Sri Lanka: Debt Trap Diplomacy & Putin Price Hikes? Or Something Else?
Sri Lanka’s dire economic and political conflict is being blamed by the Western media on Chinese “debt trap diplomacy” and “Putin Price Hikes,” however buried within the same Western media sources, is the truth.
References:
Reuters - Sri Lanka faces U.N. scrutiny over civil war crimes: https://www.reuters.com/article/sri-lanka-rights-un-idUSKBN2BF1DF
WaPo - Sri Lanka’s long, tragic history of violence: https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2019/04/21/sri-lankas-long-tragic-history-violence/
NYT - Tamil Guerrillas in Sri Lanka: Deadly and Armed to the Teeth: http://www.nytimes.com/1998/03/07/world/tamil-guerrillas-in-sri-lanka-deadly-and-armed-to-the-teeth.html
NYT - C.I.A. Arms for Syrian Rebels Supplied Black Market, Officials Say: https://www.nytimes.com/2016/06/27/world/middleeast/cia-arms-for-syrian-rebels-supplied-black-market-officials-say.html
WaPo - Private donations give edge to Islamists in Syria, officials say: https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/private-donations-give-edge-to-islamists-in-syria-officials-say/2013/09/21/a6c783d2-2207-11e3-a358-1144dee636dd_story.html
Wikileaks Cables: https://wikileaks.org/plusd/cables/04COLOMBO2002_a.html
https://wikileaks.org/plusd/cables/06COLOMBO989_a.html
https://wikileaks.org/plusd/cables/04COLOMBO1834_a.html
https://wikileaks.org/plusd/cables/08GENEVA766_a.html
https://wikileaks.org/plusd/cables/08GENEVA89_a.html
Atlas of Economic Complexity - Sri Lanka 2019: https://atlas.cid.harvard.edu/explore?country=128&product=undefined&year=2019&productClass=HS&target=Product&partner=undefined&startYear=undefined
ABC News - China becomes wild card in Sri Lanka's debt crisis: https://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/china-wild-card-sri-lankas-debt-crisis-84851676#:~:text=Sri%20Lanka%20owes%20%247%20billion,to%20private%20sector%20bond%20investors.
VOA - As Crisis-Hit Sri Lanka Counts Cost of Chinese Projects, India Moves to Recover Influence: https://www.voanews.com/a/as-crisis-hit-sri-lanka-counts-cost-of-chinese-projects-india-moves-to-recover-influence/6611703.html
DW - Sri Lanka's foreign debt default: https://www.dw.com/en/sri-lankas-foreign-debt-default-why-the-island-nation-went-under/a-61475596
Nikkei Asia - Sri Lanka's international bondholders brace for a haircut: https://asia.nikkei.com/Spotlight/Market-Spotlight/Sri-Lanka-s-international-bondholders-brace-for-a-haircut#:~:text=The%20top%2020%20ISB%20holders,a%20Colombo-based%20think%20tank.
The Diplomat - The Belt and Road in Sri Lanka: Beyond the Debt Trap Discussion: https://thediplomat.com/2020/05/the-belt-and-road-in-sri-lanka-beyond-the-debt-trap-discussion/
Diplomat - Is Sri Lanka Under Gotabaya Rajapaksa Really Tilting Toward China?: https://thediplomat.com/2022/02/is-sri-lanka-under-gotabaya-rajapaksa-really-tilting-toward-china/
Daily FT - Cabinet greenlights $480m MCC COmpact Deal with US: https://www.ft.lk/TOP-STORY/Cabinet-greenlights-480-m-MCC-Compact-deal-with-US/26-688661
MCC - About: https://www.mcc.gov/about
Colombo Telegraph - The Dangers of the Millennium Challenge Corporation Agreement: https://www.colombotelegraph.com/index.php/the-dangers-of-the-millennium-challenge-corporation-agreement/
Sunday Island Online - Sajith says he objected to MCC: https://island.lk/sajith-says-he-objected-to-mcc-in-unp-cabinet-and-he-is-still-opposed-to-it/
The Week - Sajith Premadasa attacked as Rajapaksa supporters clash with protesters: https://www.theweek.in/news/world/2022/05/09/sajith-premadasa-attacked-as-rajapaksa-supporters-clash-with-protesters.html
Sajith Premadasa/Twitter: https://twitter.com/sajithpremadasa
NED - Sri Lanka 2021: https://www.ned.org/region/asia/sri-lanka-2021/
Centre for Equality and Justice/Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/CEJ.SL
Viluthu on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/viluthusrilanka/
Verite Research on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/VeriteResearch/
Verite Research Executive Nishan de Mel on Twitter: https://twitter.com/ncdemel
M.A. Sumanthiran’s anti-China speech in parliament: https://www.facebook.com/watch/?ref=external&v=186458716690620
The Morning - Red light for China, green for India: https://www.themorning.lk/red-light-for-china-green-for-india/
Uva Shakthi Foundation/Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/L186012000/
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Anti-China Circles Hijack Shinzo Abe Narrative
Former Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe was assassinated in Nara, Japan while giving a speech. A suspect, a local resident allegedly a former member of Japan’s military, was detained. While the motives are still being investigated, anti-China circles are already leveraging the event to direct anger and suspicion toward Beijing.
In reality - only the United States benefits from this event and the notion of blaming China for it - escalating tensions in Asia - a region the US finds its power and influence over waning.
References:
BBC - Shinzo Abe: Killing of Japan's ex-PM described as 'barbaric':
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-62089486
Harvard University’s Atlas of Economic Complexity - Japan 2019:
https://atlas.cid.harvard.edu/explore?country=114&product=undefined&year=2019&tradeDirection=import&productClass=HS&target=Partner&partner=undefined&startYear=undefined
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Russian Ops in Ukraine (July 6, 2022) LIVE: Russia Takes Lysychansk & What's Next
(LIVE) Update on Russian military operations in Ukraine for July 6, 2022
- Severodonetsk-Lysychansk now both fully under Russian control;
- All territory that constituted Lugansk Oblast now under Russian-LPR control;
- Russian forces are now focused on Bahkmut and Slavyansk defense lines;
- US analysts claim Ukrainian HIMARS are having successes offering tactical vignettes to make up for strategic failures.
References:
Guardian - Putin declares victory in Luhansk after fall of Lysychansk:
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/jul/04/ukraine-donetsk-next-russian-target-after-capture-of-luhansk-says-governor
War on the Rocks - Ukraine and Russia Grapple with Relentless Battle and Attrition (claiming Ukraine may hold Lysychansk and Russia will run out of combat power to take Slavyansk):
https://warontherocks.com/2022/06/ukraine-and-russia-grapple-with-relentless-battle-and-attrition/
Institute for the Study of War - Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 3:
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-july-
CNN - Ukrainian forces withdraw from Lysychansk, their last holdout in key region:
https://edition.cnn.com/2022/07/03/europe/russia-ukraine-luhansk-lysychansk-intl/index.html
NPR - Russia has control of a key eastern Ukrainian city:
https://www.npr.org/2022/07/04/1109737273/russia-has-control-of-a-key-eastern-ukrainian-city
ISW - Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 4:
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-july-4
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Myanmar MiG-29 Warplane Enters Thai Airspace: The Rest of the Story
กรุณาเปิดแคปชั่นใน YouTube (CC) แล้วกดเลือกภาษาไทย
A MiG-29 warplane from Myanmar briefly crossed into Thai airspace while providing air support for military operations along the Thai-Myanmar border. This is part of ongoing security operations against US-backed opposition groups waging an armed campaign of terrorism across the Southeast Asian country.
The Thai government has received an apology from Myanmar’s government, and understands that this was an accident. The US-backed opposition in Thailand, however, are criticizing the Thai government for not handling the “threat” properly, implying that a more forceful response was necessary.
I explain the context in Asia this is all unfolding within.
References:
Washington Post - Thailand says Myanmar apologized for airspace violation:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/thailand-says-myanmar-apologized-for-airspace-violation/2022/07/01/47926578-f8fc-11ec-81db-ac07a394a86b_story.html
Reuters - Boycott and bombings mar Myanmar's new school year:
https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/boycott-bombings-mar-myanmars-new-school-year-2021-06-02/
National Endowment for Democracy (NED) - Board of Directors:
https://www.ned.org/about/board-of-directors/
NED - Elliott Abrams:
https://www.ned.org/experts/elliott-abrams/
Guardian - US diplomat convicted over Iran-Contra appointed special envoy for Venezuela:
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2019/jan/26/elliott-abrams-venezuela-us-special-envoy
NED - Thailand (2021):
https://www.ned.org/region/asia/thailand-2021/
NED - Myanmar (2021):
https://www.ned.org/region/asia/burma-2021/
AP - Thailand condemned for repatriation of 109 Uighurs to China:
https://apnews.com/article/299f00fdcd734a028f40c13d504efa33
AP - AP Exclusive: Uighurs fighting in Syria take aim at China:
https://apnews.com/article/syria-ap-top-news-riots-international-news-china-79d6a427b26f4eeab226571956dd256e
Reuters - Bangkok bomb trial of Chinese Uighurs begins after delays:
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-thailand-blast-idUSKBN13A0FR
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Replacing Ukraine's Dwindling Air Defenses & Kiev's "Managed Retrogrades" in Donbass
The Pentagon celebrates Russia’s “retreat” from Snake Island while calling Ukraine’s defeat in Donbass a “managed retrograde.”
High on war propaganda, the Pentagon rolls out more weapons for Ukraine including air defense systems meant to replace Ukraine’s dwindling supply of Soviet-Russian S300. The only problem is these newer systems have a shorter range, representing a downgrade for Ukrainian air defenses.
The HIMARS sent by the US are also reportedly on the battlefield operating, however even the Pentagon hints at limits to their use because of the learning curve involved.
When pressed to qualify claims Russia is “paying a high price” for taking Donbass, the senior defense official admits they have no numbers to do so with.
References:
US Department of Defense - Senior Defense Official Holds a Background Briefing (July 1, 2022):
https://www.defense.gov/News/Transcripts/Transcript/Article/3082215/senior-defense-official-holds-a-background-briefing/
CSIS Missile Defense Project - Russian Air and Missile Defense:
https://missilethreat.csis.org/system/russian-air-defense/
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Russian Ops in Ukraine (July 1-2, 2022): Snake Island, Russian Gains in Donbass, Western Narratives
Update on Russian Military Operations in Ukraine for July 1, 2022
- Russian forces withdraw from Snake Island;
- Ukraine and Western sponsors depict it as “major victory;”
- Meanwhile Russian forces continue encircling, destroying, or driving out Ukrainian forces in Donbas;
- Severodonetsk is completely taken, Lysychansk is encircled with reports of fighting in the city;
- Western media admits to challenges Ukraine faces in mounting upcoming “offensives” Kiev claims it is planning;
- Western media narratives regarding Russia’s inability to prevail mirror those that “predicted” Russian failure in Syria where Russian forces eventually did turn the tide in the war in Syria’s favor.
References:
The Duran - Russian military leaves Snake Island:
https://youtu.be/YHW4_cdxKmk
South Front - Scheme of Layered Defense of the Crimean Peninsula (via CSIS):
https://southfront.org/scheme-of-layered-defense-of-the-crimean-peninsula-csis/
Al Jazeera - Russia-Ukraine war: The struggle for Snake Island:
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/6/30/russia-ukraine-war-the-struggle-for-snake-island
Al Jazeera - Ukraine plans on summer counteroffensive to oust Russian forces:
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/6/30/ukraine-says-summer-counteroffensive-will-oust-russia
LiveUAmap - Ukraine:
https://liveuamap.com/en/2022/1-july-explosion-near-staropetrivka-village-of-berdiansk
Defense Politics Asia - Ukraine Map:
https://defensepoliticsasia.com/ukraine/
VOA - Heavy Loses Could Persuade Russia, Putin to Pause Ukraine War:
https://www.voanews.com/a/us-intelligence-assessment-russia-ukraine-war-likely-to-go-on-/6638767.html
Washington Post - Russia’s military is unlikely to turn the tide in Syria’s war (2015):
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/europe/russias-military-is-unlikely-to-turn-the-tide-in-syrias-war/2015/10/03/1b9fff04-686a-11e5-bdb6-6861f4521205_story.html
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"Partnership in Blue Pacific" to Turn Pacific Islands into Anti-China War Zone
The US has announced yet another anti-China alliance. This one is called, “Partners in Blue Pacific,” and either includes or soon will include both the UK and France as well as Australia, New Zealand, and Japan.
This is about countering China - but if China is attempting to trade, develop, and raise the entire region with its own rise upon the global stage - it means the US and its allies are attempting to counter development and progress for these Pacific island nations.
Many of these nations are approaching China in the first place specifically because of the impoverished, destabilized state they’ve been left in by the US and its allies.
References:
Financial Times - US and allies launch initiative to help Pacific Island nations:
https://www.ft.com/content/8400c75b-36d4-408a-9b58-85872c10739a
Wikileaks - Program for Solomon Islands (1976);
https://wikileaks.org/plusd/cables/1976PORTM00139_b.html
Guardian - Solomon Islands unrest: three bodies found in burnt-out building:
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/nov/27/solomon-islands-unrest-three-bodies-found-in-burnt-out-building
SCMP - News of China’s security pact with Solomon Islands generates suspicion, offence and backtrack:
https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy/article/3172878/news-chinas-security-pact-solomon-islands-generates-suspicion
The Diplomat - US Aid Pledge to Pro-Taiwan Solomon Islands Province Raises Eyebrows:
https://thediplomat.com/2020/10/us-aid-pledge-to-pro-taiwan-solomon-islands-province-raises-eyebrows/
The Diplomat - Taiwan Must Avoid Pouring Fuel on Solomon Islands Fire:
https://thediplomat.com/2021/12/taiwan-must-avoid-pouring-fuel-on-solomon-islands-fire/
ABC - The US denies geopolitical motives are behind a massive aid increase to the Solomon Islands' Malaita province:
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-10-16/us-aid-increase-solomon-islands-china-independence-malaita/12765310
ABC - Solomon Islands joins China's Belt and Road Initiative, as leaders meet in Beijing:
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-10-10/solomon-islands-joins-chinas-belt-and-road-as-leaders-meet/11590068
Atlas of Economic Complexity (Harvard University) - Solomon Islands (2019):
https://atlas.cid.harvard.edu/explore?country=195&product=undefined&year=2019&tradeDirection=import&productClass=HS&target=Partner&partner=undefined&startYear=undefined
Observatory of Economic Complexity - Solomon Islands (2020):
https://oec.world/en/profile/country/slb?yearlyTradeFlowSelector=flow0
Atlas of Economic Complexity (Harvard University) - Fiji (2019):
https://atlas.cid.harvard.edu/explore?country=75&product=undefined&year=2019&productClass=HS&target=Partner&partner=undefined&startYear=undefined
Atlas of Economic Complexity (Harvard University) - Marshall Islands (2019):
https://atlas.cid.harvard.edu/explore?country=139&product=undefined&year=2019&productClass=HS&target=Partner&partner=undefined&startYear=undefined
Atlas of Economic Complexity (Harvard University) - Samoa (2019):
https://atlas.cid.harvard.edu/explore?country=242&product=undefined&year=2019&productClass=HS&target=Partner&partner=undefined&startYear=undefined
Atlas of Economic Complexity (Harvard University) - Palau (2019):
https://atlas.cid.harvard.edu/explore?country=175&product=undefined&year=2019&tradeDirection=import&productClass=HS&target=Partner&partner=undefined&startYear=undefined
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New Atlas LIVE: Ukraine Update, Hong Kong, NATO in the Pacific
New Atlas LIVE is a weekly stream for discussing current events, connecting with the New Atlas community, and more.
This week Angelo Giuliano and I talk about recent developments in Ukraine, Hong Kong celebrating 25 years after the handover, and US-NATO efforts to confront China across Asia-Pacific.
Q&A is open the entire time, please write "QUESTION" or "Q" and then your question so we can more easily spot it.
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Russian Ops in Ukraine (June 28-29, 2022) - West Copes with Ukrainian Losses
Update on Russian Military Operations in Ukraine for June 28-29 2022:
- Russia continues advances in Donbas;
- Severodonetsk now completely under Russian control;
- Lysychansk is being encircled;
- Western media begins discussion on Ukraine’s inevitable, permanent loss of territory;
- West also admits limits to support it can provide Ukraine;
References:
US Department of Defense - Senior Defense Official Holds a Background Briefing JUNE 27, 2022:
https://www.defense.gov/News/Transcripts/Transcript/Article/3075295/senior-defense-official-holds-a-background-briefing/
ABC (Australia) - Ukraine's 'tactical realignment' in the east isn't a sign it's losing the war against Russia:
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-06-28/ukraine-tactical-alignment-luhansk-not-a-sign-of-losing-war/101186976
Sky News - Is Russia now winning the war in Ukraine? Experts have their say:
https://news.sky.com/story/is-russia-now-winning-the-war-in-ukraine-experts-have-their-say-12641708
CNN - Biden officials privately doubt that Ukraine can win back all of its territory:
https://edition.cnn.com/2022/06/28/politics/white-house-ukraine-projection/index.html
Guardian - ‘The enemy is planning something’: Kharkiv fears new Russian attack:
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/jun/28/kharkiv-fears-new-russian-attack-ukraine
Reuters - Missiles strike Ukraine shopping mall, G7 vows to keep pressure on Russia:
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russian-forces-turn-sights-lysychansk-battle-eastern-ukraine-2022-06-27/
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Russian Ops in Ukraine (June 24, 2022): Russian Encirclement Closes on Ukrainian Forces
Update on Russian military operations in Ukraine for June 24, 2022
- Russian forces encircle, kill, capture, or drive out 2,000+ Ukrainian forces near Severodonetsk;
- Ukrainian forces ordered to withdraw from Severodonetsk;
- Lysychansk next to be encircled;
- HIMARS now in the hands of Ukrainian troops, more on the way;
- Western analysts begin to admit limits to Western aid to Ukraine including recently proposed Gray Eagle drone shipments;
- US Congress members want F-15, F-16 training for Ukrainian pilots;
- Ukraine's military industrial support in the West is outmatched by Russia;
References:
Institute for the Study of War (ISW) - Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 23, 2022:
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-june-23
AP (via Defense News) - US to send Ukraine rocket systems, other aid in new package:
https://www.defensenews.com/pentagon/2022/06/23/us-to-send-ukraine-rocket-systems-other-aid-in-new-package/
Foreign Policy - ‘It’s Not Afghanistan’: Ukrainian Pilots Push Back on U.S.-Provided Drones:
https://foreignpolicy.com/2022/06/21/ukraine-us-drones-pushback/?tpcc=recirc_latest062921
War on the Rocks - GETTING DRONES READY FOR CONVENTIONAL WAR:
https://warontherocks.com/2022/06/getting-drones-ready-for-conventional-war/
Congressman Adam Kinzinger - Kinzinger & Houlahan Introduce Ukraine Fighter Pilots Act:
https://kinzinger.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=402979
CSIS Missile Defense Project - Russian Air and Missile Defense:
https://missilethreat.csis.org/system/russian-air-defense/
Alexander Mercouris - Day of Disaster for Ukraine in Donbass, UK Military Think Tank Confirms US Unable to Re-Arm Ukraine (RUSI article: The Return of Industrial Warfare):
https://youtu.be/ZqXC22fRCBE
The Royal United Services Institute for Defence and Security Studies (RUSI) - The Return of Industrial Warfare:
https://rusi.org/explore-our-research/publications/commentary/return-industrial-warfare
RUSI - Funding:
https://rusi.org/about/support-rusi/funding
RUSI - Russia's Ukraine Invasion: The Most Dangerous Phase is Upon Us:
https://rusi.org/explore-our-research/publications/commentary/russias-ukraine-invasion-most-dangerous-phase-upon-us
Al Jazeera - As Kyiv claims political victory, Russia advances in east Ukraine:
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/6/23/ukraine-to-depart-russian-orbit-as-it-closes-in-on-severodonetsk
The Guardian - EU leaders to grant Ukraine candidate status in blow to Putin:
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/jun/23/eu-leaders-ukraine-candidate-status-russian-attack
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New Atlas LIVE: Ukraine, Taiwan - Battle for US Hegemony Continues
New Atlas LIVE is a weekly stream for discussing current events, connecting with the New Atlas community, and more.
This week Angelo Giuliano and I talk about the ongoing conflict in Ukraine as well as continued efforts by the US to expand global conflict into Asia.
Q&A is open the entire time, please write "QUESTION" or "Q" and then your question so we can more easily spot it.
We do not do super chats or monetize YouTube videos, if you would like to contribute, please check out the following options below:
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Ukraine Reveals "Victory Plan"
Ukraine’s Minister of Foreign Affairs has a plan to achieve victory for his nation. All it requires is the West creating and transferring over a full-scale army and air force-worth of heavy weapons.
The recent op-ed penned by Dmytro Kuleba demonstrates the two different conversations taking place among the West regarding Ukraine - one of pure fantasy and one regarding the stark reality of Ukraine needing to make concessions.
References:
Foreign Affairs - How Ukraine Will Win, Kyiv’s Theory of Victory:
https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/ukraine/2022-06-17/how-ukraine-will-win
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UK to Train Ukrainian Troops: Empty Gesture to Keep Proxy War Going
Reuters in their article, "UK's Boris Johnson offers Ukraine soldiers' training programme," sounds like a generous offer but in reality it doesn't even come close to replacing the number of troops Ukraine is losing every month.
Also, 120 days = 4 months meaning at the end of the training you will have just basic infantrymen who will go into combat with insufficient specialized training and without noncommissioned officers and officers necessary for warfare involving anything bigger than fire teams and squads.
Why is the UK offering this empty gesture? It is simply to convince Ukraine to fight a little longer against its own best interests and at the cost of more lives and territory for the sake of the UK and US "extending" Russia a little more.
References:
Reuters - UK's Boris Johnson offers Ukraine soldiers' training programme:
https://www.reuters.com/world/uk/uks-boris-johnson-offers-ukraine-soldiers-training-programme-2022-06-17/
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Russian Ops in Ukraine (June 16, 2022): West Sends Arms, Russia Still Gaining Ground
Update for Russian Military Operations in Ukraine for June 16, 2022
- Russian forces continue to gain ground in the Donbas;
- Russia also gains ground outside Kharkov;
- Western media covers up Ukrainian shelling of civilian targets in Donetsk;
- The flood of Western weapons continues, but limitations are manifesting themselves;
- Harpoon anti-ship missiles will take months to deploy;
- 18 more M777 howitzers will not even replace Ukrainian combat losses to date;
- HIMARS/M270s will be deployed with insufficiently trained crews without support of a proper combined arms operation making them vulnerable;
- Latest US delivery of 155mm rounds is less than Russia fires in a day;
References:
Reuters - Five killed, 22 injured in Ukrainian artillery attacks in Donetsk, Russian-backed separatists say:
https://www.reuters.com/business/aerospace-defense/three-killed-artillery-attack-donetsk-market-separatist-news-agency-2022-06-13/
War on the Rocks - THE MOST DANGEROUS PHASE FOR UKRAINE? (June 13, 2022):
https://warontherocks.com/2022/06/the-most-dangerous-phase-for-ukraine/
US Department of Defense - Secretary of Defense Austin and Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Gen. Milley Hold a Press Briefing After the Ukraine Defense Contact Group Meeting at NATO Headquarters, Brussels, Belgium, June 15, 2022:
https://www.defense.gov/News/Transcripts/Transcript/Article/3064692/secretary-of-defense-austin-and-chairman-of-the-joint-chiefs-of-staff-gen-mille/
AP - US sending $1 billion more military aid to outgunned Ukraine:
https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-zelenskyy-sweden-finland-jens-stoltenberg-1feb3640d59b05aceca62766d7d4f74d#:~:text=She%20said%20Ukraine%20uses%205%2C000,strength%20since%20Russia%20invaded%20Ukraine.
US Department of Defense - Senior Defense Officials Hold a Background Briefing, June 15, 2022:
https://www.defense.gov/News/Transcripts/Transcript/Article/3064802/senior-defense-officials-hold-a-background-briefing-june-15-2022/
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Turkish-Kurdish Tensions in Syria Expose NATO Dysfunction
Military activity in northern Syria is accelerating, Turkey is intent on striking at US-backed Kurdiah militants who in turn are seeking aid not from the US but from Syria and Russia.
The situation in Syria is another illustration of the true nature of US foreign policy and another glimpse at what becomes of America's many "partners."
References:
Daily Sabah - Turkey urges Russia to fulfill deals to clear N. Syria of terrorists:
https://www.dailysabah.com/politics/diplomacy/turkey-urges-russia-to-fulfill-deals-to-clear-n-syria-of-terrorists
AP - US-backed Syrian Kurds to turn to Damascus if Turkey attacks:
https://apnews.com/article/recep-tayyip-erdogan-united-states-ankara-turkey-fa53c7f2a6c1b9f0f008c1d1d41aba0d
Reuters - Turkey tells Russia it will respond to destabilising moves in north Syria:
https://www.yahoo.com/news/turkey-tells-russia-respond-destabilising-161022063.html
RT - Assad explains why Syria is sticking with Russia:
https://www.rt.com/news/556890-assad-russia-ukraine-interview/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
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US Coerces UN Human Rights Chief Following Xinjiang China Visit
In the wake of the UN human rights chief's visit to Xinjiang, China - the Western media and US government-funded organizations have concluded that the UN is not sufficiently repeating Western claims about China's alleged treatment of its Uyghur minority.
In reality, the US is spreading false narratives about China just as it did regarding Iraq in 2003 - all to undermine and isolate China on the global stage in a bid to prevent it from surpassing the US, and because the US is not capable of competing with China fairly.
References:
UN News - UN rights chief concludes China trip with promise of improved relations:
https://news.un.org/en/story/2022/05/1119302
New York Times - As U.N. Rights Chief Visits China, Some Fear She’ll Become Part of the Spin:
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/05/27/world/asia/un-china-xinjiang.html
Amnesty International - China: UN visit falls short of addressing crimes against humanity in Xinjiang:
https://www.amnesty.org/en/latest/news/2022/05/un-xinjiang-china-visit/
The New Atlas - US Targets UN Visit to Xinjiang China With Today's "WMD" Lies:
https://youtu.be/BUkWqlfvhHU
US State Department, Office of the Historian - Courses of Action in Vietnam (1965):
https://history.state.gov/historicaldocuments/frus1964-68v03/d189
US State Department, Office of the Historian - Review of Tibetan Operations (1964):
https://history.state.gov/historicaldocuments/frus1964-68v30/d337
US National Endowment for Democracy - XINJIANG/EAST TURKISTAN (CHINA) 2021:
https://www.ned.org/region/asia/xinjiang-east-turkestan-china-2021/
Reuters - Biden says China won't surpass U.S. as global leader on his watch:
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-biden-china-idUSKBN2BH2ZE
AP - Terror & tourism: Xinjiang eases its grip, but fear remains:
https://apnews.com/article/coronavirus-pandemic-lifestyle-china-health-travel-7a6967f335f97ca868cc618ea84b98b9
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Russian Ops in Ukraine (June 10, 2022): Ukraine Running Low on Ammo, Russia Isn't
The Western media continues to paint a bleak picture for Ukraine's military prospects as its forces admit to huge losses on the battlefield and a dwindling supply of weapons and ammunition.
Russia continues to make advances and is said to have enough combat power to fight on for another year.
References:
Guardian - We’re almost out of ammunition and relying on western arms, says Ukraine:
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/jun/10/were-almost-out-of-ammunition-and-relying-on-western-arms-says-ukraine
Guardian - ‘The occupier should never feel safe’: rise in partisan attacks in Ukraine:
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/jun/06/ukrainian-partisan-attacks-surge-russia
BBC - Ukraine says up to 200 soldiers dying a day:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/w172yfbzw86mbbl
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Russian Ops in Ukraine (June 9, 2022): Russian Gains, Ukrainian Grain, Kiev Admits Losses
Russian continues to make gains in the Donbas region, including in the contested city of Severodonetsk and toward Slovyansk.
Meanwhile, Ukraine insists on conditions regarding its own grain shipments, and while the Western media continues to blame Russia for "blockading" Odessa port, these same sources also admit Ukrainian naval mines are what's actually obstructing commercial shipping.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky admits Ukrainian forces are incapable of advancing on Russian positions and possesses inferior equipment as Ukrainian losses continue to mount and as the Western media has greater difficulty hiding these losses.
References:
Guardian - Russia and the west compete to secure safe passage for Ukraine’s grain:
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/jun/02/russia-and-the-west-compete-to-secure-safe-passage-for-ukraines-grain
Financial Times (YouTube) - Volodymyr Zelenskyy: ‘No one is humiliating Ukraine. They are killing us’:
https://youtu.be/zo3a0iLE_0s
Jackson Hinkle (YouTube) - Ukrainian COMMANDER Defects To Russia, Russia ADVANCES In Donbas:
https://youtu.be/36tWoOEoCVw
For Detailed Economic/Political Coverage of the Ukraine Crisis...
The Duran (YouTube):
https://www.youtube.com/c/TheDuran/videos
Alex Christoforou (YouTube):
https://www.youtube.com/c/AlexChristoforou/videos
Alexander Mercouris (YouTube):
https://www.youtube.com/c/AlexanderMercourisReal/videos
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West's Media U-Turn in Ukraine as Reality Sets In
The Western media is now preparing their audiences for the disappointing reality of Ukraine's loss on the battlefield. In order to do so, they are shifting the blame onto Ukraine and their apparent ability to conceal the truth from Western intelligence agencies, Western politicians, and the Western media itself.
Reference:
Washington Post - Ukraine’s position has ‘worsened’ in fight for Severodonetsk:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2022/06/06/severodonetsk-ukraine-russia/
New York Times - High-tech Western Weapons Pose Challenge for Untrained Ukrainian Soldiers:
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/06/06/world/europe/ukraine-military-western-weapons.html
New York Times - U.S. Lacks a Clear Picture of Ukraine’s War Strategy, Officials Say:
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/06/08/us/politics/ukraine-war-us-intelligence.html
Where to Find My Work:
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New Atlas LIVE: Ukraine Update, Tensions Over Taiwan, and More
New Atlas LIVE is a weekly stream for discussing current events, connecting with the New Atlas community, and more.
This week Angelo Giuliano and I talk about how we do Ukraine updates, we'll discuss the situation in Ukraine at the moment, as well as other hot spots developing around the globe.
Q&A is open the entire time, please write "QUESTION" or "Q" and then your question so we can more easily spot it.
We do not do super chats or monetize YouTube videos, if you would like to contribute, please check out the following options below:
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References:
The Dive with Jackson Hinkle:
https://www.youtube.com/c/TheDivewithJacksonHinkle
The Duran:
https://www.youtube.com/c/TheDuran
Jacob Dreizin:
https://thedreizinreport.com/
South Front:
https://southfront.org/
Pro-Ukrainian sources:
US Department of Defense - Transcripts:
https://www.defense.gov/News/Transcripts/
General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (Facebook):
https://www.facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua
Live Map (Ukraine):
https://liveuamap.com/
War on the Rocks Podcast (Ryan Evans/Michael Kofman):
https://warontherocks.com/
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The Ongoing US-China Tensions Overshadowed by Ukraine Crisis
As the crisis in Ukraine consumes public attention, other events possibly leading to a much worse crisis continue unfolding in the background.
Between US complaints over Chinese-Cambodian ties and Canadian military aircraft flying along China and North Korea’s coasts, the same provocative foreign policy decisions that triggered the Ukrainian crisis in the first place are very much in play in Asia versus China.
References:
Washington Post - China secretly building PLA naval facility in Cambodia, Western officials say:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2022/06/06/cambodia-china-navy-base-ream/
The Guardian - Trudeau calls China’s close encounter with Canadian warplanes ‘provocative’:
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/jun/06/trudeau-china-aerial-encounter-provocative-jets-canada
CTV News - China warns Canada over air patrols monitoring North Korea sanctions busting:
https://www.ctvnews.ca/canada/china-warns-canada-over-air-patrols-monitoring-north-korea-sanctions-busting-1.5934261
Al Jazeera - Infographic: US military presence around the world:
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2021/9/10/infographic-us-military-presence-around-the-world-interactive
The Phnom Penh Post - Sokha video producer closes Phnom Penh office in fear:
https://www.phnompenhpost.com/national/sokha-video-producer-closes-phnom-penh-office-fear
Reuters (via CNBC) - U.S. orders arms embargo on Cambodia, cites Chinese influence:
https://www.cnbc.com/2021/12/09/us-orders-arms-embargo-on-cambodia-cites-chinese-influence.html
Where to Find My Work:
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Russian Ops in Ukraine: Donbas Cauldron(s) Closing, US-NATO Options Running Out
Update on Russian military operations in Ukraine for June 6, 2022:
- Russian forces continue encirclement and elimination of Ukrainian forces in the Severodonetsk-Lysychansk cauldron;
- During encirclements in Syria, similar “offensives” were attempted as acts of desperation;
- Claims of Ukrainian “counter-offensives” are a distraction from the overall, imminent strategic defeat these forces face in the cauldron;
- Other “offensives” near Kherson and outside of Kharkov have failed to make any strategic gains and represent political distractions for Ukraine’s strategic defeat;
- HIMARS, additional artillery systems, drones, and other heavy weapons will not change the tide of the conflict - Russia is winning because of air power, air defenses, logistics, advantages in correlation of forces;
- Western media continues to pivot from “Ukrainian victory” to a more sober realization of Ukrainian losses and its bleak outlook for the future.
References:
Guardian - Ukraine forces ‘recapture 20% of territory lost in Sievierodonetsk’ – as it happened:
https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2022/jun/03/russia-ukraine-war-latest-moscow-now-controls-a-fifth-of-ukrainian-territory-zelenskiy-live
Reuters - First cargo ship leaves Mariupol since Russia took the city - separatist leader:
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/first-ship-leaves-mariupol-since-russia-took-city-separatist-leader-2022-05-31/
Alexander Mercouris (The Duran) - Russia Repulses Ukraine Counterattacks, West Reporters Speak of Crisis for Kiev in Donbass:
https://youtu.be/CCX0xRyX_QI
Alex Christoforou - EU happy to buy India's oil. Severodonetsk fog of war. Putin 'crunching them like nuts.' Update 1:
https://youtu.be/UhlE4Z1szSc
Institute for the Study of War (ISW) - RUSSIAN OFFENSIVE CAMPAIGN ASSESSMENT, JUNE 4:
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-june-4
TASS - Fuss over arms deliveries to Kiev aims to stretch out conflict in Ukraine, Putin says:
https://tass.com/politics/1460781
Guardian - Himars: what are the advanced rockets US is sending Ukraine?:
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/jun/01/himars-what-are-the-advanced-rockets-us-is-sending-ukraine
Yahoo News - Spain ready to give Ukraine 40 Leopard tanks, anti-aircraft systems, El Pais writes:
https://news.yahoo.com/spain-ready-ukraine-40-leopard-143800200.html
The National Interest - Turkey's Leopard 2 Tanks Are Getting Crushed in Syria:
https://nationalinterest.org/blog/buzz/turkeys-leopard-2-tanks-are-getting-crushed-syria-95396
TASS - Russia says it struck artillery training center with foreign staff outside Sumy:
https://tass.com/military-operation-in-ukraine/1460667
US Department of Defense - Dr. Colin Kahl, Under Secretary of Defense for Policy, Holds a Press Briefing (June 1):
https://www.defense.gov/News/Transcripts/Transcript/Article/3049912/dr-colin-kahl-under-secretary-of-defense-for-policy-holds-a-press-briefing/
BBC - 'I watched from afar Russia’s latest merciless assault on Severodonetsk':
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-61634050
Guardian - Russia is winning the economic war - and Putin is no closer to withdrawing troops: https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2022/jun/02/russia-economic-war-ukraine-food-fuel-price-vladimir-putin
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Oslo Freedom Forum: US Proxies Train and Plan for the Next "Ukraine"
The Oslo Freedom Forum serves as the latest iteration of the US State Department's training ground for subversion around the globe - following in line US-sponsored unrest in Ukraine in 2014 and the so-called "Arab Spring" in 2011.
Who is attending the Oslo Freedom Forum, what takes place there, and what is expected of attendees once they return to their respective nations?
References:
Oslo Freedom Forum (OFF) - About:
https://oslofreedomforum.com/about/
OFF - 2022 Sponsors:
https://oslofreedomforum.com/sponsors/
Freedom Fund - Investors and Supporters:
https://freedomfund.org/about/investors/
NYT - U.S. Groups Helped Nurture Arab Uprisings:
https://www.nytimes.com/2011/04/15/world/15aid.html
Prachatai - About:
https://prachatai.com/english/about/prachatai
iLaw - About:
https://ilaw.or.th/about
Nation - iLaw launches petition for charter rewrite:
https://www.nationthailand.com/in-focus/30392491
Thai Lawyers for Human Rights (TLHR) - About:
https://tlhr2014.com/en/about-us-2
US National Endowment for Democracy (NED) - Thailand 2014 (TLHR’s funding):
http://web.archive.org/web/20150810021157/https://www.ned.org/region/asia/thailand-2014/
Frontline Defenders - Arnon Nampa:
https://www.frontlinedefenders.org/en/profile/arnon-nampa
TIME - Meet the Lawyer Trying to Reform the Thai Monarchy:
https://time.com/5890121/thai-king-thailand-monarchy-vajiralongkorn-arnon-nampa/
OFF - Thanathorn Juangroongruangkit:
https://oslofreedomforum.com/speakers/thanathorn-juangroongruangkit/
OFF - Democratization in Thailand: 100 Years of Struggle | Thanathorn Juangroongruangkit | 2020 OFF:
https://youtu.be/FgrcBg80vws
Thanathorn Juangroongruangkit (Facebook) - attendance of 2022 OFF:
https://www.facebook.com/ThanathornOfficial/posts/565164981626082
OFF - Netiwit Chotiphatphaisal:
https://oslofreedomforum.com/speakers/%E2%80%8Bnetiwit-chotiphatphaisal/
Netiwit Chotiphatphaisal (Twitter) - announcing collaboration with US-funded Uyghur Human Rights Project:
https://twitter.com/NetiwitC/status/1321986453027475456
US NED - UYGHUR HUMAN RIGHTS POLICY ACT BUILDS ON WORK OF NED GRANTEES (UHRP’s NED funding):
https://www.ned.org/uyghur-human-rights-policy-act-builds-on-work-of-ned-grantees/#:~:text=To%20further%20human%20rights%20and,advocacy%20and%20human%20rights%20organizations.
OFF - Pravit Rojanaphruk:
https://oslofreedomforum.com/speakers/pravit-rojanaphruk/
Pravit R. (Twitter) - attending US NED-funded IPI World Congress:
https://twitter.com/PravitR/status/1438773790016565250
IPI 2021 (documents Pravit R.’s attendence):
https://ipi.media/journalism-takes-centre-stage-in-vienna-at-the-2021-ipi-world-congress/
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US to Send Ukraine its "Gray Eagle" Drones - Will it make a Difference?
The US has announced it will be sending General Atomics “Gray Eagle” drones - similar to the infamous “Predator” drone - to Ukraine.
However, the US is only initially sending 4 drones and the Gray Eagle is comparable to Ukraine’s existing (or perhaps previously existing) Bayraktar TB2 drones produced by Turkey. The Gray Eagle drones will face the same limitations Ukraine’s Bayraktar drones faced, providing no means to change the course of the conflict, but almost certainly making General Atomics money alongside other US arms manufacturers, namely Lockheed Martin and Raytheon.
References:
Reuters - EXCLUSIVE U.S. plans to sell armed drones to Ukraine in coming days -sources:
https://www.reuters.com/business/aerospace-defense/exclusive-us-plans-sell-armed-drones-ukraine-coming-days-sources-2022-06-01/
Al Jazeera - What do we know about Ukraine’s use of Turkish Bayraktar drones?:
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/3/11/turkey-drones-use-ukraine
Daily Sabah - Ukraine, Turkey have signed deal for 12 Bayraktar TB2 UAVs, Poroshenko says (January 2019):
https://www.dailysabah.com/defense/2019/01/12/ukraine-turkey-have-signed-deal-for-12-bayraktar-tb2-uavs-poroshenko-says
UAWIRE - Ukraine conducts flight tests of Turkish combat drones (July 2020):
https://uawire.org/ukraine-conducts-flight-tests-of-turkish-combat-drones#
Defense News - Ukraine is set to buy 24 Turkish drones. So why hasn’t Russia pushed back? (September 2021):
https://www.defensenews.com/unmanned/2021/09/29/ukraine-is-set-to-buy-24-turkish-drones-so-why-hasnt-russia-pushed-back/
Daily Sabah - In Ukraine’s 1st combat use, Bayraktar TB2 destroys Russian armament (October 2021):
https://www.dailysabah.com/business/defense/in-ukraines-1st-combat-use-bayraktar-tb2-destroys-russian-armament
The New Atlas - How Deadly are Turkish Bayraktar TB2 Drones in Ukrainian Hands?:
https://youtu.be/yTIQUg18C0k
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US to Send "Game-Changer" HIMARS to Ukraine: The Rest of the Story
The US has announced that it will send the HIMARS multiple-launch rocket system (MLRS) to Ukraine. The system is touted as the next “game changer,” yet upon closer examination the proposition appears highly unpractical and a microcosm of how Ukraine has been used to enrich US corporations and menace US adversaries.
References:
Guardian - Himars: what are the advanced rockets US is sending Ukraine?:
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/jun/01/himars-what-are-the-advanced-rockets-us-is-sending-ukraine
US Army - Multiple Launch Rocket System (MLRS/HIMARS) Crewmember:
https://www.goarmy.com/careers-and-jobs/career-match/ground-forces/explosives-artillery/13m-rocket-system-crewmember.html
CSIS Missile Defense Project - Russian Air and Missile Defense:
https://missilethreat.csis.org/system/russian-air-defense/
The Times - Russia takes battle into space and targets GPS in Ukraine:
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/russia-takes-battle-into-space-and-targets-gps-in-ukraine-qzvkg6ljd
The Times - Russian GPS jamming in Ukraine pushes Britain to seek alternatives:
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/russian-gps-jamming-in-ukraine-pushes-britain-to-seek-alternatives-9ck7b765h
Defense News - US Army signs deal to backfill Stingers sent to Ukraine:
https://www.defensenews.com/land/2022/05/27/us-army-signs-deal-to-backfill-stingers-sent-to-ukraine/
Bloomberg - Biden Defense Pick to Get Up to $1.7 Million From Raytheon Role:
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-01-10/biden-defense-pick-to-get-up-to-1-7-million-from-raytheon-role
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