Schaftlein Report | Budget Debate in Washington
Schaftlein Report | Budget Debate in Washington
Guest - Bill Federer William J. Federer
1) Short term spending bill or long term? Military or discretionary spending.
This is the debate on government funding bill. We'll dive into it.
1A) Biden wants to prioritize spending for Ukraine and Covid along with the Defense Authorization.
2) "Flat out lie" - Oil companies claim Biden is lying saying domestic oil production is discouraged in the U.S.
citing 125 actions taken to reduce domestic production
3) The economy grew at a revised rate of 2.9% in Q-3 up from a 2.6% initial figure.
The forecast for Q-4 is 1%
4) McConnell casts doubt on Trump after diner with White Nationalist
5) Crypto "death spiral" continues as another firm called Bitfront closes.
Numerous crypto firms paid high interest rates on crypto deposits that had no backing other than fictional coins they created and leveraged up and borrowed on.
A Classic Ponzi Scheme unraveling.
6) Something called a "non-binary who worked in the Biden Administration charged with stealing luggage in an airport.
This is INSANE. Male/Female - no, Heterosexual/Homosexual - no.
The insanity of identity politics
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Schaftlein Report | China Unrest Continues - Where is the Off Ramp?
Schaftlein Report | China Unrest Continues - Where is the Off Ramp?
Guest - Joe Visconti
1) Walker and Warnock tied in latest polling in Georgia Senate Race
2) Virginia Congressman Don McEachin has died leaving the House at 222-212. A new election will take place in 2023 to determine
a new member. Appointments are not allowed.
2A) 5 Republicans are holding out against McCarthy for now but will likely work out a resolution so the Republican Party is united.
3) Glen Youngkin for President in 2024 - We'll discuss as his tenure as Governor of Virginia is going very well.
3A) Frank Cannon a chief strategist at Pro life America says he is great on virtually every issue however his stance on Abortion needs to change.
We'll explain the fallacy in that type of thinking and how it needs to change if we want to win a national election.
4) Republican National Committee is undertaking an election review headed by Haley Barbour a veteran GOP strategist.
We are up against Big tech, media and early voting among many issues - We'll add our voice to the debate
5) The White House walks back Biden gun comments. Are we surprised? No
6) Musk to release Twitter suppression on Hunter Biden laptop
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Schaftlein Report | Guns and Politics Meet Again
Schaftlein Report | Guns and Politics Meet Again
1) Following mass shootings, Biden want to ban semi - automatic weapons.
The Senate says "No"
1A) In a typical holiday weekend, 28 shot and 5 fatally in Chicago.
2) Warnock out raising Walker 3-1 in GA run off. Holds small lead as voting starts. Who will turn out?
3) DeKalb county, GA homeowner kills one and wounds three as criminals tried to rob the owner. No charges filed. GOOD
4) Trump 2024 - Republicans yawn as it generates little excitement and plenty of potential challengers line up
4A) Ca Gov. Newsome says he has ruled out 2024 run. (We'll see?)
4B) Final House numbers 222-213 Republican. McCarthy still projected to be Speaker despite far right grumblings and current no votes
5) Biden approval at 42-56 post election.
5A) Biden to allow Chevron to drill oil off Venezuela cost to bring to America. Huh/ What about U.S. drilling?
6) Diesel prices are up 50% this year on tight supplies. This effects ships, trucks, trains and tractors leading to higher inflation and rising prices.
Democrats are to blame.
7) The global warming effect - We have a 56 year high on snow covered ground in North America and a forecast of a cold winter.
8) BlockFi files for bankruptcy s fallout continues from FTX Ponzi scheme
9) Federal Reserve Governor Williams says further tightening needed to cool inflation. Recession fears and China protests cause stocks to fall
10) College Football poll and play-off projection:
- Georgia
- Michigan
- TCU
- USC
- Ohio State
- Alabama
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Schaftlein Report | McCarthy demands DHS Secretary Mayorkis Resign
Schaftlein Report | McCarthy demands DHS Secretary Mayorkis Resign
1) Incoming Speaker Kevin McCarthy has demanded action to secure our southern border demanding DHS Secretary Mayorkis resign
for misrepresenting to congress the security status at the border. We agree 100%!
If he does not resign, he will be Impeached by the new congress
2) Biden Administration extends student loan payments until 6-30-23 using covid as an excuse while the Supreme Court decides the
case on an emergency request. This is a blatant abuse of unauthorized power the President does not have.
2A) Biden had previously promised to end the deferment on 12-31-22. This is terrible policy and an act of socialism giving relief not approved by congress.
3) Kevin Kiley (R) wins a U.S. House seat in CA pushing Republicans to a 221-213 majority. I seat is left to be determined.
4) Supreme Court rules Trump must turn over his tax returns to House committees.
5) CBS news now confirms the Hunter Laptop is real 2 years after the fact. The cover up stinks.
6) 6 killed in Walmart mass shooting in Virginia. Gunman kills himself.
7) In the FTX fraud case, there are substantial assets stolen or missing
8) Musk finds closets full of "stay woke" shirts at Twitter
9) Violent protests take place at Chinese factory that produces I-phones over wages. Workers beaten as covid lock down policies continue.
10) Jobless claims hit 240K, highest level since August.
11) Travel safe and Happy Thanksgiving!
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Schaftlein Report | Republicans win another House seat
Schaftlein Report | Republicans win another House seat
Guest - Jeffrey Dunetz
1) David Valado (R) wins CA-22 and the Republicans now have a 220-213 advantage.
1A) Two races remain uncalled and the Republican is way ahead in one race and extremely close in the other.
The final total will either be 221-214 or 222-213 Republican control.
2) Warnock leads Walker 51-47 in AARP poll.
88% of black voters going to Warnock. 61% of 18-49 year olds and 54% of Independents for Warnock.
Voters over 49 heavily favor Walker.
3) Oregon governor pardons 45K marijuana convictions.
4) Emerson poll shows Biden at 39% approval and 53% disapproval.
5) Jeffrey explains what a Woke Thanksgiving is.
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Schaftlein Report | Boebert win give Republicans 219 seats. 3 Races uncalled
Schaftlein Report | Boebert win give Republicans 219 seats. 3 Races uncalled
1) Adam Frisch concedes to Lauren Boebert giving Republicans a 219-213 advantage in the House.
Three seats still undecided in CA. Republicans lead in two of them.
1A) Lisa Murkowsky takes the lead in Alaska Rank Choice Voting scheme likely headed to win.
2) McCarthy vows to remove Eric Swalwell, Adam Schiff and Ilhan Omar from House committees.
3) Biden turned 80 this past weekend.
3A) Trump welcomed back on Twitter by Musk. Pompeo says "GOP tired of losing" referring to Trump's contribution toward the losses.
3B) Tubberville is the only Senator to currently endorse Trump
3C) Like it or not, Republicans vow to embrace early voting and some form of ballot harvesting to compete.
3D) Majority of Hispanic voters want tougher border enforcement
4) In Economic news, 60% of Americans are living paycheck to paycheck.
4A) Workers expect top receive a 4.6% pay increase in 2023
4B) Soaring diesel prices which are $1.61 over gasoline are causing food prices to go up.
5) Biden administration asks the Supreme Court to intervene in his illegal scheme to cancel student debt without authorization from congress.
6) FTX owes creditors $8B. Democrats under pressure to return money for creditors.
7) Mass shooting kills 5 in Colorado
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Schaftlein Report | How Big will the Republican House margin be?
Guest - Drew Allen
1) Republicans are currently leading in 4 uncalled races. 3 are in CA and the Lauren Boebert race in Colorado
1A) 218 Seats secured. Likely final number is 221 or 222 which would be a 7 or 9 seat advantage.
B) Pelosi announcement
2) GA Democrats sue to overturn State election law that no voting within 2 days of a holiday.
Passed in 2016 with Bi-partisan support.
3) Pompeo - "We need a leader who doesn't claim victim hood"
3A) Trump announcement scaring off nobody?
4) Karen Bass wins LA Mayor race - We'll break down the numbers
5) Title 42 ends at the border. Likely flood of illegals to continue.
5A) Lindsay Graham - "No immigration deal until border is secure"...We've heard this before?
6) Same sex marriage bill passes filibuster and likely to codify the law. No real change here as nothing is new.
7) No trace of student killer in Idaho or the weapon.
8) FTX Bankruptcy "Complete failure of corporate controls" new CEO who oversaw Enron.
In my opinion, this will be worse than Enron.
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Schaftlein Report | Republicans Just 1 Win away from House Victory
Schaftlein Report | Republicans Just 1 Win away from House Victory
Guest - Joe Visconti
1) 217 - 205 with 13 races not called. Democrats lead in 9 and Republicans in 4.
1A) Republicans meet today to to elect speaker designate. Kevin McCarthy against Andy Biggs
1B) Republicans need to figure out Mail in Voting. Florida they did. Elsewhere no so much.
2) Katie Hobbs defeats Kari Lake 50.4 to 49.6. Hobbs refused to debate.
3) Trump to make announcement tonight. He is upside down by 36 points among Independents.
Joe and Mark discuss pros and cons
4) LA Mayors race, Karen Bass leads Rick Caruso by 52-48 or 29K votes. He spent $100M.
She campaigned on abortion even though it is not a local issue in LA or CA.
She was a crime victim of burglary earlier this year and rarely discussed crime or homelessness.
What does this tell us?
5) Biden at 42% Approval post election
6) Core Producer Price Index smaller than expected as a possible indication of cooling inflation. It is still at 8%.
7) Biden Administration forces out Radical Border Commissioner Chris Mangus. Scapegoat.
8) Russian missile strikes hit residential buildings in Ukraine cities
9) Iran Parliament votes to execute 15K protesters
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Schaftlein Report | Trump Announces 3rd Run at Presidency
Schaftlein Report | Trump Announces 3rd Run at Presidency
Guest - Jeffrey Dunetz
1) 61% of Republicans say he should run
1A) 47% support him, 33% support DeSantis
1B) VP Pence - "There will be better choices", National Review Editorial Board - "NO"
2) McConnell claims he will win today's Senate Leadership vote. We support him.
3) DeSantis receives standing ovation at Republican Governors meeting in Orlando.
3A) He leads Trump by 7-8 points in Iowa, New Hampshire, FL and GA.
4) Republicans achieve 218 in House as CA-3 district winner Kevin Kiley declared. Media and AP not yet calling the race.
5) Gov. Abbott expands migrant busing to Philadelphia
6) Administration claims large amount of student loans will default. So what? They tried to forgive them illegally.
7) FTX collapse appears to show $1B in client funds missing. Will the Democratic party return $25M donated to creditors?
8) Missile as NOT launched from Russia.
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Schaftlein Report | Democrats take Control of the Senate
Schaftlein Report | Democrats take Control of the Senate
1) No Incumbent Senators lost. Republicans outspent $68M to $35M in PA and $30M to $10M in AZ.
1A) Inflation was top issue by 31%, Abortion next at 27%, but top issue for Democrats by 66%.
1B) Republicans gained significantly with Latinos losing by 21 but that is a fain from 2018 where they were -40.
Working class latinos broke toward Republicans
1C) 67% of voters do NOT want Biden to run in 2024
1D) Trump WAS a HUGE negative for Republicans and looks pathetic attacking DeSantis and Youngkin.
1E) Democrats won voters under the age of 30 by 28 points, under 45 by 13 points but lost over 45 by 10 points.
1F) Then8% of undecided voters broke toward Democrats. Independents were about even and that is a problem for Republicans.
1G) Even though Republicans got 5M more votes, redistricting worked in Democrats favor.
2) The House is currently Projected to go Republican by 219-216 but races are still very tight and could go either way.
For McCarthy to win Speaker post, he will have to deal with the Freedom coalition of very conservative members.
3) Republican Governors in NH, TX, GA and FL post huge wins by good governing.
4) The 2020 and 2022 Democratic coalition came through. college educated women were huge for Democrats.
5) Western states Arizona, CA and Nevada need to improve the speed of vote counting. Otherwise, the elections appears to be clean.
This is important for election integrity.
6) A federal judge in Texas halts Biden Student Loan forgiveness plan.
7) 4 students killed in Idaho and 3 Virginia football players killed by former player.
7A) 27 shot and 5 fatally in Chicago.
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Schaftlein Report | Democrats Rejoice - Loss of Congress still Probable
Schaftlein Report | Democrats Rejoice - Loss of Congress still Probable
Guest - Jeffrey Dunetz
1) McCarthy in line to become speaker if Republicans hold on in the house. Current projection is 220-215.
2) Run off in Georgia. Walker got 200,000 less votes than Brian Kemp
2A) Arizona and Nevada Laxalt up 15K with 84% counted . Delayed Counting is insane and wrong.
3) Democrats captured Single women vote by 30 points with single women saying 68% cast their vote on abortion and won the demographic age of 18-39.
Republicans carried Married men and Women.
3A) Independents voted Democrats 49-47. Both parties voted 96-4
4) Democrats felt Abortion was the main issue 76%, Inflation 28%.
5) Biden says he plans to run in 2024 and will make decision early in 2023.
6) Republicans won 50M votes 52.3% versus Democrats 44M 46.2% a 6.1% gap. The Generic ballot was 2.5%.
6A) The losses were very close in Democratic districts. Not nearly as many seats flipped as predicted. Current gain is 9 which would be a 219-216 House.
6B) Democrats put money into races they needed to defend.
6C) Democrats won state legislatures in Michigan, Minnesota and Pennsylvania
6D) Finally goodbye Beto and Stacey
7) CPI comes in at 7.7% less than expected and the stock market is soaring. Core inflation was .3% in October.
Medical Services, used cars, apparel and energy services lead the decline
8) Crypto firm FTX on verge of bankruptcy. Potential malfeasance
9) Russians announce withdrawal from Kherson, Ukraine
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Schaftlein Report | Republican Disappointment excluding Florida.U.S. House likely to Flip
Schaftlein Report | Republican Disappointment excluding Florida.U.S. House likely to Flip
Guest - Joe Visconti
1) Governor Ron DeSantis +19 and Senator Marco Rubio +17 have huge wins in Florida.
Dade and Palm Beach counties flip to Republican. $73M spent on Demings to lose hugely
2) Young voters propelled Fetterman in PA by 3 points in a total disaster for Republicans.
3) GA likely goes to run off as expected. Warnock has small lead.
3A) Nevada results not likely known until Saturday. Extremely close with 120K ballots outstanding.
Laxalt leads by 23K with 80% counted. Potential only Senate incumbent to lose and best hope for Republican flip.
4) Republicans likely to flip House in much closer races with projections of 220-215. A +10 pick up. 218 Needed for control.
4A) Senate appears to show 49 - 49 Tie with run off in GA and the Nevada race in the balance.
5) Longshot states WA Murray +14, NH Hassan +10, Bennett +12 were fools gold - All blowouts
6) Johnson wins by 1% (27K votes) in Wisconsin.
7) Arizona is too close to call however likely to stay Democrat as Kelly leads
8) Vance wins big in red Ohio +7. Budd holds North Carolina by 3.
9) Kemp wins big in GA +9 as Abrams burns $105M and Abbott wins in TX +9. Arizona Governor race too close to call at Lake needs to make up 10K votes.
9A) Hocul wins by 5 in NY as Zeldon outperformed. House seats flip in NY.
9B) Mastriano crushed in Pennsylvania Governors race.
10) Early voting crushed Republicans.
11) Inflation and Abortion WERE the top issues.
12) This was a Disastrous night for Trump Republicans
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Schaftlein Report | Republicans poised for Big Election Day Wins
Schaftlein Report | Republicans poised for Big Election Day Wins
Guest - Drew Allen
1) Joe Biden is at 39% approval in the Reuters - Ipsos poll on Election Day.
Mainstream Media polls have him in the low to mid 40's
1A) In the CNN summary poll of 5 accredited firms, the Biden approval sits at 40% and 54% disapprove. We believe this is accurate.
1B) The final Generic Ballot has the GOP +2. This is very good news!
2) Prognostications:
1A) Larry Sabato Crystal Ball Senate 51-49 House +24 237-198. Walker and Oz win.
1B) WSJ expects Republicans to pick up 17% of Black vote and north of 45% of Hispanic vote. In 2018
those numbers were 6% and 33%
1C) Real Clear Politics says Republicans +3 in Senate and +31 in House and +2 Governors
2) Johnson extends lead in Wisconsin to 6 points. Is Laxalt really up 5-6 in Nevada?
3) Arizona is tied and New Hampshire and Washington state are within are within 2 points
4) Oz picking up momentum in PA. is it enough to overtake the early Democratic vote lead?
5) Walker surges in Georgia. Can he hit 50% to win on election night or is a run off coming in December?
6) Budd in North Carolina and Vance in Ohio are poised to win by greater than 4 points each.
7) As we have been saying for a year, Inflation, Economy, Gas Prices, Crime and the Open Border ARE the Key issues.
7A) Democrats widely misread the electorate on Abortion, False Democracy Claims, Climate and Voting Rights
8) Schaftlein Report - Our projection is we will report on tomorrow's show that Republicans have won 50 Senate seats with Races in Pennsylvania, Arizona and Georgia still to be decided.
Republicans will flip 21 House seats.
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Schaftlein Report | Election Preview
Schaftlein Report | Election Preview
1) 40M Early Votes - Enthusiasm gap tightens as many races too close to call.
1A) say the county is going in the wrong direction and 77% want significant changes.
1B) RCP predicts GOP picks up 3 senate seats and 31 House seats.
1C) Fox News projects 49-47 Senate with 4 undecided and 23 House seat pick up.
1D) Cook Political Report projects 18 House seats and 538 says 15 seats
2) Biden Approval at 40%. Washington Post creates Bottomless Pinocchio's for Biden's endless lies on Social security, Inflation and gas prices.
2A) The Generic Ballot edge average goes to Republicans by 2 points.
2B) How will Black, Latino and Suburban voters go. Will the shift be as large as predicted?
3) Legendary coach Vince Dooley endorsed Herschel Walker prior to his passing last week. Walker surging but can he get 50%.
Trafaler has him +2
4) Arizona and Pennsylvania races are tied in polling. Will GOP lead in Nevada hold? New Hampshire is so close.
4A) Vance up big in Ohio by 8-10
5) NY Governor race Lee Zeldon surges. Can he win?
6) Biden says he will close down coal mines.Senator Manchin is furious and calls him out. White House walks back the comment.
7) Biden has not yet call Netanyahu to congratulate him on Israeli win.
8) Crime report - 9 shot and wounded outside Philadelphia bar.
9) Major changes coming to border if GOP takes both chambers. Voters are furious.
From Keystone, Afghanistan, Inflation, gas prices, economy, education, crime and border, Americans are fed up.
10) Tom Cotton passes on 2024 run.
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Schaftlein Report | Polls show Red Wave building
Schaftlein Report | Polls show Red Wave building
Guest - Jeffrey Dunetz
1) Biden delivers unhinged desperate speech which will accomplish nothing.
He heads to Blue New Mexico, CA and Illinois to campaign. Odd strategy?
1A) Hillary Clinton delivers "Basket of Deplorable speech 2" "The consequences of voting Republican"
These aging liberal losers will come back to haunt Democrats.
2) General Don Buldoc dodged attack by an individual prior to debate in which he won easily. The suspect was arrested. Buldoc now +1
3) Oz now up by 1 in PA, Bennett only up by 2 in Colorado. If Republicans win Colorado, it will be a tsunami for the Red team!
3A) Johnson up +2 in Wisconsin
4) In a very odd twist, the White House took CREDIT for the increase in Social security benefit payments. Biden even bragged about it.
The problem is the increase is tied to Inflation so the Tweet was deleted.
5) Only 17 % of Voters are happy with the direction of the country.
6) In Economic news, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates 75 basis points an said rates would be higher for longer and signaled
another 50 basis point rise in December is expected.
7) Musk said to be laying off half of Twitter work force of about 3,500 people.
8) The Israeli election - Jeffrey to provide a deep dive update as it can be confusing. Bibi wins as right wing coalition forms.
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Schaftlein Report | Democrats Campaign Based on ALL LIES
Schaftlein Report | Democrats Campaign Based on ALL LIES
Guest - Tom Amenta
1. Biden now LYING about Social Security and Medicare in an effort to scare senior voters.
Claims his son died in Iraq. He is NOT mentally competent top be President.
1A. His approval is at 37% in Quinipiac Poll. Republicans are +4 in Generic Ballot
2. PA court rules undated ballots will not be accepted. Finally common sense to election laws.
2A. Oz and Fetterman tied in Senate Race 47% each.
3. General Buldoc now leads in NH by 1.
4. Mike Lee up by 19 in Utah and Democratic plan to deceive voters with an Independent McMullen ready to fail.
5. Laxalt up by 5 over Cortez Mastro in Nevada Emerson College Poll.
Super high gas prices are crushing voters over $5.50 per gallon.
6. GA Sheriffs across the state furious at Abrams for claiming they only want to arrest black men.
7. In Michigan, Tudor Dixon is tied with Gretchen Whitmer for Governor.
8. In Minnesota, Jim Schultz leads Keith Ellison by 7 in Attorney General race.
9. Netanyahu appears to have been reelected in Israel for a third time.
10. North Korea fires 23 missiles into the sea.
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Schaftlein Report | One week until election Day. 21M already Voted
Schaftlein Report | One week until election Day. 21M already Voted
Guest - Drew Allen
1) Arizona Senate race takes a turn as Libertarian drops out and endorses Masters. He was polling at 1%
Jim McLaughlin Republican pollster has Kelly +2. Kari Lake up by 10 in governors race. Hispanic voters shift to GOP is the key.
2) Georgia - Scott Rasmussen pollster has Walker +5. The RCP average is Walker +2. Run off likely. Walker outspent 4-1.
3) Nevada - Pollster Trafalger has Laxalt up by 4. Average is Laxalt +1
4) NYT Governor race - Lee Zeldon takes the lead by 1 point over Kathy Hochul according to Trafalger Poll of Likely Voters
5) Republican ENTHUSIASM is +10. Generic ballot is Republicans +2
6) Republican attacks on Democratic crime wave have been devastating to Democrats
6A) 82% of Black Democrats are concerned about crime. Only 33% of White Democrats rate crime a major problem.
6B) Mass shooting in Chicago leaves 14 injured in Halloween incident.
7) Only 1 in 3 voters support Biden energy policies
8) Musk limits censorship tools for employee access
9) Roberts temporarily blocks access to Trump tax returns.
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Mark Schaftlein | Senate Races tighten as 7 are within the margin of error.
1) CBS projects +25 House Seats giving Republicans control.
Real Clear Politics predicts +31
1A) The Economy/Inflation is the top issue.
1B) Independents have broken toward Republicans by 18 points over the past two weeks to lead 49-33.
Two weeks ago, Democrats were +2
1C) Generic Ballot at Republican +3
2) Democrats desperately try to push Fetterman over the finish line. Democrats lied to the voters of PA by not
disclosing his health issues fully.
3) Patty Murray only up by 1 in Washington state - Trafalger poll. Bolduc and Hassan tied in New Hampshire
4) Musk starts enforcing cuts at Twitter as leftists rage. Musk fires entire BOD of leftists.
5) Heating Oil prices skyrocket tin the Northeast. Will voters swing to GOP?
Diesel shortage in mid Atlantic region coming.
6) Personal Consumption Expenditure Index stays high at 6.2%. This is a key gage viewed by the Federal Reserve.
7) Biden's senile side shows again claiming there are 54 states. Democrats keep him on the sideline bringing out Obama.
8) 35 shot and 5 killed in Chicago over the weekend.
9) Russian missile strikes hit critical infrastructure in Ukraine. Russians block grain supplies.
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Schaftlein Report | Democratic Party Problems Persist
Schaftlein Report | Democratic Party Problems Persist
Guest - Jeffrey Dunetz
1) Kelly and Masters are tied in Arizona.
Kelly - "Arizonians are sick of Biden Border Policies" He is the Democrat.
2) Even Democrats and their Media are criticizing Fetterman as not qualified to be in the Senate.
3) Budd up by 4 over Beasley in NC
4) Walker now up by 2-5 points in GA according to Trafalger/Rasmussen
4A) Kemp up by 10
5) 21% of Black voters support Republicans. Trump won 12%. Hispanics support at 40%, Trump won 32%
5A) Democrats embrace Transgenderism, support criminals instead of victims, no answer of Inflation.
They are the party of division and hate. Example - The State Department spent money on 13 drag shows in Ecuador. Enough already!
6) Democratic policies on Abortion, gun control and climate are not popular with the electorate .
7) Crime - Gunman hijacks a bus in NYC and crashes then gets arrested. Portland man slashes tires on 65 cars - anarchy.
8) Economy grew 2.6% in Q3 but recession fears are persistent
9) NJ Democrat Bob Menendez under criminal investigation - again
10) Musk takes over Twitter tomorrow. Maybe the cesspool will be cleaned up
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Schaftlein Report | Republicans Gaining in Polls
Schaftlein Report | Republicans Gaining in Polls
Guest - Andrew Crapuchettes
1) Cook Political Report has Republicans winning 25 House seats
1A) Virginia Political Science Professor Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball gives Republicans clear edge in House
1B) Generic Ballot at Republican +2.4%
2) Biden approval rating at 39% in Reuters Poll. Democrats generally keeping him off the campaign trail.
3) 2 Suspects arrested in savage attack on Rubio volunteers in horrific political attack. Victim in hospital.
4) Senate race shows Rubio up 10 points over Demings
4A) Fetterman has a disgraceful debate performance showing he in not qualified to be a senator. Flip flops on fracking issues.
Medically unfit.
4B) In a shocking development, Tiffany Smiley is gaining on Patty Murray in Washington. She still trails by 4-5 points.
5) DeSantis cruising in Florida up 14 points
5A) Zeldon puts in exceptional debate in NY Governor racee. Crime is top issue.
6) Inflation and the Economy dominate the issues nationwide and tha favors Republicans.
7) Red Balloon update on employers and employees
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Schaftlein Report | Republicans favored but Democrats lead in Early Voting
Schaftlein Report | Republicans favored but Democrats lead in Early Voting
1) Inflation, Crime and Border/Immigration issues are working for Republicans
2) Generic Ballot has Republicans +3.4
2A) Real Clear Politics projects Republicans win 29 House seats and 3 Senate seats
2B) PA tied at 46%, one poll has Oz +4
2C) Laxalt up 1% in Nevada, Hassan up by 2 on Bolduc in New Hampshire - McConnell pulls funding?
Vance +4 in Ohio, Johnson +3 in Wisconsin, Murray lead falls to 3 in Washington.
2D) Abrams losing badly in GA Governor race down 7-10 points. Campaign manager paid $Millions from non profit she set up.
3) Biden approval at 39% as Independents and some Democrats flee
4) Majority of Americans blame the crime spike on "Woke Policies of Democrats"
4A) Largest ever drop in Math scores attributed to same issue
5) Appellate Court temporarily stops Biden's Illegal Student Loan Forgiveness scheme. 22M have applied so far.
Biden claims congress passed it by 1 or 2 votes? He is lost.
6) Russia launches massive missile attacks on Ukraine causing major power outages while the 101st Airborne Division is in Europe on the border of Ukraine
7) 50 shot in Chicago over the weekend.
#election #republicans #politics
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Schaftlein Report | Inflation Cost Americans $445 More per Month to Live
Schaftlein Report | Inflation Cost Americans $445 More per Month to Live
Guest - Jeffrey Dunetz
1) Wide split on Biden energy policies showing the following disapproval:
Republicans - 72%
Independents - 54%
Democrats - 15% Classic Definition of LOW INFORMATION VOTERS
The Strategic Petroleum Reserve is at a 40 year low thanks to Biden poor policies.
biden asks energy companies to produce more oil and slash prices. This is REVERSE Economic theory.
2) Housing delivers a mixed report:
Home Sales declined 24% year over year, However the Average selling price rose 8% to $385K.
1.25M homes are for sale which is a 3.2 month supply. A balanced market is a 6 month supp;ly.
3 year fixed rate mortgages are now 7.22%
3) Election notes:
Generic Ballot GOP +6 and Biden Approval at 39%
Pennsylvania tried to accept mail in ballots without dates.
OZ pounds Fetterman on crime
Cook Political Report moves Florida Senate race from Lean Republican to Likely Republican as Rubio strengthens his lead
Washington Senate race moved from Solid Democratic to Likely Democrat as Murray lead shrinks
4) Supreme Court asked to BLOCK Biden Illegal Student Debt Relief program.
5) BLUE CITY DISASTER NEWS:
A.Washington D.C. city counsel votes 12-1 to allow Illegal Immigrants to vote in local elections. This will not pass congress as opposition grows
from both parties but it illustrates the insanity of leftists.
B. Large numbers of police officers resign in St Louis a crime rate soars
C. San Francisco spends $1.7M to build a public toilet. The city blamed inflation.
D. Black Americans are being crushed by Democratic crime and no bail policies.
20% of population in NY and 72% of crime victims
13% nationwide and 50% of crime victims.
1% of streets produce 25% of crime in NYC
5% of streets produce 50% of crime in NYC
Similar story in other blue cities like Chicago and Memphis.
This is a social break down on massive proportions
6: Foreign Affairs:
6A) British Prime Minister Liz Truss resigns after just 6 weeks at the helm. Her policies were rejected by financial markets.
6B) China - Are they moving to take Taiwan sooner under Xi?
6C) How long will Putin remain while deaths climb past 65K? They lost $15K in Afghanistan.
#election #politics #republicans
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Schaftlein Report | Republicans Continue Gaining in Polls
Guest - Heather Shouse
1) Election Polls:
Hocul (D) lead narrows to 4 over Zeldon (R) in NY Governor race - Quinnipiac poll
Fetterman (D) lead over OZ (R) narrows to 2 in PA Senate Race - AARP poll
Kelly (D) lead over Masters (R) narrows to 1 point in AZ Senate Race - Trafalger poll
Lake (R) extends lead to +3 in AZ Governor Race - Trafalger poll
2) Biden approval holds steady at 40% and he does not go out on the campaign trail. Why would anyone want him near them.
2A) CNN commentator Gloria Borger - "Biden does NOT want the election to be about inflation and the economy. Sorry, he is losing that argument.
3) Republicans are trusted more in the key issues of Inflation, Economy, Crime and Border.
3A) Abortion falls to 5th as only 1 in 10 make it a priority and the split is 40-37 Democrats - Republicans meaning they are essentially canceling each
other out.
4) Biden advocates full term abortions. Is his base that insecure where he has to pander to the far left wing?
5) Rubio has stellar debate performance over Demings in FL Senate battle. He currently leads by 4.
6) Democratic Senator Warner acknowledges the $1.9T rescue plan was too large contributing to inflation.
Unemployment had fallen from 15% to 6%. Inflation was running at 1.4% and we were well on the way to recovery.
Democrats ruined that with terrible economic policies.
7) Americans are increasing credit card use as they run out of money to buy basic necessities. This is a bad omen.
7A) Federal Reserve signals another 75 basis point hike as persistent inflation grips America
8) Republicans are pounding Democrats as soft on crime and the message is working
#Republicans #election #politics
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Schaftlein Report | Biden / Democrats Lie and Deflect on Border, Crime and Inflation.
Guest - Drew Allen
1) Democrats are LOSING and Lying on ALL of the Key Issues
1A) Biden to release an additional 10-15M barrels of oil and sell 40M barrels beyond the 180M already authorized in an effort
to stop the rise in gas prices before the election. Typical political move rather than solving the real problem.
2) Democrats feel they may have "Peaked too early" in Congressional races. We agree and we'll explain further.
2A) Democrats are pouring money into a Rhode Island House race held by Democrats since 1991. When you are on the
defensive, you are losing.
2B) Biden appeals to his base by promising legislation on abortion and rolling our student loan forgiveness web page.
Legal challenges remain.
3) High profile Minnesota Attorney General Keith Ellison is in a tie with his Republican challenger Tim Schultz.
4) Senate Polling:
Vance +2 in Ohio
Budd +6 in North Carolina as his lead expands
Grassley only up +3 in Iowa as race is closer than expected
Johnson +3 in Wisconsin and the lead appears to be growing
Warnock and Walker appear headed to run off as no one is above 50% due to Libertarian candidate drawing 3-4% support
5) Black candidates and NAACP claim Republican adds about crime are racist. They are trying to distract on the central issue of crime and Americans are
not buying what they are selling. All Americans are concerned about crime and the weak Democratic policies that got us here. Sen. Tubberville laughs off criticism.
5A) Police attacked in Philadelphia
5B) White House asked El Paso mayor NOT to declare State of Emergency over Border invasion.
6) Grassley - "FBI is aware of Biden Crime Family activity". What will happen? Our guess is nothing.
7) Russia hits Ukraine power stations with drones from Iran and levels civilian homes in escalation of war.
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Schaftlein Report | GOP Takes the Edge as Election Approaches
1) Generic Ballot Likely Voters 48-41 Rasmussen. Up from +4 at last polling.
CBS Republicans +2, however 48-43 min competitive races.
Harris Poll Republican +6
Trafalger Republican +5
New York Times Republicans +4
1A) CNN poll who do you trust to get the country moving in the right direction - Republicans 54-45%.
Extremely motivated to vote Republicans52-46
59% say the economy is extremely important
56% say Inflation is extremely important
1B) CBS says Republicans poised to increase turn out and take the House. Democrats only hope is younger voters turning out.
Current projection is 224 - 211 Republican edge in House
1C) Real Clear Politics projects 26 seat pick up in House
2) Fetterman +2 in PA, Kelly +4 in AZ, Warnock +1 in GA, Vance +3.5 in Ohio, Johnson +6 in Wisconsin, Laxalt +2 in Nevada
3) Nike founder Phil Knight to support Republican candidate for Governor in Oregon Betsy Johnson as he says Oregon has gone the wrong way.
4) Biden says the economy is "Strong as Hell". WHAT?
Only 26% want him to run for re-election.
Jill Biden booed mercilessly at Philadelphia Eagles/Dallas cowboys football game
4A) Inflation and higher mortgage rates are pushing away first time home buyers. Grocery prices for food up 13% year over year.
5) Democrats have spent $2T on the economy and it has failed to work. They will not discuss this on the campaign trail.
6) Open door policies at the border lead to having 76% of migrants in shelters for homeless.
7) Crime Report:
SF woke policies turn the city into an open drug market.
Serial killer of 5 caught in Stockton, CA
36 Shot in Chicago, innocent victims killed
Orlando Jewelry store owner kills 2 of 4 robbers who tried to rob him. EXCELLENT!! Too bad he didn't go 4 for 4.
8) Suicide drones and missiles strike key Ukrainian cities.
9) Tennessee defeats Alabama 52-49 in great College Football game in Knoxville
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