Mexico vs Panama Picks and Predictions: Favorites In Control
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A new champion will be crowned in the CONCACAF Gold Cup final when Mexico hosts Panama at SoFi Stadium on Sunday.
Mexico hopes to win their ninth crown, moving them two ahead of the United States for the most in the tournament’s history, and their fourth Gold Cup triumph in the last eight competitions. Meanwhile, Panama have reached the final twice before and have failed to score a goal, much less hoist the trophy, and they will be hoping to reverse those fortunes after their upset over the US.
Does Panama have enough firepower to get past El Tri, or...
A new champion will be crowned in the CONCACAF Gold Cup final when Mexico hosts Panama at SoFi Stadium on Sunday.
Mexico hopes to win their ninth crown, moving them two ahead of the United States for the most in the tournament’s history, and their fourth Gold Cup triumph in the last eight competitions. Meanwhile, Panama have reached the final twice before and have failed to score a goal, much less hoist the trophy, and they will be hoping to reverse those fortunes after their upset over the US.
Does Panama have enough firepower to get past El Tri, or will manager Jaime Lozano lead the Mexican side to silverware in his first tournament in charge? We discuss that and more in our Mexico vs Panama betting picks and predictions for the Gold Cup final, Sunday, July 16.
Mexico vs Panama best odds Mexico Panama -163 Moneyline +550 +240 Draw +240 Over 2.5 (+130) Total Under 2.5 (-167) Odds courtesy of bet365 on July 14, 2023. Mexico vs Panama picks and predictions
It’s surprising how much difference a few weeks can make in the game of soccer. This time last month, Mexico was in turmoil. They’d just suffered a CONCACAF Nations League semifinal defeat to the United States, a 3-0 performance in which they were embarrassed and completely lost their composure. The result cost manager Diego Cocca his job once the tournament ended, despite them winning the third-place match.
Enter Lozano. With the national team in shambles and the fan base seeing red, he’s taken Mexico to the Gold Cup final despite missing the majority of his “A” squad. And not only has he set them up to win matches, he’s done so in impressive fashion. Their 3-0 win over Jamaica in the semifinal was a comprehensive win in which they looked the dominant side from the opening whistle.
Their opponents haven’t looked dominant in any of their matches, but what they have been is organized. Panama hasn’t conceded a goal in regulation through their two knockout stage matches, as it took the United States 105 minutes to break through for an equalizer in the semifinal. And of the five goals they’ve allowed, four of them have come in the final minute of regulation or later. In other words, unless teams are desperately throwing numbers into the box, Panama have been able to hold teams at bay.
That said, the United States had plenty of opportunities to score in the semis and wasted them. While they only had one or two high-quality chances, a better finish would’ve seen them through. With how they’re playing in this tournament, Mexico won’t waste those chances. That’s why I like them to win the match — but not at the price that requires.
Neither team is conceding a whole lot at the back, and Panama is likely to set up to try to eke out a narrow win like they did against the United States. That’s why I love the Under 2.5 — but again, not at the current price.
With sports betting, sometimes you get a match where you simply can’t find anything of value on its own, and have to get a bit creative to find a path to profit. That’s why our best bet for the Gold Cup final on Sunday between Mexico and Panama is a same-game parlay.
Instead of laying the juice for a Mexico win on the 3-way line, or for the Under 2.5, let’s combine them. Nearly every site will give you at least +190 whether it’s a pre-built combo or one you build yourself, but the best price is at bet365 where you can get in at +220. I’ll gladly tak...
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