Harry Enten: The Dem Party Has the Same Appeal to Voters as the Rebrand of the Cracker Barrel ... Bad, Bad, Bad

Dean: “CNN chief data analyst Harry Enten runs the numbers on why things are looking bleak in the search for new Democratic voters.”
ENTEN: “Hey, Jessica. Happy Sunday. Look, the Democratic brand right now has about the appeal with the American voter as the Cracker Barrel rebrand has with the American consumers. Bad, bad, bad. What are you doing? Oh, my goodness gracious. What are we talking about here in terms of big party registration changes in the key swing states? Let‘s look at the key four swing states that, in fact, do keep track of registration by party. Look, the Republican Party is in their best position at this point in the cycle since at least 2005. And all four of these key battleground states, we go out to the southwest, Arizona, how about Nevada? Republicans haven‘t done this well since 2005 — oh, my goodness gracious — at this point a cycle. North Carolina I couldn‘t find a point at which Republicans were doing better at this point in the cycle. It‘s at least this century. It probably goes way back in the last century. And Pennsylvania, very similar. Republicans doing better at this point than at any point, at any point this century, at least as far as I could find. Now, what types of gains are we talking about here for the Republican Party? Well, let‘s compare it to this point during the first Trump Administration, all the way back in 2017. Look at this. The Republican Party gains and party registration compared to this point back in 2017 during the Trump first administration, in Arizona, you got a Republican gain of three points. Okay, how about Nevada? Up the hill we go, even though we‘re sticking in the southwest, a gain of six points. How about, again, we come to the East Coast. North Carolina a gain of eight points for the Republicans. And in the Keystone state, in the commonwealth of Pennsylvania, again, we‘re talking about a gain of eight points — my goodness gracious — for Republicans. They are converting old former Democrats to their side of the ledger, as well as picking up new voters, registering new voters, and it absolutely paid off for them back in the 2024 election. Now, of course, Donald Trump has been president since January. Are there any bright spots for Democrats? Have they picked up any ground since January 1 in terms of party registration? Uh-uh, not in these key swing states, these four key swing states. What are we talking about? Party registration margin gains since January 1, 2025, which parties gain in Arizona? The GOP. How about Nevada? The GOP. North Carolina? The GOP. How about in Pennsylvania? We‘ll make it four for four. The GOP. The bottom line is this, Jessica Dean: When it comes to party registration, Republicans have made massive gains compared to eight years ago. They are in their best position in these key four swing states, dating back at least 20 years. You have to go back at least 20 years, at least in the case of Nevada, longer in North Carolina and Pennsylvania. So Republicans looking pretty gosh darn good, at least when it comes to party registration. And we‘ll see what happens down the road, but at this point, as I said at the beginning, the Democratic brand is about as good a position as the Cracker Barrel rebrand. It is bad, bad, bad for the Democrats. Back to you.”