Housing Market Is Broken - The FED Isn't Going To Rescue It This Time

1 year ago
94

Housing market is broken - the fed isn't going to rescue it this time. I know many are saying the FED will pivot and fix the housing market. What if the fed stops responding to the market? What if to fight inflation the fed is no longer accommodating the markets?

▶ VIDEO NOTES

Housing Market Could See Further Fallout From Fed’s Inflation Fight.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell views the U.S. housing market as “very overheated” after the pandemic, and he believes supply and demand need to get back into balance.

Powell spoke at a November 2 press conference as the U.S. Federal Reserve Committee, which he chairs, raised rates by 0.75 percentage points to fight surging inflation. That could raise mortgage costs further after they have already risen substantially in 2022. Powell’s actions and comments were not positive for housing.

Fed Put?

Powell made clear that his main concern is managing inflation, and if anything, rather than looking to support asset valuations such as housing, stocks and bonds, Powell is far more focused on driving inflation lower. There’s not much evidence of the “Fed put” today, which is the market term for how the Fed would step in and perhaps look to cut rates if stock valuations fell sharply. That may be bad news for housing, too.

Powell may believe that lower asset valuations may be part of the solution to lower inflation currently, rather than a problem the Fed is seeking to remedy.

Given that rates may rise higher still over the coming months, that is not necessarily good news for the housing markets. We should note of course that future rate expectations are typically embedded in mortgage costs, so the Fed raising rates in line with market forecasts won’t necessarily cause longer-term mortgage rates to correspondingly rise too much.

Click here to read the Forbes article - https://www.forbes.com/sites/simonmoore/2022/11/02/fed-chair-calls-housing-market-very-overheated/?sh=1f158173dcbf

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