, but who doesn’t know that?
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OFF-MIC QUESTION
TRUMP: I have no idea. It’s probably not Russia. Nobody knows if it’s Russia. You know the sad thing is, that with the technology and the genius we have in this country—not in government unfortunately—but with the genius we have in government, we don’t even know who took the Democratic National Committee emails, right? We don’t even know who it is. I heard this morning one report said they don’t think its Russia. They think it might be China. Another report said it might be just be a hacker, some guy with a 200 IQ that can’t get up in the morning. Okay, nobody knows. Honestly, they have no idea if it’s Russia. Might be Russia. But if it’s any foreign country, it shows how little respect they have for the United States.
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OFF-MIC QUESTION
TRUMP: That’s up to the president. Let the president talk to them. Look, here’s the problem. Here’s the problem Katie, Katie, here’s the problem, very simple. He has no respect.
OFF-MIC QUESTION
TRUMP: Well they probably have them. I’d like to have them released.
OFF-MIC QUESTION
Nope, gives me no pause—if they have them, they have them, we might as well find out. Hey, you know what gives me more pause, that a person in our government, crooked Hillary Clinton, here’s what gives me more—be quiet, I know you want to, you know, save her—that a person in our government, Katie, would delete or get rid of 33,000 emails. That gives me a big problem. After she gets a subpoena, she gets subpoenaed, and she gets rid of 33,000 emails, that gives me a problem. Now, if Russia or China or any other country has those emails, I need to be honest with you, I’d love to see them.
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Transgenderism Impacts on Health
Without reporting opposing views or any evidence, the Associated Press claims that transgender “advocates say expanded gender-affirming care is vital to the safety and mental health of transgender people.”
In fact, a 2023 paper about transgender drugs and surgeries in the scientific journal “Current Sexual Health Reports” documents that:
• “Results of long-term studies of adult transgender populations failed to demonstrate convincing improvements in mental health, and some studies suggest that there are treatment-associated harms.”
• “Systematic reviews” have found that “the risk/benefit ratio of youth gender transition ranges from unknown to unfavorable.”
• “Three recent papers examined the studies that underpin the practice of youth gender transition and found the research to be deeply flawed.”
This is corroborated by nine studies on the physical impacts of puberty blockers and a British Medical Journal analysis of transgender drugs and surgeries.
Associated Press’ Claim
https://twitter.com/AP/status/1651579496586199042
Current Sexual Health Reports
https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11930-023-00358-x
9 Studies on the Physical Impacts of Puberty Blockers
https://www.justfactsdaily.com/question-of-the-day/291971
British Medical Journal Analysis of Transgender Drugs and Surgeries
https://www.bmj.com/content/380/bmj.p382
Equip yourself with the latest facts about important issues by signing up for Just Facts’ weekly email at https://www.justfacts.com/notification
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Ketanji Brown Jackson Claims She Can’t Define “Woman” Because She’s “Not a Biologist”
Transcript of Senate hearing for the nomination of Judge Ketanji Brown Jackson to the U.S. Supreme Court, March 22, 2022:
U.S. Senator Marsha Blackburn (R–TN): Do you interpret Justice Ginsburg’s meaning of “men” and “woman” as “male” and “female”?
Jackson: Again, because I don’t know the case, I don’t know how I interpret it. I’d need to read the whole thing.
Blackburn: Okay, Can you provide a definition for the word “woman”?
Jackson: Can I provide a definition? No.
Blackburn: Yeah.
Jackson: I can’t.
Blackburn: You can’t?
Jackson: Not in this context, I’m not a biologist.
Blackburn: The meaning of the word woman is so unclear and controversial that you can’t give me a definition?
Jackson: Senator, in my work as a judge, what I do is I address disputes. If there’s a dispute about a definition, people make arguments, and I look at the law, and I decide. So I’m not.
Blackburn: The fact that you can’t give me a straight answer about something as fundamental as what a woman is underscores the dangers of the kind of progressive education that we are hearing about.
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Do More Gun Owners = More Homicides?
Do states with higher gun ownership rates generally have higher homicide rates? See if you know the correct answer by watching this video.
For thorough documentation of the facts in the video, go to: https://www.justfacts.com/guncontrol.fourexamples.asp
Here’s an online quiz to test your friends on this question: https://www.justfactsdaily.com/question-of-the-day/292046
In the wake of mass shootings, politicians and journalists are quick to make sweeping statements about gun violence. But as with many other issues, these influential people tend to oversimplify or are flat-out wrong.
So no matter where you stand on the gun control debate, there are numerous claims that deserve a closer look.
Take this popular one, for example: “States with weak gun violence prevention laws and higher rates of gun ownership have the highest overall gun death rates in the nation.”
That was a mouth full. Let’s break this core claim down.
Because we’re about JUST FACTS, let’s replace the subjective phrase “weak gun violence prevention laws” with some more concrete, like gun ownership rates.
Also, measuring only gun deaths accounts for murders committed with guns but fails to account for lives saved with guns. So let’s focus on the primary issue, which is the overall rate of violent deaths.
Now for Just Facts’ Question of the Week: Do states with higher gun ownership rates generally have higher homicide rates?
Yes or No?
Take your best shot.
The answer is no.
Data from the FBI and the journal Injury Prevention show that state gun ownership rates and homicide rates are disparate and poorly correlated.
This is very important because, as the chart shows, many states with higher gun ownership rates also have the lowest murder rates, and vice versa. As you can see, there is no clear association between gun ownership rates and murder rates.
To examine the documentation for this and many other facts that debunk common talking points on both sides of the gun control debate, go to: https://www.justfacts.com/guncontrol.fourexamples.asp
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Outbreaks of Deadly Insect-Borne Diseases Accord with DDT Reductions, Not Global Warming
Journalists are blaming climate change for deadly increases in malaria and other insect-borne diseases, but this carnage doesn’t correlate with climate change but with bans of a highly effective pesticide.
For thorough documentation of every fact in this video, go to https://www.justfactsdaily.com/ddt-ban-not-global-warming-outbreak-disease-carrying-insects/
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The Impact of Illegal Votes By Non-Citizens on the 2020 Presidential Election
A rigorous study shows that illegal votes cast by non-citizens may have given Joe Biden enough fraudulent votes to reverse the lawful election results in key swing states.
Furthermore, attempts to deny this reality consist of mathematically illiterate notions, half-truths, and outright falsehoods.
Scrupulous documentation of every fact in this video is available at
https://www.justfactsdaily.com/quantifying-illegal-votes-cast-by-non-citizens-in-the-battleground-states-of-the-2020-presidential-election
and
https://www.justfactsdaily.com/usa-today-facebook-illegal-voting-by-non-citizens
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How the National Debt HARMS YOU
WATCH talk show host Carl Jackson interview Just Facts president Jim Agresti on SNC Tonight about how the national debt HARMS YOU.
CORRECTION: Agresti said that the federal deficit is 27% of its revenues, but the actual figure is 38%!
SOURCES:
Consequences of the National Debt
https://www.justfacts.com/nationaldebt#consequences
Shrinkflation Is a Form of Inflation
https://research.stlouisfed.org/publications/page1-econ/2022/12/01/beyond-inflation-numbers-shrinkflation-and-skimpflation
Causes of Inflation
https://www.justfacts.com/monetarypolicy#inflation
Federal Deficit Spending
https://www.justfacts.com/nationaldebt#causes
Economic Effects of Immigration From Impoverished Nations
https://www.justfactsdaily.com/effects-of-immigration-from-impoverished-nations
The Federal Government Had Revenues of $4,439 Billion in 2023 and a Deficit of $1,695 Billion
https://www.cbo.gov/system/files/2024-02/59710-Outlook-2024.pdf#page=16
CALCULATION: $1,695 / $4,439 = 38%
Politics of the National Debt
https://www.justfacts.com/nationaldebt#politics-public
About Carl Jackson
https://thecarljacksonshow.com/all/about
Subscribe to Carl’s Show:
Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/1h1cGprDUP5fyuLtjEckHZ
Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-carl-jackson-podcast/id1608407871
Google Podcasts: https://podcasts.google.com/feed/aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cub21ueWNvbnRlbnQuY29tL2QvcGxheWxpc3QvNWUyN2E0NTEtZTZlNi00YzUxLWFhMDMtYTczNzAwMDM3ODNjL2Y5ZmFlNWEzLTQxNDEtNDVmMS04ZWRhLWE4NDAwMDA1ZTc4Zi8wNzI4ZGQ4NC1kNThjLTQ5NTQtOGI5OS1hODQwMDAwNWU3OGYvcG9kY2FzdC5yc3M
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Joe Biden Denies Illicit Deals With Hunter on “60 Minutes”
This week on “60 Minutes,” President Biden swore “there’s not a single thing that I’ve observed at all that would affect me or the United States relative to my son Hunter.” That claim is exploded by newly uncovered emails which prove Joe Biden obstructed justice to enrich Hunter:
https://www.justfactsdaily.com/smoking-gun-newly-discovered-emails-confirm-joe-biden-obstructed-justice-for-his-sons-foreign-business-deal
“60 Minutes” footage reproduced under the “fair use” provision of U.S. copyright law for “purposes such as criticism” and “comment” (17 U.S.C. §107). https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/17/107
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