Myth #1: Deficits Are the Cause of Inflation; Deficits Have Nothing to Do With Inflation
Recorded by the Mises Institute in the mid-1980s, The Mises Report provided radio commentary from leading non-interventionists, economists, and political scientists. In this program, we present another part of "Ten Great Economic Myths". This material was prepared by Murray N. Rothbard.
In recent decades we always have had federal deficits. The invariable response of the party out of power, whichever it may be, is to denounce those deficits as being the cause of our chronic inflation. And the invariable response of whatever party is in power has been to claim that deficits have nothing to do with inflation. Both opposing statements are myths.
Deficits mean that the federal government is spending more than it is taking in in taxes. Those deficits can be financed in two ways. If they are financed by selling Treasury bonds to the public, then the deficits are not inflationary. No new money is created; people and institutions simply draw down their bank deposits to pay for the bonds, and the Treasury spends that money. Money has simply been transferred from the public to the Treasury, and then the money is spent on other members of the public.
On the other hand, the deficit may be financed by selling bonds to the banking system. If that occurs, the banks create new money by creating new bank deposits and using them to buy the bonds. The new money, in the form of bank deposits, is then spent by the Treasury, and thereby enters permanently into the spending stream of the economy, raising prices and causing inflation. By a complex process, the Federal Reserve enables the banks to create the new money by generating bank reserves of one-tenth that amount. Thus, if banks are to buy $100 billion of new bonds to finance the deficit, the Fed buys approximately $10 billion of old treasury bonds. This purchase increases bank reserves by $10 billion, allowing the banks to pyramid the creation of new bank deposits or money by ten times that amount. In short, the government and the banking system it controls in effect "print" new money to pay for the federal deficit.
Thus, deficits are inflationary to the extent that they are financed by the banking system; they are not inflationary to the extent they are underwritten by the public.
Some policymakers point to the 1982–83 period, when deficits were accelerating and inflation was abating, as a statistical "proof" that deficits and inflation have no relation to each other. This is no proof at all. General price changes are determined by two factors: the supply of, and the demand for, money. During 1982–83 the Fed created new money at a very high rate, approximately at 15 percent per annum. Much of this went to finance the expanding deficit. But on the other hand, the severe depression of those two years increased the demand for money (i.e., lowered the desire to spend money on goods), in response to the severe business losses. This temporarily compensating increase in the demand for money does not make deficits any the less inflationary. In fact, as recovery proceeds, spending will pick up and the demand for money will fall, and the spending of the new money will accelerate inflation.
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Lies, Damned Lies, and Government Statistics
On this episode of Radio Rothbard, Ryan McMaken and Tho Bishop discuss the role statistics play in promoting the regime. Topics include some interesting differences in recently reported unemployment data, changes to inflation reporting over time, government withholding of various reports — including crime and money supply measures — as well as alternative measures Austrians use to better cut through state propaganda.
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Recommended Reading
"Yet Another Month of Questionable Federal Jobs Data as 310,000 Fewer People Report Having Jobs" by Ryan McMaken: https://Mises.org/RR_137_A
"The "True" Money Supply: A Measure of the Supply of the Medium of Exchange in the U.S. Economy" by Joseph Salerno: https://Mises.org/RR_137_B
"Does GDP Present an Accurate Picture of the Economy? Not Likely" by Frank Shostak: https://Mises.org/RR_137_C
"World War I as Fulfillment: Power and the Intellectuals" by Murray Rothbard: https://Mises.org/RR_137_D
Be sure to follow Radio Rothbard at https://Mises.org/RadioRothbard.
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The Fed Is Insolvent, and That's a Bad Thing
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Be sure to follow the Fed Watch Podcast at https://Mises.org/FedPod.
Recommended Reading
"The Fed’s Capital Goes Negative" by Alex J. Pollock: https://Mises.org/FW_01_A
"Who Owns Federal Reserve Losses and How Will They Impact Monetary Policy?" by Alex J. Pollock and Paul H. Kupiec: https://Mises.org/FW_01_B
"Why the Fed Is Bankrupt and Why That Means More Inflation" by Ryan McMaken: https://Mises.org/FW_01_C
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Ryan and Zack look at how China, Iran, and Saudi Arabia are reshaping the Middle East into a region where the United States no longer dominates. This is a good thing for ordinary Americans.
Additional Resources
"Thanks to Sanctions, the US Is Losing Its Grip on the Middle East" by Ryan McMaken: https://Mises.org/WES_11_A
"The Petrodollar-Saudi Axis Is Why Washington Hates Iran" by Gary Richied: https://Mises.org/WES_11_B
"Peace is Breaking Out in the Middle East… and Washington is Not Happy!" by Ron Paul: https://Mises.org/WES_11_C
"Why the End of the Petrodollar Spells Trouble for the US Regime" by Ryan McMaken: https://Mises.org/WES_11_D
"Washington Miffed as China Makes Peace" by Joseph Solis-Mullen: https://Mises.org/WES_11_E
Be sure to follow War, Economy, and State at https://Mises.org/WES
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Energy Prices | Mark Thornton
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"Crude Oil Prices: West Texas Intermediate (WTI) - Cushing, Oklahoma" graph available at https://Mises.org/MI_23_Graph
Be sure to follow Minor Issues at https://Mises.org/MinorIssues
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Do People Value Money Because They Need It to Pay Taxes?
Per Bylund joins Bob to discuss his new paper at the QJAE, which points out several flaws in the MMT claim that money is valued in order to pay taxes.
Per's QJAE article: https://Mises.org/HAP398a
Find free books, daily articles, podcasts, lecture series, and everything about the Austrian School of Economics, at https://Mises.org​​.
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00:00 Introduction
00:27 Per Bylund vs. Stephanie Kelton
04:04 Reasoning Behind Dollar Value from Taxes
08:55 How Currency Has Purchasing Power
13:05 More Faults in Purchasing Power from Taxes Logic
20:10 Commodity Money and Government Money
25:12 MMT's Backwards Logic Around Money Creation
35:40 Gresham's Law and Legal Tender Laws
41:15 Historical Objections
46:42 What MMT Actually Does
55:42 The Inherent Violence of the Current System
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A Rothbardian History of the United States
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357
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1
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Fear-Mongering Over the Debt Ceiling
Heritage Fellow Peter St. Onge joins Bob to set the record straight on several popular talking points about the debt ceiling.
Bob on selling Gov't resources to reduce the National Debt: https://Mises.org/HAP397a
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00:00 Introduction
00:28 Current State of Affairs in Washington
02:30 Government Accounting Trickery
05:08 Debt Ceiling and Defaulting on the Debt
10:32 Holding the Population Hostage
14:07 Constitutional Right to More Gov't Debt
21:51 The Missing Connection between Spending & Borrowing
33:55 Practical ways of Reducing the Debt
38:12 Ethics of Defaulting on the Debt
43:12 Hard Truth of Gov't Default
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The Regime's Lies Over the Debt Ceiling
On this episode of Radio Rothbard, Ryan McMaken and Tho Bishop tackle the debt ceiling debate. As negotiations continue in Washington, the corporate financial press is hard at work warning about the potential for disaster. Ryan and Tho cut through the nonsense to look at the real state of America's finances, potential ramifications in the short term, and US defaults of the past and the inevitable future.
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Recommended Reading
"Three Lies They're Telling You about the Debt Ceiling" by Ryan McMaken: https://Mises.org/RR_135_A
"Yes, the US Government Has Defaulted Before" by Ryan McMaken: https://Mises.org/RR_135_B
Be sure to follow Radio Rothbard at https://Mises.org/RadioRothbard.
54
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Dividing the Housing Market | Mark Thornton
In this week's episode, Mark explains why the market for existing homes has been diverging from the market for new houses. The Fed ZIRP, QE, and Covid bailouts have locked Americans into their mortgages and low payments, reducing the supply of existing homes. This keeps them off the market and home prices high in an economy that is headed for a recession or crisis. Buyers have been diverted to newly constructed homes where builders have more flexibility to sell and there are no existing homeowners locked into mortgages.
Be sure to follow Minor Issues at https://Mises.org/MinorIssues
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New Radio Rothbard mugs are now available at the Mises Store. Get yours at https://Mises.org/RothMug
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Recommended Reading
"Durham proves that Hillary and the FBI tried to rig the 2016 election" by Jim Bovard (New York Post): https://Mises.org/RR_134_A
"Democrats attack FBI whistleblowers — giving cover to the agency’s abuses" by Jim Bovard (New York Post): https://Mises.org/RR_134_A2
"The FBI Vetoed the 2016 Presidential Election" by Jim Bovard: https://Mises.org/RR_134_B
"End the FBI" by Ryan McMaken: https://Mises.org/RR_134_C
"Yes, the FBI is America’s secret police" by Jim Bovard (The Hill): https://Mises.org/RR_134_D
"The FBI’s Forgotten Criminal Record" by Jim Bovard: https://Mises.org/RR_134_E
"Why the Worst Get on Top" by F. A. Hayek: https://Mises.org/RR_134_F
Be sure to follow Radio Rothbard at https://Mises.org/RadioRothbard
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Remembering the Contributions of Lucas and Alchian
Bob originally invited Brian Albrecht (Chief Economist of the International Center for Law & Economics) to discuss the work of Armen Alchian, but on the day of recording, Robert Lucas happened to die.
Bob and Brian discuss rational expectations, real business cycle theory, and how Alchian cracked the military's top secrets.
Brian on Alchian's famous "Costs and Outputs" paper: https://Mises.org/HAP396a
Find free books, daily articles, podcasts, lecture series, and everything about the Austrian School of Economics, at https://Mises.org​​.
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00:00 Introduction
02:09 Different Schools of Economic Thought
06:22 Real Business Cycle Theory
17:42 Who is Arman Alchian
22:29 Alchian on Price Theory
32:24 Theory of the Firm
45:58 Alchian Stock Market H-Bomb Theory
55:06 Should Austrians read Alchian?
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From Rothbard to Tucker: Regime Conservatives Purge Dissent
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New Radio Rothbard mugs are now available at the Mises Store. Get yours at https://Mises.org/RothMug
For more on the history of the conservative movement, get your copy of Betrayal of the American Right by Murray Rothbard. Receive 20% off with coupon code RothPod at the Mises Store.
Also available as an audiobook.
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Recommended Reading
"Murray Rothbard, RIP" by William F. Buckley Jr.: https://Mises.org/RR_132_A
"Frank Meyer's Fusionism and the Search for Consensus Among Conservatives" by Paul Gottfried: https://Mises.org/RR_132_B
"NotCon 3 Video: The Failure of Fusionism" https://Mises.org/RR_132_C
"Why Fox Fired Tucker: BlackRock, Replacement Theory, and the ADL" by Michael Rectenwald https://Mises.org/RR_132_D
"Buckley Revealed" by Murray Rothbard https://Mises.org/RR_132_E
Be sure to follow Radio Rothbard at https://Mises.org/RadioRothbard.
295
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What the Leaked Pentagon Docs Tell Us about the Ukraine War
Ryan and Zack talk about some of the details from the recently leaked Pentagon documents. They reveal dysfunctional American foreign policy and just how much contempt the US regime has for its own allies.
Additional Resources
"What the leaked Pentagon documents reveal — 8 key takeaways" by Paul Adams, Jean Mackenzie, and Antoinette Radford (BBC News): https://Mises.org/WES_10_A
"Fact Sheet on U.S. Security Assistance to Ukraine" (U.S. Department of Defense, 19 April 2023): https://Mises.org/WES_10_B
"U.S. doubts Ukraine counteroffensive will yield big gains, leaked document says" by Alex Horton, John Hudson, Isabelle Khurshudyan, and Samuel Oakford (Washington Post): https://Mises.org/WES_10_C
"Arbitrary Use of Power: Punishing Those Who Expose Not-So-Secret Government Secrets" by Bill Anderson: https://Mises.org/WES_10_D
Be sure to follow War, Economy, and State at https://Mises.org/WES
47
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The Great Reset and the Grand Refusal | Michael Rectenwald
From the Mises Institute's recent event in Birmingham, Alabama dedicated to the global threat of "The Great Reset". Recorded on April 22, 2023.
In recent years, Americans have suffered from the horrors of covid tyranny, government-directed corporate censorship, and now our current banking crisis. The global elite have never been more obvious in their intentions for the greater control over society. Their aim is further consolidation of power and wealth into the hands of radical ideologues and to transform almost every aspect of human society.
They are not subtle in their ambition. They call it The Great Reset.
Find free books, daily articles, podcasts, lecture series, and everything about the Austrian School of Economics, at https://Mises.org​​.
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Podcasts â–º https://mises.org/library/audio-video/
364
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4
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Investing in Gold | Mark Thornton
Mark discusses something bigger than the Disney layoffs: the Wall Street Journal's April 25 frontpage article on investing in gold. It would seem that the recent rise of the price of gold is the result of tired, dumb, and disillusioned crypto currency investors throwing in the towel to "chase shiny new object—gold." Mark explains that the rational reasons for investing in gold loom larger than the entire Magic Kingdom!
Be sure to follow Minor Issues at https://Mises.org/MinorIssues.
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Here's What Mounting Corporate Layoffs Tell Us about the Economy
Ryan McMaken and Dr. Mark Thornton cover the state of the dollar as global reserve currency, and why employers are laying off more and more of their highest paid workers.
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59
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Alabama vs. The Great Reset
Featuring Will Blakely, Bryan Dawson, Allen Mendenhall, and Michael Rectenwald. Recorded in Birmingham, Alabama on April 22, 2023.
From the Mises Institute's recent event in Birmingham, Alabama dedicated to the global threat of "The Great Reset".
In recent years, Americans have suffered from the horrors of covid tyranny, government-directed corporate censorship, and now our current banking crisis. The global elite have never been more obvious in their intentions for the greater control over society. Their aim is further consolidation of power and wealth into the hands of radical ideologues and to transform almost every aspect of human society.
They are not subtle in their ambition. They call it The Great Reset.
Find free books, daily articles, podcasts, lecture series, and everything about the Austrian School of Economics, at https://Mises.org​​.
Twitter â–º https://twitter.com/mises/
Facebook â–º https://www.facebook.com/mises.institute/
Instagram â–º https://www.instagram.com/misesinstitute/
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Rumble â–º https://rumble.com/c/c-2212754
Odysee â–º https://odysee.com/@mises/
Podcasts â–º https://mises.org/library/audio-video/
00:00 Introduction
00:44 What is the "Great Reset"?
10:41 Defininng "Woke"
13:43 Does DEI (Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion) Work?
18:32 Resisting the Great Reset
47
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Eye on Apple | Mark Thornton
Mark looks at the price of Apple stock—one of the best performing stocks over the last quarter century, and one of the largest holdings in stock indexes, mutual funds, and Berkshire Hathaway portfolio. Market watchers have kept a keen eye on Apple as it heads for a new all-time high; but, Mark is concerned that a downturn would have a huge ripple effect on the overall market—possibly equivalent to a tsunami.
Be sure to follow Minor Issues at https://Mises.org/MinorIssues.
24
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Will AI Steal Our Jobs (or End Us)?
Professor Per Bylund joins Bob to debunk the worries over AI and to question whether the latest version of chatbots should even be called "intelligent."
Per on Robots Taking your Jobs: https://Mises.org/HAP392a
Find free books, daily articles, podcasts, lecture series, and everything about the Austrian School of Economics, at https://Mises.org​​.
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00:00 Introduction
00:38 Different Types of AI
05:35 How AIs Work
15:18 Actual Machine Intelligence
19:13 Does ChatGPT Pass the Turing Test?
24:32 AI Replacing Human Labor
36:36 The Human Aspect of Labor
41
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How Government Schools Use Bad History to Promote the State
On this episode of Radio Rothbard, Ryan McMaken and Tho Bishop look at common American history myths baked into government school curricula. While Republican governors have begun to prioritize removing "critical race theory" and other forms of modern "leftwing indoctrination" from textbooks, there are a number of historical episodes left unchallenged that all lead to a deification of state power and a celebration of progressive politics.
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Recommended Reading
"The Meat Packing Myth" by Murray Rothbard: https://Mises.org/RR_130_A
"Krugman's Hoover History" by Robert Murphy: https://Mises.org/RR_130_B
"Why the 1787 Constitution Did Not Bring Republican Government to America" https://Mises.org/RR_130_C
The Progressive Era by Murray Rothbard https://Mises.org/RR_130_D
Be sure to follow Radio Rothbard at https://Mises.org/RadioRothbard.
46
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Wars Cost More Than You Think
Ryan and Zack talk about how wars are not nearly as cheap or economically harmless as many Americans seem to think. Rather, taxpayers must give up enormous amounts of resources to fund wars halfway across the globe that have little to do with actual defense. Americans are still paying interest on the trillions spent on Washington's many lost wars of recent decades.
Additional Resources
"On Paying for the Costs of War and War Loans" by Ludwig von Mises (1918): https://Mises.org/WES_09_A
"The Cross of Iron" by Dwight D. Eisenhower (1953): https://Mises.org/WES_09_B
"Fact Sheet on U.S. Security Assistance to Ukraine" (U.S. Department of Defense, 4 April 2023): https://Mises.org/WES_09_C
"How the Fed Is Enabling Congress's Trillion-Dollar Deficits" by Ryan McMaken (2021): https://Mises.org/WES_09_D
"War and the Money Machine: Concealing the Costs of War beneath the Veil of Inflation" by Joseph T. Salerno (2021): https://Mises.org/WES_09_E
"As the Pentagon Fails Another Audit, Congress Wants to Spend Even More on 'Defense'" by Ryan McMaken (2022): https://Mises.org/WES_09_F
"Russia and Ukraine named as Europe’s most corrupt countries" by William Nattrass (3 February 2023): https://Mises.org/WES_09_G
Be sure to follow War, Economy, and State at https://Mises.org/WES
40
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Things Are Going Down | Mark Thornton
Mark takes a look at the good news on price inflation and why it is better than reported, but probably short-lived. Other statistics are worsening and, amazingly, even landlords are starting to feel the pain!
Be sure to follow Minor Issues at https://Mises.org/MinorIssues
37
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The FBI's New Target: Catholic Churches
On this episode of Radio Rothbard, Ryan McMaken and Tho Bishop discuss recent reveals about new lows for the FBI. Ryan discusses new reports about the targeting of traditional Catholic churches and the history of the American Stasi, while Tho highlights new evidence about the role of federal agents in escalating January 6.
Recommended Reading
"The FBI’s Forgotten Criminal Record" by Jim Bovard: https://Mises.org/RR_129_A
"Abolish the FBI" by Ryan McMaken: https://Mises.org/RR_129_B
Be sure to follow Radio Rothbard at https://Mises.org/RadioRothbard
25
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