Guardians vs Cubs Predictions, Picks, Odds: Cleveland Stays Disciplined vs Stroman
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Two teams looking to contend in weak divisions will face off on Saturday night as the Cleveland Guardians visit the Chicago Cubs in an interleague matchup.
Game 1 of the series was all Chicago (38-42), as the Cubs broke a four-game losing streak with a 10-1 victory. Cleveland (39-42) wants each of these wins desperately, as the Guardians are just one game back of the Minnesota Twins in the AL Central.
Chicago will hope to have the edge again on Saturday as mild home favorites in the MLB odds, as they send Marcus Stroman to the mound to try and...
Two teams looking to contend in weak divisions will face off on Saturday night as the Cleveland Guardians visit the Chicago Cubs in an interleague matchup.
Game 1 of the series was all Chicago (38-42), as the Cubs broke a four-game losing streak with a 10-1 victory. Cleveland (39-42) wants each of these wins desperately, as the Guardians are just one game back of the Minnesota Twins in the AL Central.
Chicago will hope to have the edge again on Saturday as mild home favorites in the MLB odds, as they send Marcus Stroman to the mound to try and shut down a resilient Cleveland offense. We’ll look at how that might play out in our free MLB picks and predictions for Guardians vs. Cubs on July 1.
Guardians vs Cubs odds Guardians vs Cubs predictions Marcus Stroman has quietly put together one of the most solid pitching runs in baseball over his last four seasons. Beginning in 2019 — and not including the pandemic-shortened 2020 season, which Stroman opted not to play in — he has never had an ERA over 3.50. He has also been reliable, making 107 starts in that period.
That success has continued into this season, where he leads the league in starts with 17 while putting up an impressive 2.47 ERA. But there’s one thing that Stroman doesn’t do particularly well: strike out batters.
Stroman’s success this season has come in two areas. First, he’s holding opponents to just 6.6 hits per nine innings. His WHIP would be off the charts if it weren’t for the fact that he’s also walking 3.1 batters a game, but it’s still at a strong 1.078. He’s also allowing just 0.4 homers per nine innings, which has prevented opponents from taking advantage of the few hits they do get.
However, Stroman is striking out just 7.5 batters per nine innings this season. That’s a relatively low number, and his lowest since 2018. And while that’s still acceptable for a starting pitcher even in 2023, it doesn’t bode well against the Cleveland lineup, at least in one respect.
The Guardians don’t strike out a lot. They’re averaging just 7.13 strikeouts per game, the second-lowest total in all of MLB. This hasn’t translated into a lot of offense overall, but Cleveland does put the ball in play against virtually every pitcher it faces.
That job will be even easier against Stroman, who is not a strikeout pitcher. The Guardians also perform slightly better against right-handed pitching, striking out in only 18.9% of their plate appearances.
Overall, this has me looking to make an aggressive play in the MLB player props for tonight’s game.
Stroman’s strikeout total has been set at just 3.5. This is a matchup that isn’t conducive to a lot of swings and misses, so I’m taking those generous odds and betting on the Guardians to make a lot of contact tonight, even if it’s soft. Let’s go with the Under on Stroman’s strikeouts, which is being offered at plus money at several sportsbooks. My best bet: Stroman Under 3.5 strikeouts (+117) Guardians vs Cubs same-game parlay Stroman Under 3.5 strikeouts Guardians +1.5 Under 8 We can build a solid same-game parlay around my best bet tonight, especially with a third pick that doesn’t obviously correlate with the strikeout prop. We’ll start by once against taking Stroman to hit the Under at 3.5 strikeouts, counting on both him and Cleveland to play to contact while he’s in the game.
Next, I’m taking the Guardians at +1.5 on the run line. I d...
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Red Sox vs Blue Jays Predictions, Picks, Odds: Yusei Stands Out on Canada Day
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The Toronto Blue Jays will try to get back into the win column against the Boston Red Sox, who snapped a five-game losing streak by taking the series opener last night.
Both clubs have struggled offensively over the last week or so but Toronto will hope to have the edge with Yusei Kikuchi on the mound, who hasn’t lost in over a month.
I'm not sure if the Jays' offense will suddenly spring to life, but I do think Kikuchi does his part to help the hosts even up the series — read more in my Red Sox vs. Blue...
The Toronto Blue Jays will try to get back into the win column against the Boston Red Sox, who snapped a five-game losing streak by taking the series opener last night.
Both clubs have struggled offensively over the last week or so but Toronto will hope to have the edge with Yusei Kikuchi on the mound, who hasn’t lost in over a month.
I'm not sure if the Jays' offense will suddenly spring to life, but I do think Kikuchi does his part to help the hosts even up the series — read more in my Red Sox vs. Blue Jays free MLB picks for Canada Day!
Red Sox vs Blue Jays odds Red Sox vs Blue Jays predictions
The Boston Red Sox rolled to a 5-0 win on Friday night thanks, to a couple of two-RBI performances from Justin Turner and Jarren Duran – a complete flip of the script compared to what we’ve seen from the Red Sox of late.
The BoSox have averaged a mere 2.22 runs per game over their last nine contests, going 2-7 and managing to score more than two runs just four times over that span.
The Toronto Blue Jays will be sending Yusei Kikuchi to the mound today as he aims to continue an impressive stretch of play. The southpaw has given up just one earned run over his last two starts, while holding opposing offenses to two earned runs or fewer in six straight outings.
Boston has been okay — not great — against left-handed pitching, ranking tied for 18th in the majors in slugging percentage (.405) while batting .253 (15th).
Assuming we see another strong start from Kikuchi — and the top arm in the Jays bullpen are all fresh and ready to support him as well — I expect the Red Sox to have another slow day at the plate.
Considering the Jays offense has also been rather pedestrian, you can also look at the full-game Under 9.0 (available at -111 at Sports Interaction) but keying in on the Red Sox is the bet value on the board. My best bet: Red Sox team total Under 3.5 (+115 at DraftKings) Red Sox vs Blue Jays same-game parlay Red Sox TT Under 3.5 Kikuchi 6+ strikeouts Springer to get a hit We’re going to roll with the hot hand in our same-game parlay and look for Kikuchi to fan at least six batters in today’s ballgame. The southpaw hasn’t necessarily been a strikeout machine this season, but has a solid 85 Ks in 84 innings of work — and he’s also punched out at least six in four of his last five starts, recording eight Ks in two of those contests.
The Jays had a slow June at the plate, driving in just 99 RBI, the ninth-worst mark in the MLB. However, George Springer has been consistent, though, with 30 hits last month — tied for the team lead — and hits in nine of his last 12 games. Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies. Not intended for use in MA. Affiliate Disclosure: Covers may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook or betting site.
Red Sox vs Blue Jays moneyline and Over/Under analysis
The Jays get the nod as the clear home favorite based on the MLB odds today, opening at -159 on the moneyline and climbing as high as -179 by late Saturday morning.
With the Red Sox throwing Kutter Crawford onto the mound, the hosts should have the edge. He was up and down in June, giving up four earned runs in two of his five starts while holding opponents to two earned runs or less in the other three outings.
He may not give Boston tons of length, though, as he averaged just over four innings of work per start.
The total for this one settled at 9 runs a...
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Giants vs Mets Predictions, Picks, Odds: Back Bailey's Bat Sunday Night
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The New York Mets and San Francisco Giants will wrap up a three-game series on Sunday Night Baseball.
The teams have split the first two games of this series, with Justin Verlander leading New York to a win last night following a San Francisco win the day before.
It's been a significantly disappointing season for the Mets, entering tonight nine games under .500 and well behind the NL East-leading Braves.
Things are different for the Giants; they are just 3.5 games behind first in the NL West and will be angling for a playoff berth down the stretch.
Read on...
The New York Mets and San Francisco Giants will wrap up a three-game series on Sunday Night Baseball.
The teams have split the first two games of this series, with Justin Verlander leading New York to a win last night following a San Francisco win the day before.
It's been a significantly disappointing season for the Mets, entering tonight nine games under .500 and well behind the NL East-leading Braves.
Things are different for the Giants; they are just 3.5 games behind first in the NL West and will be angling for a playoff berth down the stretch.
Read on for my best bet and full MLB picks and predictions for Mets vs. Giants on Sunday, July 2nd.
Giants vs Mets odds Giants vs Mets predictions
Tonight we have two pitchers on the mound — each with underwhelming metrics — in David Peterson and Ross Stripling.
With that in mind, I'm naturally attracted to the Over as I'm expecting runs. We'll talk about that soon, but the board has more value, with my best bet leaning on Patrick Bailey.
Bailey has been a revelation for the San Francisco Giants, especially of late. Two days ago, he became the second catcher to accomplish a rare combo of feats: hitting a game-tying home run in the eighth inning or later and throwing out a potential tying run on a stolen base attempt in the eighth inning or later.
To put it plainly, the first-year major leaguer has been hot. He's gone over this total bases number in six of his last 10 games and exactly half of his previous 30 games. Either way, you slice those numbers, there's value in this from a raw stat perspective with an implied number of -150 if we're looking at the last ten games and +100 in the previous 30.
I'm especially intrigued with this play because of the damage that he's done against lefties, like the one he'll be facing tonight.
It may surprise some, but Patrick Bailey has one of the best ISO numbers against left-handed pitchers of any player in baseball. He's ranked eighth in this category among players with at least 40 plate appearances against lefties with a number of .379. To put it plainly, that number suggests that he'll hit for extra bases around 37% of the time.
With that in mind, we're hoping to see plate appearances against Peterson as many times as possible. My projections suggest that Bailey should be expected to see him close to three times which tilts the odds significantly in our favor.
Yet another thing that screams value in this play is the pitches that Bailey has success against. Peterson will throw a high mix of fastball-slider, with the two pitches making up just over 50% of his pitch arsenal.
This is good news for Bailey; out of all the pitches he's seen this season, the slider and fastball are the two highest hard-hit rates among them. Over the 40+ times he's seen it, Bailey is hitting .300 against the fastball and .289 against the slider.
Backing Bailey tonight is backing value. He went 0-4 at the plate last night, which, if trends hold steady, he should bounce back with a good night here. While the data is still relatively small, Bailey has had back-to-back hitless games just once this season.
I projected this number at -130, and given the matchup he'll have, it's one of the best bets on the board under the lights of Sunday Night Baseball. My best bet: Patrick Bailey Over 1.5 total bases (+155) Giants vs Mets same-game parlay Patrick Bailey Over 1.5 tota...
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Giants vs Mets Predictions, Picks, Odds: Back Bailey's Bat Sunday Night
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The New York Mets and San Francisco Giants will wrap up a three-game series on Sunday Night Baseball.
The teams have split the first two games of this series, with Justin Verlander leading New York to a win last night following a San Francisco win the day before.
It's been a significantly disappointing season for the Mets, entering tonight nine games under .500 and well behind the NL East-leading Braves.
Things are different for the Giants; they are just 3.5 games behind first in the NL West and will be angling for a playoff berth down the stretch.
Read on...
The New York Mets and San Francisco Giants will wrap up a three-game series on Sunday Night Baseball.
The teams have split the first two games of this series, with Justin Verlander leading New York to a win last night following a San Francisco win the day before.
It's been a significantly disappointing season for the Mets, entering tonight nine games under .500 and well behind the NL East-leading Braves.
Things are different for the Giants; they are just 3.5 games behind first in the NL West and will be angling for a playoff berth down the stretch.
Read on for my best bet and full MLB picks and predictions for Mets vs. Giants on Sunday, July 2nd.
Giants vs Mets odds Giants vs Mets predictions
Tonight we have two pitchers on the mound — each with underwhelming metrics — in David Peterson and Ross Stripling.
With that in mind, I'm naturally attracted to the Over as I'm expecting runs. We'll talk about that soon, but the board has more value, with my best bet leaning on Patrick Bailey.
Bailey has been a revelation for the San Francisco Giants, especially of late. Two days ago, he became the second catcher to accomplish a rare combo of feats: hitting a game-tying home run in the eighth inning or later and throwing out a potential tying run on a stolen base attempt in the eighth inning or later.
To put it plainly, the first-year major leaguer has been hot. He's gone over this total bases number in six of his last 10 games and exactly half of his previous 30 games. Either way, you slice those numbers, there's value in this from a raw stat perspective with an implied number of -150 if we're looking at the last ten games and +100 in the previous 30.
I'm especially intrigued with this play because of the damage that he's done against lefties, like the one he'll be facing tonight.
It may surprise some, but Patrick Bailey has one of the best ISO numbers against left-handed pitchers of any player in baseball. He's ranked eighth in this category among players with at least 40 plate appearances against lefties with a number of .379. To put it plainly, that number suggests that he'll hit for extra bases around 37% of the time.
With that in mind, we're hoping to see plate appearances against Peterson as many times as possible. My projections suggest that Bailey should be expected to see him close to three times which tilts the odds significantly in our favor.
Yet another thing that screams value in this play is the pitches that Bailey has success against. Peterson will throw a high mix of fastball-slider, with the two pitches making up just over 50% of his pitch arsenal.
This is good news for Bailey; out of all the pitches he's seen this season, the slider and fastball are the two highest hard-hit rates among them. Over the 40+ times he's seen it, Bailey is hitting .300 against the fastball and .289 against the slider.
Backing Bailey tonight is backing value. He went 0-4 at the plate last night, which, if trends hold steady, he should bounce back with a good night here. While the data is still relatively small, Bailey has had back-to-back hitless games just once this season.
I projected this number at -130, and given the matchup he'll have, it's one of the best bets on the board under the lights of Sunday Night Baseball. My best bet: Patrick Bailey Over 1.5 total bases (+155) Giants vs Mets same-game parlay Patrick Bailey Over 1.5 tota...
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Astros vs Rangers Predictions, Picks, Odds: Scores Are Bigger in Texas
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There’s a great matchup on tap deep in the heart of Texas as the Houston Astros (45-38) face the Texas Rangers (50-33) this afternoon.
The series has been back and forth thus far, as the Astros took Game 1 by a score of 5-3 but the Rangers bounced back with a 5-2 victory in Game 2.
Both lineups have been hot, ranking in the Top 5 of wRC+ across the last 10 days. I’m expecting them to produce yet again and will be targeting the total for Game 3.
Read on for my best bet and full MLB picks and...
There’s a great matchup on tap deep in the heart of Texas as the Houston Astros (45-38) face the Texas Rangers (50-33) this afternoon.
The series has been back and forth thus far, as the Astros took Game 1 by a score of 5-3 but the Rangers bounced back with a 5-2 victory in Game 2.
Both lineups have been hot, ranking in the Top 5 of wRC+ across the last 10 days. I’m expecting them to produce yet again and will be targeting the total for Game 3.
Read on for my best bet and full MLB picks and predictions for Astros vs. Rangers on Sunday, July 2.
Astros vs Rangers odds Astros vs Rangers predictions Andrew Heaney gets the call for the Rangers. He’s been getting rocked, surrendering a 10.8% barrel rate, making it the second straight season in which he’s reached double digits in that dubious regard. His starts have tended to be high-scoring as the Rangers are 9-4 O/U in his 13 starts.
He faces a Houston lineup that has hit lefties well, posting a 118 wRC+ and .339 wOBA since the start of June. They have the lowest strikeout rate (16.2%) in MLB in that span and therefore there’s reason to expect they’ll be able to counteract Heaney’s strikeout-heavy approach.
Another trend supporting a high-scoring game is that the Astros are 4-1-1 O/U in their last six overall as the lineup has been performing well. Jose Altuve and Alex Bregman are both swinging the stick well lately, while Jose Abreu has finally come to life and has reached base in eight straight games.
Rookie Shawn Dubin gets the call for the Astros. He’s made just two appearances this season — both out of the bullpen — while surrendering six runs across just five innings of work. It’ll likely be a bullpen game as Dubin isn’t expected to pitch deep into the afternoon.
He’ll face a Rangers lineup that has been raking, posting a 134 wRC+ and .364 wOBA over the last 10 days. Good luck putting it all together against this potent lineup, rook!
There’s reason to expect runs from both teams here in Game 3, so I’ll be taking the Over as my best bet on Sunday. My best bet: Over 9 (-115 at PointsBet) Astros vs Rangers same-game parlay Over 9.5 (+105) Andrew Heaney 5+ hits allowed (-150) Alex Bregman 2+ total bases (+135) We’ll start out the SGP with the best bet from above and play the Over. SGPs require using a half run, so we’ll play 9.5 instead of 9 as the total.
For the second leg, we’ll take Heaney to allow at least five hits — something that he’s done in four of his last five outings. The Astros have a .285 batting average against left-handers since the start of June and have to like their chances here against a southpaw with a 4.74 xERA and 5.12 FIP.
Lastly, we’ll add Bregman to notch two total bases. He’s been hot at the plate, notching eight total bases in his last three games. He has hit this number in five of his last 10 and I like his chances of doing so again. This is a correlated play with our other two legs, as Bregman having another productive outing at the dish would fare well for both the total and Heaney getting tagged. Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies. Not intended for use in MA. Affiliate Disclosure: Covers may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook or betting site.
Astros vs Rangers moneyline and Over/Under analysis
The Rangers are viewed as the favorite, sitting between -132 and -145 depending on the book. Be sure to shop around using our MLB odds tool to ensure...
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New York Liberty vs Seattle Storm Prediction, Picks, and Odds: Loyd Carves Up NYL Defense
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Breanna Stewart and the New York Liberty head back to her old stomping grounds in the Pacific Northwest as they take on the Seattle Storm on Sunday.
The Liberty are coming off a dispiriting loss to the invincible-looking Aces and will be looking for a strong performance to rebuild confidence as they continue to coalesce as a team.
The Storm will be looking to pull off an unlikely win against one of the W’s inner-circle contenders after a heartbreaking overtime loss against the Lynx on Thursday.
Our WNBA picks and predictions for Liberty vs. Storm believe the Gold Mamba should...
Breanna Stewart and the New York Liberty head back to her old stomping grounds in the Pacific Northwest as they take on the Seattle Storm on Sunday.
The Liberty are coming off a dispiriting loss to the invincible-looking Aces and will be looking for a strong performance to rebuild confidence as they continue to coalesce as a team.
The Storm will be looking to pull off an unlikely win against one of the W’s inner-circle contenders after a heartbreaking overtime loss against the Lynx on Thursday.
Our WNBA picks and predictions for Liberty vs. Storm believe the Gold Mamba should have another strong game against New York’s weaker perimeter defense.
Liberty vs Storm best odds Liberty vs Storm picks and predictions
The New York Liberty’s game against the Aces was revealing, not only because it made plain how far away New York is from truly competing with the league’s best, but also because of an Achilles Heel that might make closing that gap impossible this season.
That weakness? Perimeter defense. It’s true, New York has Betnijah Laney, who — while technically a 6-foot forward — is comfortable guarding down and matching up with smaller guards like Jewell Loyd. That’s the theory anyway, but Loyd is a particularly tough cover for Laney.
Jewell is a jitterbug on the court, one of the fastest, most agile live dribblers in the W, capable of hesitating and crossing up bigger wings like Laney on their way to the hoop. If Laney goes under, Loyd is pulling up, but whenever she goes over, Loyd was burning her on a drive into the paint.
She really had her way, and that was against the Liberty’s best chance to guard her. The last time the Liberty came to town way back on May 30, Jewell went 9-16 from the field for 26 points. She routinely made Laney look like she was playing on ice.
What’s more is that the Seattle Storm can use guard-to-guard screening action as they did many times in the previous matchup, and then one of Courtney Vandersloot or Sabrina Ionescu is in the primary action. Sloot gives a good enough effort and is a heady player, but at 34, she doesn’t have the foot speed to match Loyd, nor can the Liberty afford her to take too much punishment from screens.
Sabrina is the real worry, however, as her screen navigation has become a serious problem for the Liberty at points this season (including against the Aces). She gives too much space, doesn’t close the gaps fast enough, or is prone to foul when she does.
Loyd will be licking her chops and hunting that matchup all game, and the Storm coaching staff know that Loyd going against the Liberty guards is their best bet for efficient offense when the alternative is trying to attack Breanna Stewart and Jonquel Jones at the rim, who are two of the five best defensive players in the W today.
As I’ve discussed with Loyd before, and this holds true of most high-usage guards like her, I strongly consider rest when thinking about whether to play or fade her points prop. In this case, she not only has a favorable matchup but she’s had two full days off to recharge the batteries. My best bet: Jewell Loyd Over 24.5 points (-115 at FanDuel) Not intended for use in MA. Affiliate Disclosure: Covers may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook or betting site. Best WNBA bonuses
If you're signing up for a new sportsbook for the WNBA, here are t...
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Best WNBA Player Props Today: From Boston to Dallas on Sunday Afternoon
Best WNBA Player Props Today: From Boston to Dallas on Sunday Afternoon Pleas Subscribe For Daily Sports Betting News
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Prop bet #1: Arike averted Arike Ogunbowale has begun this season on an all-time heater, but that’s also seen her points prop climb and climb in recent weeks. Now facing a stiff challenge against the Washington Mystics, I’m inclined to fade her at 21.5 for Sunday’s action.
I've said it before and I'll say it again, the Mystics have by far the best group of defensive guards in the WNBA. Each of the trio of Ariel Atkin, Natasha Cloud, and Brittney Sykes are All-Defense-caliber players and together form a three-headed monster that terrorizes opponents on a nightly basis. Atkins was...
Prop bet #1: Arike averted Arike Ogunbowale has begun this season on an all-time heater, but that’s also seen her points prop climb and climb in recent weeks. Now facing a stiff challenge against the Washington Mystics, I’m inclined to fade her at 21.5 for Sunday’s action.
I've said it before and I'll say it again, the Mystics have by far the best group of defensive guards in the WNBA. Each of the trio of Ariel Atkin, Natasha Cloud, and Brittney Sykes are All-Defense-caliber players and together form a three-headed monster that terrorizes opponents on a nightly basis. Atkins was the first WNBA player to make five straight All-Defense teams to open her career and is perhaps the hardest guard to screen in the W.
Cloud is just a bulldog on both ends, a brick wall that even forwards have trouble moving when she plants her feet. And Sykes has incredible anticipation. While she’s likely to not be on-ball against Arike as much as Atkin and Cloud, that plays to her strengths, as for all her individual virtues she’s even better as a help defender.
All of them will get stretches against Arike on Sunday, as there are no other serious guard threats on the Dallas Wings roster. When these two teams played last on June 2, they held Arike to just 7-for-21 from the field for 18 points and only allowed her two free throws. Particularly with Elena Delle Donne likely out, the path of least resistance will be elsewhere for Dallas. I’d never expect Arike to get totally shut out because she’s just too crafty with a live dribble, but I’m comfortable betting against her season average of 22.4 points. Arike Ogunbowale prop: Under 21.5 points (-113 at FanDuel) Prop bet #3: Boston bounces back Aliyah Bostonis a marvel. She was just recently named an All-Star starter, the first rookie to do so since 2014 and just the eighth in WNBA history. She’s also leading the league in shooting from the field at 62.6%, with the only one even in her stratosphere being Brittney Griner, herself one of the most talented interior scorers in league history.
Entering the league with 66.7% true shooting puts her in the elite of the elite, a Top-10 player in the league already. She had a tough outing last game against the aforementioned Griner of the Phoenix Mercury, but she proved how good she can be even against elite defenders like A’ja Wilson in her pair of games against the Las Vegas Aces. Boston and the Fever made the defending champs sweat out all 40 minutes of both games. Nobody on the Chicago Sky has anyone who approaches what Griner can bring to the game as a rim protector and big body in the paint.
The Sky are coming along nicely with their rebuilding season, having just ended a six-game losing skid with a pair of impressive wins against (an admittedly wounded) Los Angeles Sparks squad. But their strength is their guards and perimeter players, not their interior defense. They allow the second most points in the paint of any WNBA team at 38.9 per game, and that is Aliyah’s office. Boston is 6-foot-5 and 220 pounds, dwarfing every player on the Sky roster in both size and length. I’m banking on Boston bouncing back strong against the diminutive Sky. Aliyah Boston prop: Over 15.5 points (-120 at bet365) Prop bet #2: Sublime Sally
Building on the same logic as the Ogunbowale bet, we’re turning to her running mateSatou Saballyfor our next bet...
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Rays vs Mariners Predictions, Picks, Odds: Bats Come to Play on Sunday
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The Mariners finally snapped out of their skid on Saturday with an 8-3 win over Tyler Glasnow and the Rays and will take aim at a series victory with their ace heading to the hill this afternoon. Will the pitching matchup be in the home team’s favor?
Let’s break down Rays vs. Mariners in our MLB picks and predictions for Sunday, July 2.
Rays vs Mariners odds Rays vs Mariners predictions
Allow me to just say, Mariners right-hander Luis Castillo is a very good pitcher. I’ve got plenty of faith in his devastating fastball and his strikeout numbers are in...
The Mariners finally snapped out of their skid on Saturday with an 8-3 win over Tyler Glasnow and the Rays and will take aim at a series victory with their ace heading to the hill this afternoon. Will the pitching matchup be in the home team’s favor?
Let’s break down Rays vs. Mariners in our MLB picks and predictions for Sunday, July 2.
Rays vs Mariners odds Rays vs Mariners predictions
Allow me to just say, Mariners right-hander Luis Castillo is a very good pitcher. I’ve got plenty of faith in his devastating fastball and his strikeout numbers are in elite territory with 28.3% of batters being retired via the punchout.
However, Castillo is vulnerable when he fails to miss bats. When contact is made, the risk of an extra-base hit or home run is high. Castillo has now allowed seven home runs this month and carries an ugly .413 expected slugging percentage into this start. His fly-ball rate has also soared to 24.8%, which is above the league average.
The Rays pack a real punch with their bats, too, ranking seventh in fly-ball rate with 15.2% of those fly balls turning into home runs, which is a league-best rate. The chances of the Rays popping some home runs are very high and I think Taj Bradley and his .416 xwOBA on contact may have some issues of his own with a Mariners offense that is waking up at the plate. My best bet: Over 7.5 (-114 at FanDuel) Rays vs Mariners same-game parlay Over 7.5 (-114) Luke Raley to hit a home run (+560) Taj Bradley 6+ strikeouts (-188) We’ve covered that I don’t like this matchup for Castillo. The Rays are a fly ball team with a ton of pop an lead the league in home run-to-fly ball ratio. So, we need to pick out a good candidate to take him yard.
Enter Luke Raley. He’s getting 28.1% of his balls in play to come back in the air and he’s one of the best around in the exit velocity department. His 50.8% hard-hit rate puts him in the Top 10% of all hitters and his 17.2% barrel rate in the Top 5%. With 14 homers this year, he’s a good call to go deep against the recently homer-prone Castillo.
The Mariners are also absolute strikeout machines. They have the second-worst mark in the league during the last two weeks at 27.6% and Bradley, who is a massive strikeout arm (12.4 K/9, 32.2 K%), should be able to sit down six here. Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies. Not intended for use in MA. Affiliate Disclosure: Covers may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook or betting site.
Rays vs Mariners moneyline and Over/Under analysis
I’m definitely siding with the Rays here as underdogs. Bradley’s peripherals don’t match up with Castillo’s, in theory, considering his higher xERA, but he does carry a better xSLG than Castillo and his strikeout rate is a beefy 32.2%, which puts him in the Top 8% of all pitchers in the game.
The Mariners are strikeout machines at the plate. They did manage to pick up some much-needed offense on Saturday, but they still own a 100 wRC+ in the last two weeks and have walked in just 8.5% of their plate appearances.
Seattle is simply not consistently good at hitting, and that will help us arrive at the Rays on the moneyline. I trust Tampa Bay to win what will ultimately be a home run-hitting contest. Best MLB bonuses
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Rays vs Mariners Predictions, Picks, Odds: Bats Come to Play on Sunday
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The Mariners finally snapped out of their skid on Saturday with an 8-3 win over Tyler Glasnow and the Rays and will take aim at a series victory with their ace heading to the hill this afternoon. Will the pitching matchup be in the home team’s favor?
Let’s break down Rays vs. Mariners in our MLB picks and predictions for Sunday, July 2.
Rays vs Mariners odds Rays vs Mariners predictions
Allow me to just say, Mariners right-hander Luis Castillo is a very good pitcher. I’ve got plenty of faith in his devastating fastball and his strikeout numbers are in...
The Mariners finally snapped out of their skid on Saturday with an 8-3 win over Tyler Glasnow and the Rays and will take aim at a series victory with their ace heading to the hill this afternoon. Will the pitching matchup be in the home team’s favor?
Let’s break down Rays vs. Mariners in our MLB picks and predictions for Sunday, July 2.
Rays vs Mariners odds Rays vs Mariners predictions
Allow me to just say, Mariners right-hander Luis Castillo is a very good pitcher. I’ve got plenty of faith in his devastating fastball and his strikeout numbers are in elite territory with 28.3% of batters being retired via the punchout.
However, Castillo is vulnerable when he fails to miss bats. When contact is made, the risk of an extra-base hit or home run is high. Castillo has now allowed seven home runs this month and carries an ugly .413 expected slugging percentage into this start. His fly-ball rate has also soared to 24.8%, which is above the league average.
The Rays pack a real punch with their bats, too, ranking seventh in fly-ball rate with 15.2% of those fly balls turning into home runs, which is a league-best rate. The chances of the Rays popping some home runs are very high and I think Taj Bradley and his .416 xwOBA on contact may have some issues of his own with a Mariners offense that is waking up at the plate. My best bet: Over 7.5 (-114 at FanDuel) Rays vs Mariners same-game parlay Over 7.5 (-114) Luke Raley to hit a home run (+560) Taj Bradley 6+ strikeouts (-188) We’ve covered that I don’t like this matchup for Castillo. The Rays are a fly ball team with a ton of pop an lead the league in home run-to-fly ball ratio. So, we need to pick out a good candidate to take him yard.
Enter Luke Raley. He’s getting 28.1% of his balls in play to come back in the air and he’s one of the best around in the exit velocity department. His 50.8% hard-hit rate puts him in the Top 10% of all hitters and his 17.2% barrel rate in the Top 5%. With 14 homers this year, he’s a good call to go deep against the recently homer-prone Castillo.
The Mariners are also absolute strikeout machines. They have the second-worst mark in the league during the last two weeks at 27.6% and Bradley, who is a massive strikeout arm (12.4 K/9, 32.2 K%), should be able to sit down six here. Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies. Not intended for use in MA. Affiliate Disclosure: Covers may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook or betting site.
Rays vs Mariners moneyline and Over/Under analysis
I’m definitely siding with the Rays here as underdogs. Bradley’s peripherals don’t match up with Castillo’s, in theory, considering his higher xERA, but he does carry a better xSLG than Castillo and his strikeout rate is a beefy 32.2%, which puts him in the Top 8% of all pitchers in the game.
The Mariners are strikeout machines at the plate. They did manage to pick up some much-needed offense on Saturday, but they still own a 100 wRC+ in the last two weeks and have walked in just 8.5% of their plate appearances.
Seattle is simply not consistently good at hitting, and that will help us arrive at the Rays on the moneyline. I trust Tampa Bay to win what will ultimately be a home run-hitting contest. Best MLB bonuses
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Red Sox vs Blue Jays Predictions, Picks, Odds: Gausman Gets the Job Done
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The Boston Red Sox will aim to complete the series sweep over the Toronto Blue Jays when the clubs wrap up a three-game set this afternoon at Rogers Centre.
Toronto comes into the contest as the big home favorite with Kevin Gausman on the mound, but a sleepy Boston offense has suddenly woken up, scoring 12 runs over the last two games.
Will Gausman help the hosts take the series finale or can Boston pull off the sweep? We’ll discuss in our Red Sox vs. Blue Jays MLB picks and predictions for Sunday, July 2.
Red Sox vs Blue Jays...
The Boston Red Sox will aim to complete the series sweep over the Toronto Blue Jays when the clubs wrap up a three-game set this afternoon at Rogers Centre.
Toronto comes into the contest as the big home favorite with Kevin Gausman on the mound, but a sleepy Boston offense has suddenly woken up, scoring 12 runs over the last two games.
Will Gausman help the hosts take the series finale or can Boston pull off the sweep? We’ll discuss in our Red Sox vs. Blue Jays MLB picks and predictions for Sunday, July 2.
Red Sox vs Blue Jays odds Red Sox vs Blue Jays predictions
After cruising to a 5-0 win in the series opener on Friday, the Red Sox got homers from Rafael Deversand Justin Turner to spoil the Blue Jays’ Canada Day celebrations with a 7-6 victory on Saturday.
Boston had scored just 2.22 runs per game in the seven contests leading up to this series but the Red Sox seem to have their swagger back at the plate, recording 12 runs and five homers in the first two meetings against the Jays.
Can Toronto ace Kevin Gausman slow the Red Sox bats down? The Blue Jays starter was excellent in his last outing against the Giants on June 27, holding them to three hits and one earned run over six innings.
He had a couple of rough games in June — most notably allowing six earned runs over 4 2/3 innings to the Twins three weeks ago — but the right-hander has held opponents to two earned runs or fewer in eight of his last 10 appearances.
Gausman will be up against Garrett Whitlock, who was rocked for 11 hits and six earned runs in his last outing. He's also allowed at least four earned runs in three of his last five starts. On paper, Gausman should be able to give his club the easy edge through five innings. My best bet: Blue Jays first five innings moneyline (-204 at SIA) Red Sox vs Blue Jays same-game parlay Kevin Gausman 6+ strikeouts (-380) Red Sox team total Under 4.5 (-210) Justin Turner 1+ RBI (+170) Gausman will headline our same-game parlay as we look for him to notch six strikeouts and help hold the Red Sox to four runs or less. The Jays starter had 12 punchouts in his last outing and has recorded at least six in seven of his last 10 outings. Gausman has 139 strikeouts in 104 2/3 innings this year — the second most in the majors.
While the Red Sox have averaged six runs per game in the first two meetings against the Blue Jays, Gausman will be the best arm they’ve faced so far this series. Assuming he gives Toronto at least six innings, the Jays should be in a good position to limit the damage today. But that doesn't mean he'll come away unscathed.
Finally, Turner will close out our same-game parlay as we look for the Red Sox slugger to notch an RBI. The designated hitter led the club with 22 RBI in 26 games in June — eight more than Devers, who ranked second. Turner had two RBI in each of the first two games of this series. Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies. Not intended for use in MA. Affiliate Disclosure: Covers may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook or betting site.
Red Sox vs Blue Jays moneyline and Over/Under analysis
The Jays come into today’s contest as the huge home favorite, opening at -189 on the moneyline and going as high as -222 at some books by Sunday morning. Toronto had a big edge on Saturday as well, but you’ve got to think the hosts will be able to salvage one game against Boston wit...
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Red Sox vs Blue Jays Predictions, Picks, Odds: Gausman Gets the Job Done
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The Boston Red Sox will aim to complete the series sweep over the Toronto Blue Jays when the clubs wrap up a three-game set this afternoon at Rogers Centre.
Toronto comes into the contest as the big home favorite with Kevin Gausman on the mound, but a sleepy Boston offense has suddenly woken up, scoring 12 runs over the last two games.
Will Gausman help the hosts take the series finale or can Boston pull off the sweep? We’ll discuss in our Red Sox vs. Blue Jays MLB picks and predictions for Sunday, July 2.
Red Sox vs Blue Jays...
The Boston Red Sox will aim to complete the series sweep over the Toronto Blue Jays when the clubs wrap up a three-game set this afternoon at Rogers Centre.
Toronto comes into the contest as the big home favorite with Kevin Gausman on the mound, but a sleepy Boston offense has suddenly woken up, scoring 12 runs over the last two games.
Will Gausman help the hosts take the series finale or can Boston pull off the sweep? We’ll discuss in our Red Sox vs. Blue Jays MLB picks and predictions for Sunday, July 2.
Red Sox vs Blue Jays odds Red Sox vs Blue Jays predictions
After cruising to a 5-0 win in the series opener on Friday, the Red Sox got homers from Rafael Deversand Justin Turner to spoil the Blue Jays’ Canada Day celebrations with a 7-6 victory on Saturday.
Boston had scored just 2.22 runs per game in the seven contests leading up to this series but the Red Sox seem to have their swagger back at the plate, recording 12 runs and five homers in the first two meetings against the Jays.
Can Toronto ace Kevin Gausman slow the Red Sox bats down? The Blue Jays starter was excellent in his last outing against the Giants on June 27, holding them to three hits and one earned run over six innings.
He had a couple of rough games in June — most notably allowing six earned runs over 4 2/3 innings to the Twins three weeks ago — but the right-hander has held opponents to two earned runs or fewer in eight of his last 10 appearances.
Gausman will be up against Garrett Whitlock, who was rocked for 11 hits and six earned runs in his last outing. He's also allowed at least four earned runs in three of his last five starts. On paper, Gausman should be able to give his club the easy edge through five innings. My best bet: Blue Jays first five innings moneyline (-204 at SIA) Red Sox vs Blue Jays same-game parlay Kevin Gausman 6+ strikeouts (-380) Red Sox team total Under 4.5 (-210) Justin Turner 1+ RBI (+170) Gausman will headline our same-game parlay as we look for him to notch six strikeouts and help hold the Red Sox to four runs or less. The Jays starter had 12 punchouts in his last outing and has recorded at least six in seven of his last 10 outings. Gausman has 139 strikeouts in 104 2/3 innings this year — the second most in the majors.
While the Red Sox have averaged six runs per game in the first two meetings against the Blue Jays, Gausman will be the best arm they’ve faced so far this series. Assuming he gives Toronto at least six innings, the Jays should be in a good position to limit the damage today. But that doesn't mean he'll come away unscathed.
Finally, Turner will close out our same-game parlay as we look for the Red Sox slugger to notch an RBI. The designated hitter led the club with 22 RBI in 26 games in June — eight more than Devers, who ranked second. Turner had two RBI in each of the first two games of this series. Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies. Not intended for use in MA. Affiliate Disclosure: Covers may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook or betting site.
Red Sox vs Blue Jays moneyline and Over/Under analysis
The Jays come into today’s contest as the huge home favorite, opening at -189 on the moneyline and going as high as -222 at some books by Sunday morning. Toronto had a big edge on Saturday as well, but you’ve got to think the hosts will be able to salvage one game against Boston wit...
171
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Yankees vs Cardinals Predictions, Picks, Odds: Limiting the Swing-and-Miss
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The third and final game of this Interleague series gets underway Sunday with the NL Central's St. Louis Cardinals hosting the AL East’s New York Yankees.
These two clubs split Saturday’s doubleheader after Friday’s game was postponed due to inclement weather.
Will the Cardinals defend their home diamond, or can the Yankees secure the victory on the road? Find out in our free MLB picks and predictions for Yankees vs. Cardinals on Sunday, July 2.
Yankees vs Cardinals odds Yankees vs Cardinals predictions
Cardinals left-hander Jordan Montgomery is slated to take the mound and he should be a good candidate...
The third and final game of this Interleague series gets underway Sunday with the NL Central's St. Louis Cardinals hosting the AL East’s New York Yankees.
These two clubs split Saturday’s doubleheader after Friday’s game was postponed due to inclement weather.
Will the Cardinals defend their home diamond, or can the Yankees secure the victory on the road? Find out in our free MLB picks and predictions for Yankees vs. Cardinals on Sunday, July 2.
Yankees vs Cardinals odds Yankees vs Cardinals predictions
Cardinals left-hander Jordan Montgomery is slated to take the mound and he should be a good candidate to fade. Through 16 starts this season, Montgomery is 5-7 with a 3.52 ERA and 1.27 WHIP.
His underlying metrics suggest that positive regression is unlikely, as he ranks in the 51st percentile or lower in xERA/xwOBA, xBA, xSLG, and Barrel%. Specifically, we are going to fade Montgomery in the strikeout department.
Entering Sunday, he ranks in the 40th percentile or lower in both K% and Whiff%. Currently, you can find his strikeout prop as high as 4.5 at FanDuel.
While the Yankees have generally struggled at the plate this year, they are good at one thing: limiting strikeouts. New York specifically makes consistent contact against southpaws, ranking in the top half of the league in K% vs. lefty hurlers.
Looking at Sunday’s projected starting lineup, five of the nine hitters possess a K% south of 22% this year. This avoidance of the strikeout is likely to continue against old friend Montgomery. My best bet: Jordan Montgomery Under 4.5 strikeouts (-104 at FanDuel) Yankees vs Cardinals same-game parlay Jordan Montgomery Under 4.5 strikeouts (-115) Under 8.5 runs (-155) Yankees moneyline (-115) We already covered the first leg in the best bet section above, but let us look at the other two.
On the other side, right-hander Gerrit Cole takes the mound for New York. One of the front-runners for the AL Cy Young award, Cole is 8-1 with a 2.78 ERA and 1.13 WHIP.
We should expect the same-old stuff from Cole and see the Cardinals’ bats limited, but what about New York’s? While we are fading Montgomery in the strikeout department, I once again point you to the best bet section where I alluded to the Yankees’ struggle at the dish this season.
Currently, New York ranks in the Bottom 8 of the league in hits per game, batting average, and OPS. With the significant pitching advantage, I see the Yankees winning in a low-scoring affair. Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies. Not intended for use in MA. Affiliate Disclosure: Covers may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook or betting site.
Yankees vs Cardinals moneyline and Over/Under analysis
This game opened to a pick ‘em before some steam brought up New York to the –120 range. That movement makes sense, given that Cole is a much stronger pitcher than Montgomery.
That brings us to the total, which opened at 8 and has since been bumped up to 8.5. The tick-up is not surprising with the Cardinals’ strong lineup even against an ace like Cole. And despite the Yankees’ below-average performance at the plate this year, they should not be overlooked either thanks to a long list of hitters who have historically shown an ability to do damage.
However, in a game with Cole on the mound and Montgomery...
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Atlanta United vs Philadelphia Union Picks and Predictions: Offenses Will Be on Fire in Hotlant...
Atlanta United vs Philadelphia Union Picks and Predictions: Offenses Will Be on Fire in Hotlanta Pleas Subscribe For Daily Sports Betting News
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Two free-scoring Eastern Conference contenders go head-to-head on Sunday as Atlanta United FC welcome the Philadelphia Union to Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
Philadelphia has been one of MLS’ steadiest teams this year, with just one loss in its last 12 league games, and the Union flexed their muscles with a 4-1 win over Inter Miami last weekend.
A 6-3-1 home record this year suggests that Atlanta is heading in the right direction, but a 4-0 thumping on the road against the New York Red Bulls put the Five Stripes’ defensive flaws in the spotlight again.
Read more in our free Atlanta United...
Two free-scoring Eastern Conference contenders go head-to-head on Sunday as Atlanta United FC welcome the Philadelphia Union to Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
Philadelphia has been one of MLS’ steadiest teams this year, with just one loss in its last 12 league games, and the Union flexed their muscles with a 4-1 win over Inter Miami last weekend.
A 6-3-1 home record this year suggests that Atlanta is heading in the right direction, but a 4-0 thumping on the road against the New York Red Bulls put the Five Stripes’ defensive flaws in the spotlight again.
Read more in our free Atlanta United FC vs Philadelphia Union picks and predictions for a closer look at this Sunday, July 2 showdown.
Atlanta United vs Philadelphia Union best odds Atlanta United vs Philadelphia Union picks and predictions
Buckle up for a battle of two potent scoring teams on Sunday afternoon. When it comes to Atlanta United, that could be at either end. The Five Stripes only have a +2 goal differential on the year despite leading the league with 38 goals scored.
The hosts’ last three games have all featured four goals, and their prior five contests at Mercedes-Benz Stadium have cashed the Over on 3.5 total goals.
The Philadelphia Union bring plenty of scoring form into this matchup too, netting 10 times in their four games this month, capped by a clinical four-goal show in Miami despite only 31% possession when last seen on June 24.
All of Philadelphia’s June contests hit the Over on 2.5 total goals, and they’re primed for another productive outing here against Atlanta’s shaky back line.
With both defenses likely to be under pressure from top-notch offenses, I’m predicting a high-scoring battle and grabbing this Over. My best bet: Over 2.5 Goals (-140 at FanDuel) Not intended for use in MA. Affiliate Disclosure: Covers may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook or betting site. Best MLS bonuses
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As good as Atlanta’s home form has been, the Union are a resilient, organized side that knows how to grind out results. With a strong June following an unbeaten league record in May, Philadelphia has the look of a true contender in the East. MLS odds have the hosts pegged as narrow favorites, but you can find plus odds for all three outcomes.
Atlanta is unbeaten in its last four home games and will again lean on Georgios Giakoumakis (10 goals) to spearhead a prolific attack. But the Union won all three of their road games in May and dug deep to rally back for a 2-2 draw with Orlando City in their last away fixture. Atlanta United vs Philadelphia Union Over/Under analysis
If any two MLS teams are poised to serve up an open, attacking contest, it’s these two. Atlanta’s 38-goal tally leads the league, and Philadelphia isn’t far behind.
I’ve already picked the Over on 2.5 goals, and this past weekend was a case in point: Atlanta leaked four goals against the Red Bulls and the Union put four pas...
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Yankees vs Cardinals Predictions, Picks, Odds: First Game of Doubleheader Not Fun for Pitchers
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A doubleheader day for the St. Louis Cardinals and New York Yankees gets underway with this afternoon showdown as both teams try to spark a better second half of the season.
The Cardinals’ year has gone way off script, as they’re currently propping up the NL Central at 33-47 and enter today having lost their last two games, but they are 6-4 over their past 10 outings and the offense has continued to function.
After rain washed out last night’s contest, the Yankees will again look to build on a series win over Oakland, where the Bronx Bombers’ bats came...
A doubleheader day for the St. Louis Cardinals and New York Yankees gets underway with this afternoon showdown as both teams try to spark a better second half of the season.
The Cardinals’ year has gone way off script, as they’re currently propping up the NL Central at 33-47 and enter today having lost their last two games, but they are 6-4 over their past 10 outings and the offense has continued to function.
After rain washed out last night’s contest, the Yankees will again look to build on a series win over Oakland, where the Bronx Bombers’ bats came alive over the last two games.
Both offenses should be active in the first matchup today — find out how I'm betting it with my best free MLB picks for Yankees vs. Cardinals on July 1.
Yankees vs Cardinals odds Yankees vs Cardinals predictions
Aaron Judge’s toe injury has taken its toll on the New York Yankees line-up this month, but there were promising signs in Oakland as New York exploded for 21 runs over the last two games of that series. Giancarlo Stanton and Isiah Kiner-Falefa were among the Yankees who found their rhythm against the A’s, as both tallied five RBIs in New York’s pair of wins, and I expect those fireworks to carry over this afternoon as the visitors take on Jack Flaherty , who’s allowed six runs and 10 hits in each of his last two starts. The St. Louis Cardinals were blanked by the Astros on Thursday, they put seven runs on the board the evening prior and logged 4+ runs in seven of their last nine games before that dud.
The Over has also cashed in Flaherty’s last five home starts and with the winds blowing out today, this feels like a high-scoring matchup and I’m taking these odds for a run fest at Busch Stadium. My best bet: Over 9 (-104 at FanDuel) Yankees vs Cardinals same-game parlay Over 9 Severino Over 4.5 strikeouts Kiner-Falefa Over 0.5 hits With an unexpected rest day yesterday due to the wet weather, I see both teams coming in fresh today and delivering at the plate. Luis Severino is taking the ball for New York and his 5.25 ERA tells the story of an up-and-down season so far; he pitched six good innings against a potent Rangers lineup his last time out, but his prior four starts were rough — including him surrendering seven or more hits in three times.
That said, I see him being in attack mode today. He’s recorded six Ks in two of his past four starts, and I like his chances of repeating that here if he can get through at least five innings of work, even if he coughs up a few runs too.
I’m also throwing Kiner-Falefa into the mix too following his hot series in Oakland. While his .262 average doesn’t jump off the screen, he has three hits and five RBIs in his last two games. Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies. Not intended for use in MA. Affiliate Disclosure: Covers may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook or betting site.
Yankees vs Cardinals moneyline and Over/Under analysis
The Cardinals are the slightest of favorites based on the MLB odds, but it’s a tough one to call given both teams’ underwhelming performances this season. While the Yankees are 1-4 in their past five visits to Busch Stadium, the bats seemed to turn an important corner in two big wins in Oakland this week and there’s urgency to stay afloat in the AL East with both the Baltimore Orioles and Toron...
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Connecticut Sun vs Las Vegas Aces Prediction, Picks, and Odds: Aces Avenge Previous Loss to Sun
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Can anyone stop the Las Vegas Aces?
Dubbed “The Battle of the Super Teams,” Thursday’s game saw the Aces walk away with a 98-81 rout over the New York Liberty — now the Eastern Conference's other contender, the 12-4 Connecticut Sun, get a crack at the champs today.
The kicker? It just so happens that the 14-1 Aces only loss this season came against Connecticut back on June 8, so you know the Aces, who are currently a double-digit favorite today by WNBA odds, will be out to avenge the only blemish on their storybook season thus far.
Our free...
Can anyone stop the Las Vegas Aces?
Dubbed “The Battle of the Super Teams,” Thursday’s game saw the Aces walk away with a 98-81 rout over the New York Liberty — now the Eastern Conference's other contender, the 12-4 Connecticut Sun, get a crack at the champs today.
The kicker? It just so happens that the 14-1 Aces only loss this season came against Connecticut back on June 8, so you know the Aces, who are currently a double-digit favorite today by WNBA odds, will be out to avenge the only blemish on their storybook season thus far.
Our free WNBA picks and predictions for Sun vs. Aces think that revenge will be on the menu today, as Las Vegas is going to be too much for a Sun team missing Brionna Jones.
Sun vs Aces best odds Sun vs Aces picks and predictions
The Las Vegas Aces have been a marvel of consistency this season. It’s pretty normal for a team coming off its first championship to stumble out of the gates, either due to the weight of heightened expectations or the flaring of new dynamics as star contributors jockey to receive more spotlight. But the Aces aren’t just as good as they were last year...
...they’re way, way better.
Indeed, they’ve been historically good, as their utter domination of the equally talented (but not yet as coherent) Liberty just demonstrated. While the Aces have been known for their plethora of dominant scorers, both on the perimeter and inside, that win highlighted how it’s their defense that has the potential to carry them to previously unknown heights in WNBA lore.
With apologies to the Washington Mystics, it’s a real possibility that the Aces finish as the league's best defensive team by season's end.
What does that mean for Saturday’s matinee matchup against the Connecticut Sun? These two teams have played twice this year already, with the Aces winning narrowly once and the Sun handing the Aces their only loss of the season (a 94-77 blowout no less) in the other, but in the intervening time, the Aces have only gotten better, while the Sun have gotten worse — albeit through no fault of their own.
Connecticut is a team that stylistically presents a few problems for the Aces... at full strength . The Sun play tough and are bigger and stronger at a few key positions. They don’t shoot a lot of threes, but they get to the line and impose their style of play on opposing teams. However, that gets much harder to do with the tragic loss of Brionna Jones for the season after she tore her Achilles last week. Jones’ workmanlike game and dominating physical presence were key factors in both previous matchups vs. Las Vegas, and she was responsible for 55 combined points, rebounds, and assists across those two games. It also takes the Sun from a “Big Three” down to a “Big Two” of DeWanna Bonner and Alyssa Thomas. There’s no magic solution that can replace her production on both sides of the ball, and it gives one of A’ja Wilson or Candace Parker a potentially decisive matchup advantage in the starting lineup. While Thomas has been a Top-5 player in the league this year and Bonner already burned the Aces for 41 points earlier this season — which against most teams, is more than enough to compete (and frequently dominate) — but the Aces are the exception.
I believe the levels they’re hitting on defense at the moment will ultimately see them pull away for a comfortable win today. My best bet: A...
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LIV Golf London Picks & Odds: Can Gooch Continue Heater at Centurion Club?
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We're treated to back-to-back weeks of LIV Golf action as the tour heads to Centurion Club for its London event.
Talor Gooch has all the momentum after winning for the third time in five tries over the weekend. However, he still trails a trio of LIV stars at the top of the betting board this week.
We break down his chances and more in our full LIV Golf London betting preview below, including golf odds, free golf betting picks, and more.
Odds to win LIV Golf London Golfer
Odds to win LIV Golf London Brooks Koepka
+700 Cameron Smith
+800...
We're treated to back-to-back weeks of LIV Golf action as the tour heads to Centurion Club for its London event.
Talor Gooch has all the momentum after winning for the third time in five tries over the weekend. However, he still trails a trio of LIV stars at the top of the betting board this week.
We break down his chances and more in our full LIV Golf London betting preview below, including golf odds, free golf betting picks, and more.
Odds to win LIV Golf London Golfer
Odds to win LIV Golf London Brooks Koepka
+700 Cameron Smith
+800 Dustin Johnson
+1,000 Talor Gooch
+1,100 Bryson DeChambeau
+1,200 Patrick Reed
+1,800 Mito Pereira
+1,800 Joaquin Niemann
+1,800 Sergio Garcia
+2,200 Harold Varner III
+2,500 Jason Kokrak
+3,000 Charles Howell III
+3,000 Odds courtesy of DraftKings as of July 3, 2023. Best LIV Golf bonuses
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Talor Gooch's victory inAndalucia marked his third over the last five LIV events but oddsmakers are still giving Brooks Koepka, Cam Smith, and Dustin Johnson the edge when the field heads to London. Koepka's success at the Masters and PGA Championship is well-documented but he also finished third last week and enters the week a +700 betting favorite. Having both recorded Top-10 finishes at the recent U.S. Open, Cam and DJ round out the Top 3 at 8/1 and 10/1, respectively. Then we get to Talor Gooch, who comes to Centurion Club on a continued heater. His +1,100 odds this week would be the shortest he's seen with LIV Golf, with his three recent victories coming with closing odds of 25/1, 16/1, and 16/1. Bryson DeChambeau sits fifth on the board (+1,200) after more encouraging play last week. He finished runner-up in Andalucia after a run of quality finishes that included a T4 at Oak Hill and a T20 at the U.S. Open. Could this be the week he finally gets back into the Winner's Circle? LIV Golf London picks and predictions
Check back on Wednesday for our full LIV Golf London betting card! Covers golf betting tools LIV Golf recent winners and odds history
Let's take a look at some recent LIV Golf winners and their closing odds to win: Event
Golfer
Closing odds Andalucia (July 2023)
Talor Gooch (3)
+1,600 Washington, D.C. (May 2023)
Harold Varner III
+2,000 Tulsa (May 2023)
Dustin Johnson (2)
+1,200 Singapore (April 2023)
Talor Gooch (2)
+1,600 Adelaide (April 2023)
Talor Gooch
+2,500 Orlando (April 2023)
Brooks Koepka (2)
+4,000 Tucson (March 2023)
Danny Lee
+8,000 Mayakoba (Feb. 2023)
Charles Howell III
+4,000 Jeddah (Oct. 2022)
Brooks Koepka
+2,500 Bangkok (Oct. 2022)
Eugenio Chacarra
+15,000 Chicago (Sept. 2022)
Cameron Smith
+600 Boston (Sept. 2022)
Dustin Johnson
+600 Bedminster (July 2022)
Henrik Stenson
+6,000 Portland (July 2022)
Branden Grace
+3,500 London (June 2022)
Charl Schwartzel
+3,000 Odds courtesy ofGolfOdds. This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here
Source: https://www.covers.com/golf/liv-golf-london-odds-picks-2023
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Angels vs Padres Predictions, Picks, Odds: Ohtani Duels Snell at the Plate
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If there is someone who can produce fireworks the day before the Fourth of July, it’s Los Angeles Angels two-way star Shohei Ohtani.
Ohtani is the overwhelming favorite to win the AL MVP after a monster month of June that included him swatting 15 dingers. Now, he’ll try to carry that into the month of July when he and the Angels open a series with the uninspiring San Diego Padres.
Despite the struggles, San Diego hopes handing the ball to Blake Snell will help build some momentum before the All-Star break. And with Snell on the mound, the Padres will...
If there is someone who can produce fireworks the day before the Fourth of July, it’s Los Angeles Angels two-way star Shohei Ohtani.
Ohtani is the overwhelming favorite to win the AL MVP after a monster month of June that included him swatting 15 dingers. Now, he’ll try to carry that into the month of July when he and the Angels open a series with the uninspiring San Diego Padres.
Despite the struggles, San Diego hopes handing the ball to Blake Snell will help build some momentum before the All-Star break. And with Snell on the mound, the Padres will be big favorites tonight.
However, does that mean Ohtani Co. have value as an underdog? I have an Ohtani-themed best bet, plus a juicy same-game parlay in my MLB picks and predictions for Angels vs. Padres below.
Angels vs Padres odds Angels vs Padres predictions
Let me yell this for people in the back to hear: Shohei Ohtani is the greatest player to ever step on a baseball field and I can’t believe he doesn’t get more media attention for what he's doing this season.
As a hitter, Ohtani leads the majors in home runs, RBI, slugging, OPS, and total bases. As a pitcher, he leads the league in hits per nine innings and the AL in strikeouts per nine.
No one does that! Like, ever.
The two-way superstar is coming off a monster month of June at the plate. Ohtani hit for a ridiculous .394 batting average and a 1.444 OPS while swatting 15 dingers. He also scored 27 runs and drove in another 29 more. Basically, he's been run production personified.
As a result, Ohtani is now the overwhelming -1,400 favorite to win the AL MVP Award, and even with a red-hot Blake Snell on the mound, I don’t expect Ohtani to slow down tonight.
Snell has been dominant of late, pitching to a 0.86 ERA and striking out 14.12 batters per nine innings over his last seven starts but if there's a caveat to that, he still has an expected ERA of 4.06 this season and he has some reverse splits vs. left-handed hitters.
Snell is giving up a .246 batting average and a .777 OPS to lefties and there isn’t a lefty more elite than Ohtani. And in a small sample size, Ohtani is 2-for-3 with a double and two walks in five career at-bats vs. Snell. That’s good for a .960 expected slugging percentage.
Plus, all those strikeouts mean Snell probably doesn’t pitch more than six innings. Then he hands the ball off to a San Diego bullpen that ranks 18th in xFIP and 26th in strikeouts per nine innings.
As I said, Ohtani has been pure production, which is why I’m honing in on his hits + runs + RBI prop. It's set at a low 1.5 due to the matchup with Snell, but I think that’s just giving up some value. It’s not like Ohtani hasn’t faced elite pitchers during this incredible run.
Want one more incredible Ohtani stat? He's gone Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI in 24 of his last 31 games. My best bet: Shohei Ohtani Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs (+115 at DraftKings) Angels vs Padres same-game parlay Shohei Ohtani to record a hit (-170) Shohei Ohtani to record an RBI (+205) Blake Snell to record 7+ strikeouts (-195) Angels +1.5 (-125) Clearly, this is going to be a Shohei-inspired same-game parlay. Unfortunately, we can’t add hits + runs + RBI to a same-game parlay, so instead we start with one hit and one RBI. Ohtani has only gone hitless four times in his last 31 games and has at least one RBI in 20 of those 31 games.
We have to give Snell some lov...
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USA vs Trinidad and Tobago Picks and Predictions: Pulling Out All Stops
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The United States will face off with Trinidad and Tobago on Sunday, as both nations vie for a place in the knockout stages in the CONCACAF Gold Cup.
Sitting on four points and a +6 goal differential, the United States controls their own destiny. However, with Jamaica likely on target for three points against St Kitts and Nevis and the goal differential gap expected to be erased, the Americans know a victory is needed to ensure top spot in Group A. Meanwhile, Trinidad and Tobago know they almost certainly need a win to advance, a result they’ve achieved just once...
The United States will face off with Trinidad and Tobago on Sunday, as both nations vie for a place in the knockout stages in the CONCACAF Gold Cup.
Sitting on four points and a +6 goal differential, the United States controls their own destiny. However, with Jamaica likely on target for three points against St Kitts and Nevis and the goal differential gap expected to be erased, the Americans know a victory is needed to ensure top spot in Group A. Meanwhile, Trinidad and Tobago know they almost certainly need a win to advance, a result they’ve achieved just once in the last eight meetings between these two nations.
Will the Yanks take care of business and move into the knockouts on a high note, or can the Soca Warriors pull off a massive upset and earn their first knockout stage appearance in eight years? Find out in our USA vs Trinidad and Tobago picks and predictions for Sunday, July 2.
USA vs Trinidad and Tobago best odds USA Trinidad and Tobago -800 Moneyline +2,000 +750 Draw +750 Over 2.5 (-300) Total Under 2.5 (+240) Odds courtesy of bet365 on July 1, 2023. USA vs Trinidad and Tobago picks and predictions
To say the Americans are favored to win is an understatement. As we will dive into more later, they’re prohibitive favorites on the 3-way money line, and for good reason. The last two meetings between these nations have seen a combined 13 goals scored, all scored by the USMNT.
But simply beating Trinidad and Tobago isn’t enough for the Americans. Were this any other tournament, I’d expect USA to play somewhat defensively, get a goal or two, and get out with a win. But this is a unique situation, because winning the group means they avoid Mexico in the next round. El Tri is leading Group B and just defeated Honduras 4-0 and Haiti 3-1, and look to be rejuvenated under new manager Jaime Lozano.
In order to win the group, the Americans not only need to win, but also must maintain their superior goal differential over Jamaica. That goal differential sits at +3 entering the final round of group stage matches, and considering the USMNT put six past St Kitts and Nevis, it is unlikely Jamaica will have trouble erasing that three-goal gap very quickly.
This means two things for the Americans. One, it means manager B.J. Callaghan is going to have to roll with likely his best squad rather than rotating. But second, and more importantly, it means they’ll have to take some risks in this match. That could especially be the case if they’re up comfortably in the second half and they find out they need another goal or two to finish atop the group.
And that leads us into our best bet. We’re taking both teams to score in this match at a healthy +140 price. If this were a one-off match, I wouldn’t touch this prop bet. But at implied odds of 40.82%, I like this bet in this scenario.
Trinidad and Tobago were down 3-0 to Jamaica at halftime on Wednesday night, and found a goal just after halftime as Jamaica got a bit sloppy at the back. While they only had three shots on the night, and only the one on target, they created multiple chances in the second half.
The Americans are likely going to need to win by at least three goals, and Trinidad and Tobago must win outright if they’re to go through. This means both sides have to attack, and the odds of both finding the back of the net are much higher because of it. In a match without muc...
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Today’s MLB Prop Picks and Best Bets: Marcus Makes Us Money Against Weak Cleveland Offense
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Prop bet #1: Stro' Goes Lo'
Marcus Stroman is coming off his worst performance of the year, when he surrendered eight hits and six runs (three earned) in 3 1/3 innings last Sunday. Despite that ugly outing, Stroman still is third in the majors this year with a 2.47 ERA, while also boasting a 1.08 WHIP and a .203 OBA in 14 starts.
Today, Stroman and the Chicago Cubs are hosting the Cleveland Guardians, who are one of the worst-hitting teams in baseball: Cleveland is 27th with 3.98 runs per game and ranks 26th in OPS (.688).
Stroman is a...
Prop bet #1: Stro' Goes Lo'
Marcus Stroman is coming off his worst performance of the year, when he surrendered eight hits and six runs (three earned) in 3 1/3 innings last Sunday. Despite that ugly outing, Stroman still is third in the majors this year with a 2.47 ERA, while also boasting a 1.08 WHIP and a .203 OBA in 14 starts.
Today, Stroman and the Chicago Cubs are hosting the Cleveland Guardians, who are one of the worst-hitting teams in baseball: Cleveland is 27th with 3.98 runs per game and ranks 26th in OPS (.688).
Stroman is a ground-ball pitcher that ranks in the 94th percentile when it comes to barrel rate (3.5%). That's ideal for a matchup against a Guardians lineup that is dead-last in the majors in both fly-ball rate (22.5%) and barrel rate (4.5%).
The O/U for Stroman's earned runs today is set at 2.5, a number he has gone below in 11 of 14 starts this year. Marcus Stroman prop : Under 2.5 earned runs (-135) Prop bet #2: Mookie makes hay
Mookie Betts has anchored the Dodgers lineup this season and ranks seventh in the majors with 168 total bases. The five-time Silver Slugger winner has been on fire lately and is slashing .317/.398/.673 over the last 30 days.
The Royals will try to cool Betts off today as they send Daniel Lynch to the mound. Lynch had an ugly 5.13 ERA with a 1.57 WHIP in 27 starts last year but has fared better this season. That said, while he has lowered his ERA to 3.96 across six starts, his expected ERA still sits at 4.49 and his expected slugging percentage (.450) is in the bottom 25th percentile. Kansas City also has a brutal bullpen behind him, with their relievers ranking second-last in the majors with a 5.00 ERA and posting a 1.48 WHIP.
Betts mashes against southpaws like Lynch, slugging .609 versus left-handed pitchers last year and upping that number to .671 this season. He also has a history of dominating at Kauffman Stadium, boasting a .740 slugging percentage with nine doubles and eight homers in 23 career games at this venue. Mookie Betts prop : Over 1.5 total bases (-115) Prop bet #3: K's for O
Bailey Ober and the Minnesota Twins are facing off against the Baltimore Orioles at Camden Yards today, and while the O's don't strike out that much (11th in the majors in strikeout rate), they are just 23rd in the majors in chase rate.
The towering Ober has tremendous extension, excellent control, and ranks in the Top 10 percent of all pitchers in chase rate. He put together a solid sophomore season with the Twins last year and has been even better this season, pitching to a 2.97 ERA with a 1.02 WHIP and 66 strikeouts through 69 2/3 innings.
The O/U for Ober's strikeouts total today is set at 4.5 and with the Over available at plus money it seems a bit mispriced: He is coming off an eight-strikeout performance against the Tigers and has fanned at least six batters in eight of his last 11 starts.
With most models projecting Ober to rack up slightly more than 5.5 strikeouts, don't hesitate to play the Over at 4.5. Bailey Ober prop : Over 4.5 strikeouts (+105)
Source: https://www.covers.com/mlb/prop-bet-picks-july-1-2023
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Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, Picks, and Odds: Don't Let Lynx Go at Square Odds
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The Minnesota Lynx might be the hottest team in the WNBA, yet they are underdogs on the road against the worst team in the league, the Phoenix Mercury. But part of the Mercury’s dive for the bottom of the standings was driven by the absences of star veterans Diana Taurasi and Brittney Griner. With both back in the lineup, is Phoenix good enough to deserve that favorite’s status in the WNBA odds?
Here are our free WNBA picks and predictions for Lynx vs Mercury on July 1.
Lynx vs Mercury best odds Lynx vs Mercury picks and predictions
When Diana...
The Minnesota Lynx might be the hottest team in the WNBA, yet they are underdogs on the road against the worst team in the league, the Phoenix Mercury. But part of the Mercury’s dive for the bottom of the standings was driven by the absences of star veterans Diana Taurasi and Brittney Griner. With both back in the lineup, is Phoenix good enough to deserve that favorite’s status in the WNBA odds?
Here are our free WNBA picks and predictions for Lynx vs Mercury on July 1.
Lynx vs Mercury best odds Lynx vs Mercury picks and predictions
When Diana TaurasiandBrittney Griner missed three games in the middle of June, it looked like the Phoenix Mercury might be embarking on an all-out tank campaign this season. Without them, along with guard Skylar Diggins-Smith sidelined thus far into the year and perhaps for its entirety, the Mercury roster lacks much star power. No offense to Sophie Cunningham, Michaela Onyenwere, or Moriah Jefferson, but there is not another career All-Star appearance on the Phoenix roster when Taurasi, Griner, and Diggins-Smith are not active.
Unsurprisingly, those three games resulted in three losses for the Mercury, both straight-up and against the spread. Losing those games outright was hardly a surprise — Phoenix was at least an 11.5-point underdog in each game, facing three of the league’s top-four teams — but losing to each inflated spread, as well, spoke to how bad the Mercury was without the pair of star veterans.
Their returns have helped, but only somewhat. Phoenix proceeded to lose its next two games, again both straight-up and against the spread. The games featured far closer pregame spreads against far more beatable foes, before routing Indiana on Thursday.
The Mercury are better with Taurasi and Griner, obviously, but could it be that Phoenix is just bad both with and without them?
Facing the red-hot Minnesota Lynx may not offer a genuine answer. Minnesota began the season 0-5 before rattling off six wins in its last 10 games. For gambling concerns, the Lynx began the year 0-4 ATS before going 8-3 ATS since. This team has figured it out and figured it out quickly, with most of “it” being “give the ball to Napheesa Collier.”
Collier has averaged 25.3 points and 8.6 rebounds in her last 10 games, including hitting a game-winning overtime jumper on Thursday. For a bit, her player props were clear and readily available value, but now her points prop is up to 23.5, and her rebounds prop is set at 9.5, though juiced to the Under. Evaluating those on a game-by-game basis has become a tricky endeavor.
Trusting the Lynx, however, may not be that tricky. With an exploding star leading them against a team that is just bad, no matter who is in the lineup, the Lynx offer value tonight as an underdog. Minnesota has been red hot, while the only success Phoenix has enjoyed in nearly a month has come against the young Fever. My best bet: Lynx moneyline (+105 at DraftKings) Not intended for use in MA. Affiliate Disclosure: Covers may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook or betting site. Best WNBA bonuses
If you're signing up for a new sportsbook for the WNBA, here are two of the best bonuses* available:
A) New users at FanDuel can get a no-sweat first bet up to $1,000! Sign Up Now B) New users at DraftKings can bet $5 and get $150 in bonus bets! Sign Up Now *Eligible USA locations on...
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