Yield PRO TV Rate Desk April 27, 2020
Rate Desk Notes April 27 edition
• Indices up
• Crude oil $12.59
• UST yields up .65 bp
• 223(f) 2.64%
• 221(d)(4) 3.29%
• Fannie 3.20%
• Freddie 3.50%
• Apartment searches up
• 28% will use virtual tours
• Robust virtual tour platform
• Co-working spaces expand
• 82% hope to work from home 1 day a week after stay-at-home orders are lifted
• Robot package deliveries: STARSHIP
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Yield PRO TV Rate Desk April 23, 2020
Rate Desk notes April 23, 2020
• Stocks: 2nd day gains
• Crude $17/barrel
• UST yields flat .61-.62 bp
• 223(f) 2.65%
• 221(d)(4) 3.30%
• Fannie 3.21%
• Freddie 3.50
• Offshore investors buy $1.05 billion MF portfolio in West
• $1.6 trillion MF mortgage debt outstanding Q4 2019
• MF owners focus on vacancy and collection
• Work with tenants to keep rents current
PRO take aways:
• Weekly reporting
• Stay in touch
• Stress reduction
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Yield PRO TV Rate Desk April 21, 2020
Rate Desk April 21 edition
• All three major indices down
• Crude oil back up to $9.69
• UST .58 bp
• 223(f) 2.62%
• 221(d)(4) 3.27%
• Fannie 3.40%
• Freddie 3.50%
• Millennial household formation down
• Renting isn’t a bad thing—flexibility, zero maintenance
• Market downturns present greatest opportunities
• Tom Bozzuto has serious concerns about May 1 rent collections
• Charline Munger knows: no one knows—May rents?
• Permanent rates are low and lenders are still lending
PRO TAKE AWAYS:
• Renting isn’t a bad thing
• The past is prologue
• Good time to start looking for deals
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Yield PRO TV Rate Desk April 22, 2020
Rate Desk Notes: April 22, 2020
• Three major indices are up
• Crude oil rallies up to $14 a barrel
• UST .62 bp
• 223(f) 2.65%
• 221(d)(4) 3.30%
• Fannie 3.25%
• Freddie 3.50%
• Fannie/Freddie to buy qualified SFR loans in forbearance
• Must close May 31
• Cash-out REFIs not eligible
• Investors buying taxable GNMA (HUD/FHA loans)
• De-urbanization
• Suburban MF growth
• Walkability of amenities
• C19 changing things
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Yield PRO TV Rate Desk April 20, 2020
April 20 edition
• S&P and Dow down, Nasdaq up
• UPDATE! US oil futures plunged below zero
• UST .634 bp
• 223(f) 2.65%
• 221(d)(4) 3.30%
• Q4 weighted average still under 1%
• Extended low long-term fixed rates
• Fannie 3.40%
• Freddie 3.50%
Network marketing:
• Future of MF?
• Webinars the new norm
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Yield PRO TV Rate Desk April 16, 2020
April 16 edition:
• S&P and Dow down, NASDAQ up
• UST .602
• 223(f) 2.65%
• 221(d)(4) 3.30%
• Fannie 3.17%
• Freddie 3.50%
• Municipal bonds:
o Permanent debt instruments
o Revenue bonds paid back by revenue
o Publicly rated by rating agencies
o AA-rated 1.93%
o BBB-rated corporate bonds 3.43%
o HUD FHA credit enhancement program
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Yield PRO TV Rate Desk April 17, 2020
Michael Thomas interviews John Hinder, senior director of the nation’s largest GSE multifamily lender, Walker & Dunlop. Hinder discusses the financing landscape for borrowers in these exceptional times.
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Yield PRO TV Rate Desk April 15, 2020
Rate Desk April 15 edition:
• Markets down from yesterday
• UST .643 bp
• 223(f) 2.55-2.72%
• 221(d)(4) 3.20-3.37%
• Fannie 3.21%
• Freddie 3.50%
• Forbearance:
o 30 days with two 30 day extensions (90 days total)
o No evictions or late fees till July 25
o Lender and borrower look to other finance options first
o Tap replacement for reserve account
o HUD field staff encouraged to liberally approve requests
o Secondary financing (cash surplus notes)
o MBA forbearance agreement approved for use by HUD
• CARES Act providing $1 billion for Section 8 housing
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Yield PRO TV Rate Desk April 14, 2020
Rate desk April 14 edition:
• All markets are up
• UST .736 bp
• 223(f) 2.55%
• 221(d)(4) 3.20%
• Fannie 3.25%
• Freddie 3.50%
• M.TEB 3.59%
• TEL 3.05%
• HUD affordable housing segmented LIHTC into two categories: new and existing
• New LIHTC:
o HUD escrow review
o 6 - 9 months of debt-service
o Modification available for cash-flow needs
• Existing LIHTC:
o 12-month DS reserve
o Modified with stress test supporting 50% economic vacancy
o DSCR of 1.15x
• Section 8 PBRA:
o 90% or more
o Will not be required to post a DSCR escrow
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Yield PRO TV Rate Desk April 10, 2020
April 10 edition
• Markets up double digits
• UST ended .72 bp
• Closed for Good Friday
• 223(f) 2.60-2.65
• 221(d)(4) 3.30-3.60
• Fannie 3.32%
• Freddie 3.40%
• HUD San Fran office issues Q&A on construction/rehab loans
• Stay-at-home order health/safety priority
• No tenant relocations
• No unit rehabs
• Keep paper trail
• $100 billion for AAAs and CLOs
• Static CLOs only = AAA rated bonds, outstanding CMBS, newly issued CLOs
• 3 year terms
• 1.77% floating rate
• LIBOR leaves in 2021
• Rate: 30-day average SOFR + 150 bps
• 85% loan-to-collateral-value
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Yield PRO TV Rate Desk April 13, 2020
April 13 edition
• Markets down on OPEC deal
• UST .731 bp
• 223(f) 2.76
• 221(d)(4) 3.41
• Fannie 3.32
• Freddie 3.50
• HUD issued guidance
• HUD open for business
• Sourcing new construction and refinance debt through mortgage insurance programs
• 9 months of PNI and MIP set aside
• Fund reserve with cash-out
• Huge opportunity with current market
PRO takeaways:
• Keep your powder dry
• Cash is king
• Follow the money
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Yield PRO TV Rate Desk April 9, 2020
April 9 edition
• Fed: $2.3 trillion loans for midsize businesses, US cities and states
• UST range bound .72-.74 bp
• Fed includes CMBS AAA securities in TALF
• FHA rates
• 223(f) flat 2.60-2.65
• 221(d)(4) 3.30-3.60
• GSE's narrowing average of 10 bp
• Fannie 3.32%
• Freddie 3.40%
• FHA & GSE bids good for 2 minutes
• Commercial MBS 48% of all MF debt ($728 billion)
PRO take away
• Good time to borrow or refinance
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Yield PRO TV Rate Desk April 7, 2020
April 7 edition notes:
• DJIA up 22,789
• V-shaped recovery possible
• Stocks on track for 2-day win
• US Treasury opened at .77
• FHA 223(f) tightened 2.57%
• FHA 221(d)(4) still 3.30%
• Fannie 3.36%
• Freddie 3.44%
• Freddie requires fully amortizing DS Reserve
• 6-9 months regardless of due diligence
• Certain cases allow for 12 months and 18 months for specialty (like student housing)
• FNMA on typical Tier 2 75-80% LTV, 1.25 DSCR for 12 months of P&I
• Consider spread between cap rates and 10yr UST Yields
• Average cap rate (5.75) - .72 = 5.03 spread
• Investors choose MF real estate over risk-free gov’t bonds
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Yield PRO TV Rate Desk April 8, 2020
April 8 edition
• DJIA up—23K
• UST .74 bp
• Congress to add $250 billion to PPP SBA program
• FHA rates- 223(f) 2.59%
• 221(d)(4) 3.60%
• GSE’s flat today, reaching normal
• Fannie 3.36%
• Freddie 3.44%
• Document financial hardship due to COVID-19
• Track move-outs: Why are they moving?
• Leasing through virtual online tours and application completion
• Boon to suburban MF development following this?
• Saw prior movement due to saturation in urban core
• De-urbanization? Millennials with kids?
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Yield PRO TV Rate Desk April 6, 2020
April 6 edition notes:
• Stocks were up and erased last week’s declines
• 10 year US treasury at 68 bp
• HUD/FHA 223(f) acquisition and refinancing rates at 2.60%
• HUD/FHA 221(d)(4) New construction and sub rehab rates: 3.30%
• Fannie at 3.42%
• Freddie at 3.50%
• Life companies sidelined
• Large banks busy with PPP loans; cash requests slow
• Non-recourse CMBS/CLO on the sidelines
• Debt/equity funds still in
• 2-3 Year Term, 1M (1.25 Floor) LIBOR + 3.50-4.25 = Rates of 4.75% to 5.50%
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Yield PRO TV Rate Desk April 3, 2020
News and information that makes rental housing businesses profitable. Multifamily update for April 3, 2020.
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Yield PRO TV Rate Desk April 2, 2020
April 2, 2020 edition of Yield PRO TV Rate Desk with Michael Thomas
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